Northeastern
Colonial Athletic
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.5#217
Expected Predictive Rating-3.2#224
Pace65.5#277
Improvement-4.2#342

Offense
Total Offense-1.8#222
First Shot-2.0#248
After Offensive Rebound+0.2#164
Layup/Dunks-0.2#168
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#317
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#205
Freethrows+1.3#85
Improvement+2.2#63

Defense
Total Defense-0.7#194
First Shot-2.7#267
After Offensive Rebounds+2.0#39
Layups/Dunks-5.2#335
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#59
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#162
Freethrows+0.3#171
Improvement-6.4#357
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.1% 4.1% 2.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.5 15.4 15.7
.500 or above 10.7% 18.3% 4.9%
.500 or above in Conference 7.6% 13.5% 3.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 25.4% 14.9% 33.5%
First Four1.2% 1.1% 1.3%
First Round2.6% 3.7% 1.8%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Hofstra (Home) - 43.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 35 - 95 - 14
Quad 47 - 513 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 129   @ Colgate L 58-65 24%     0 - 1 -2.0 -13.2 +11.0
  Nov 12, 2021 210   @ Georgia St. L 64-83 39%     0 - 2 -18.7 -4.7 -15.5
  Nov 16, 2021 198   Boston University W 49-48 56%     1 - 2 -3.1 -19.7 +16.8
  Nov 19, 2021 190   Duquesne W 71-55 45%     2 - 2 +14.7 +0.4 +15.0
  Nov 21, 2021 133   Southern Illinois W 59-47 33%     3 - 2 +14.1 -8.3 +23.2
  Nov 22, 2021 47   Colorado St. L 61-71 12%     3 - 3 +0.0 -6.8 +6.2
  Nov 27, 2021 179   @ Harvard L 57-77 34%     3 - 4 -18.2 -15.7 -2.2
  Nov 30, 2021 199   Detroit Mercy W 66-56 56%     4 - 4 +5.9 -0.2 +7.7
  Dec 03, 2021 129   Colgate W 74-69 40%     5 - 4 +5.0 +6.6 -1.1
  Dec 07, 2021 154   Massachusetts W 82-76 48%     6 - 4 +4.0 +4.7 -0.5
  Dec 12, 2021 53   Davidson L 69-79 19%     6 - 5 -3.3 -0.2 -3.8
  Dec 29, 2021 232   @ Elon L 62-79 45%     6 - 6 0 - 1 -18.3 -4.5 -15.9
  Dec 31, 2021 340   @ William & Mary L 70-71 75%     6 - 7 0 - 2 -10.7 -11.8 +1.2
  Jan 09, 2022 114   @ Towson L 67-70 19%     6 - 8 0 - 3 +3.6 +4.7 -1.6
  Jan 11, 2022 180   @ James Madison L 66-89 34%     6 - 9 0 - 4 -21.2 -3.0 -19.6
  Jan 15, 2022 158   Drexel L 68-76 49%     6 - 10 0 - 5 -10.2 -5.6 -4.8
  Jan 17, 2022 146   Delaware L 76-82 OT 46%     6 - 11 0 - 6 -7.5 -4.4 -2.7
  Jan 22, 2022 132   Hofstra L 70-72 43%    
  Jan 24, 2022 256   UNC Wilmington W 70-65 70%    
  Jan 27, 2022 256   @ UNC Wilmington L 67-68 48%    
  Jan 29, 2022 203   @ College of Charleston L 73-76 37%    
  Feb 03, 2022 180   James Madison W 73-72 54%    
  Feb 05, 2022 114   Towson L 65-69 37%    
  Feb 10, 2022 146   @ Delaware L 66-72 27%    
  Feb 12, 2022 158   @ Drexel L 65-70 29%    
  Feb 19, 2022 132   @ Hofstra L 67-74 24%    
  Feb 22, 2022 203   College of Charleston W 75-73 58%    
  Feb 24, 2022 340   William & Mary W 73-61 88%    
  Feb 26, 2022 232   Elon W 69-65 66%    
Projected Record 12 - 17 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.8 3rd
4th 0.1 1.0 0.9 0.1 2.1 4th
5th 0.1 1.7 2.6 0.4 4.9 5th
6th 0.3 2.7 4.9 1.3 0.0 9.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 3.3 7.5 3.5 0.2 14.7 7th
8th 0.5 4.8 10.4 5.9 0.6 22.3 8th
9th 0.3 2.8 9.0 12.3 6.7 1.0 0.0 32.1 9th
10th 0.1 0.7 2.5 4.5 4.3 1.6 0.2 13.8 10th
Total 0.1 0.7 2.8 7.3 13.8 18.9 20.9 17.2 10.8 5.1 1.9 0.4 0.1 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 15.4% 0.0    0.0
11-7 5.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.1% 7.7% 7.7% 13.0 0.0 0.1
11-7 0.4% 14.2% 14.2% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4
10-8 1.9% 11.6% 11.6% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.7
9-9 5.1% 9.9% 9.9% 14.9 0.1 0.4 0.0 4.6
8-10 10.8% 5.7% 5.7% 15.3 0.0 0.4 0.2 10.2
7-11 17.2% 3.6% 3.6% 15.8 0.1 0.5 16.6
6-12 20.9% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.0 0.5 20.4
5-13 18.9% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.3 18.6
4-14 13.8% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.2 13.6
3-15 7.3% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 7.2
2-16 2.8% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 2.8
1-17 0.7% 0.7
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 3.1% 3.1% 0.0% 15.5 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.8 96.9 0.0%