Louisiana
Sun Belt
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.0#165
Expected Predictive Rating-0.8#184
Pace75.8#41
Improvement+1.6#103

Offense
Total Offense-0.8#198
First Shot-2.5#261
After Offensive Rebound+1.7#59
Layup/Dunks+1.0#132
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#280
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#197
Freethrows-1.2#274
Improvement+3.5#18

Defense
Total Defense+0.7#146
First Shot+1.6#122
After Offensive Rebounds-0.9#259
Layups/Dunks+1.2#140
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#205
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.8#39
Freethrows-3.2#336
Improvement-1.9#285
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 14.2% 16.6% 10.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.6 14.5 14.9
.500 or above 73.1% 83.3% 59.1%
.500 or above in Conference 82.7% 90.7% 71.7%
Conference Champion 31.6% 42.0% 17.2%
Last Place in Conference 0.6% 0.2% 1.1%
First Four0.5% 0.5% 0.6%
First Round14.0% 16.4% 10.6%
Second Round0.8% 1.0% 0.5%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: South Alabama (Home) - 57.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 10 - 4
Quad 35 - 65 - 9
Quad 410 - 315 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2021 309   @ Southern Miss W 66-45 72%     1 - 0 +15.0 -13.8 +26.9
  Nov 21, 2021 27   @ Indiana L 44-76 9%     1 - 1 -16.9 -22.6 +7.9
  Nov 23, 2021 200   @ Marshall L 79-93 46%     1 - 2 -13.1 -8.4 -2.2
  Nov 27, 2021 268   Jackson St. L 70-75 78%     1 - 3 -13.2 -6.2 -6.8
  Dec 03, 2021 281   New Orleans W 80-67 81%     2 - 3 +3.5 -5.8 +7.9
  Dec 08, 2021 323   McNeese St. W 83-68 88%     3 - 3 +2.2 -0.4 +1.9
  Dec 11, 2021 82   @ Louisiana Tech L 69-78 18%     3 - 4 +0.6 -1.5 +2.4
  Dec 14, 2021 9   @ Houston L 56-71 4%     3 - 5 +5.0 -4.9 +9.1
  Dec 30, 2021 185   @ Appalachian St. W 71-55 44%     4 - 5 1 - 0 +17.6 +3.9 +14.7
  Jan 01, 2022 173   @ Coastal Carolina W 65-64 42%     5 - 5 2 - 0 +3.1 -5.4 +8.5
  Jan 06, 2022 194   Arkansas St. W 83-77 OT 65%     6 - 5 3 - 0 +2.1 -0.8 +2.2
  Jan 13, 2022 220   @ Texas Arlington L 73-83 51%     6 - 6 3 - 1 -10.3 +6.0 -16.8
  Jan 15, 2022 150   @ Texas St. L 68-72 37%     6 - 7 3 - 2 -0.7 -3.1 +2.4
  Jan 20, 2022 149   South Alabama W 75-73 58%    
  Jan 22, 2022 189   Troy W 73-69 66%    
  Jan 27, 2022 210   Georgia St. W 78-73 69%    
  Jan 29, 2022 233   Georgia Southern W 72-66 74%    
  Feb 03, 2022 292   @ Arkansas Little Rock W 77-72 67%    
  Feb 05, 2022 194   @ Arkansas St. L 73-74 44%    
  Feb 10, 2022 150   Texas St. W 70-68 57%    
  Feb 12, 2022 220   Texas Arlington W 71-66 70%    
  Feb 17, 2022 258   @ Louisiana Monroe W 77-75 58%    
  Feb 19, 2022 258   Louisiana Monroe W 80-72 77%    
  Feb 23, 2022 233   @ Georgia Southern W 70-69 53%    
  Feb 26, 2022 210   @ Georgia St. L 75-76 47%    
Projected Record 13 - 12 10 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.9 6.1 10.7 8.8 4.1 1.0 31.6 1st
2nd 0.4 5.1 9.3 4.7 1.0 0.1 0.0 20.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 2.5 8.0 3.5 0.4 0.0 14.4 3rd
4th 0.5 5.5 3.7 0.3 0.0 10.0 4th
5th 0.0 2.1 4.7 0.5 7.4 5th
6th 0.4 3.8 1.2 0.0 5.4 6th
7th 0.0 1.4 2.2 0.2 3.8 7th
8th 0.3 2.2 0.5 3.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.9 0.9 0.0 1.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.1 1.2 10th
11th 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.6 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 12th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.7 2.3 5.0 9.1 14.4 18.2 19.2 15.8 9.8 4.3 1.1 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 99.4% 1.0    1.0 0.0
14-4 96.9% 4.1    3.7 0.4 0.0
13-5 89.8% 8.8    6.8 1.9 0.1
12-6 67.7% 10.7    5.2 4.4 1.0 0.1 0.0
11-7 31.5% 6.1    1.2 2.5 1.8 0.4 0.1
10-8 4.7% 0.9    0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 31.6% 31.6 17.9 9.5 3.2 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 1.1% 40.8% 40.8% 13.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.6
14-4 4.3% 29.4% 29.4% 13.7 0.0 0.5 0.7 0.1 3.0
13-5 9.8% 23.9% 23.9% 14.2 0.0 0.3 1.3 0.7 0.0 7.4
12-6 15.8% 19.2% 19.2% 14.5 0.0 0.2 1.4 1.4 0.1 12.8
11-7 19.2% 17.1% 17.1% 14.8 0.1 0.8 2.1 0.3 15.9
10-8 18.2% 12.2% 12.2% 15.2 0.0 0.1 1.5 0.6 16.0
9-9 14.4% 7.1% 7.1% 15.4 0.0 0.6 0.5 13.4
8-10 9.1% 4.8% 4.8% 15.8 0.1 0.4 8.7
7-11 5.0% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.1 4.9
6-12 2.3% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 2.2
5-13 0.7% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 0.7
4-14 0.2% 0.2
3-15 0.0% 0.0
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 14.2% 14.2% 0.0% 14.6 0.0 0.1 1.3 4.4 6.5 1.9 85.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.4% 100.0% 13.0 1.9 15.8 58.1 24.2
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.1%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.2%