High Point
Big South
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-6.5#275
Expected Predictive Rating-8.8#300
Pace64.7#300
Improvement-1.2#230

Offense
Total Offense-4.3#289
First Shot-4.0#297
After Offensive Rebound-0.3#207
Layup/Dunks-1.5#232
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#86
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#231
Freethrows-2.8#338
Improvement+0.6#142

Defense
Total Defense-2.1#236
First Shot-1.5#228
After Offensive Rebounds-0.6#230
Layups/Dunks-3.0#288
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.2#5
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#212
Freethrows-0.9#256
Improvement-1.8#281
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.9% 4.8% 2.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 7.6% 11.3% 2.9%
.500 or above in Conference 40.0% 52.1% 24.2%
Conference Champion 1.3% 2.1% 0.4%
Last Place in Conference 5.0% 1.6% 9.5%
First Four3.2% 3.8% 2.5%
First Round2.3% 3.0% 1.5%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Hampton (Away) - 56.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 10 - 4
Quad 31 - 31 - 7
Quad 49 - 1111 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2021 59   @ Northwestern L 60-95 6%     0 - 1 -24.0 -5.7 -20.0
  Nov 16, 2021 65   @ Notre Dame L 61-70 6%     0 - 2 +1.7 -7.1 +8.6
  Nov 20, 2021 248   Howard W 73-63 53%     1 - 2 +2.9 -9.9 +12.0
  Nov 21, 2021 210   Georgia St. L 66-74 OT 43%     1 - 3 -12.8 -15.5 +3.5
  Nov 30, 2021 102   Furman L 70-74 2OT 20%     1 - 4 -1.6 -12.1 +11.0
  Dec 04, 2021 232   @ Elon W 83-77 31%     2 - 4 +4.7 +11.3 -6.4
  Dec 10, 2021 346   South Carolina St. L 66-67 75%     2 - 5 -14.4 -9.8 -4.6
  Dec 18, 2021 256   UNC Wilmington L 69-71 OT 54%     2 - 6 -9.5 -11.0 +1.6
  Dec 21, 2021 151   Florida Atlantic W 55-52 32%     3 - 6 +1.2 -6.6 +8.6
  Dec 29, 2021 20   @ Michigan St. L 68-81 3%     3 - 7 +2.8 +8.4 -6.5
  Dec 31, 2021 3   @ Kentucky L 48-92 1%     3 - 8 -22.3 -17.1 -3.7
  Jan 12, 2022 311   @ South Carolina Upstate L 65-66 49%     3 - 9 0 - 1 -7.1 -7.6 +0.4
  Jan 15, 2022 272   N.C. A&T W 78-71 58%     4 - 9 1 - 1 -1.6 +0.6 -2.3
  Jan 19, 2022 351   @ Charleston Southern L 66-70 72%     4 - 10 1 - 2 -16.5 -7.5 -9.3
  Jan 22, 2022 332   @ Hampton W 64-62 57%    
  Jan 24, 2022 183   Winthrop L 70-73 41%    
  Jan 26, 2022 285   Radford W 66-63 63%    
  Jan 29, 2022 225   @ Campbell L 59-65 27%    
  Feb 02, 2022 223   Gardner-Webb L 64-65 48%    
  Feb 05, 2022 249   UNC Asheville W 67-66 54%    
  Feb 09, 2022 299   @ Presbyterian L 61-62 44%    
  Feb 12, 2022 225   Campbell L 61-62 48%    
  Feb 14, 2022 187   @ Longwood L 62-70 21%    
  Feb 16, 2022 187   Longwood L 64-67 41%    
  Feb 19, 2022 285   @ Radford L 63-65 42%    
  Feb 23, 2022 272   @ N.C. A&T L 66-69 38%    
  Feb 26, 2022 332   Hampton W 66-59 76%    
Projected Record 10 - 17 7 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 0.6 0.3 0.0 1.3 1st
2nd 0.1 1.2 1.6 0.7 0.0 0.0 3.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.3 3.3 1.1 0.1 5.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 4.3 2.6 0.2 7.8 4th
5th 0.3 3.8 4.6 0.5 9.1 5th
6th 0.1 2.7 6.5 1.5 0.0 10.8 6th
7th 0.0 1.5 7.3 3.8 0.1 12.7 7th
8th 0.0 1.0 6.3 6.4 0.8 14.6 8th
9th 0.0 1.0 5.7 7.1 1.5 0.0 15.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.6 3.6 4.8 1.7 0.1 10.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 2.0 2.7 1.2 0.1 6.3 11th
12th 0.1 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.0 1.9 12th
Total 0.2 1.1 3.3 7.6 12.8 16.8 18.3 15.7 11.7 7.6 3.3 1.4 0.3 0.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2 84.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-3 89.4% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
12-4 45.1% 0.6    0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
11-5 12.1% 0.4    0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0
10-6 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 1.3% 1.3 0.4 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-3 0.3% 27.5% 27.5% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2
12-4 1.4% 19.1% 19.1% 15.9 0.0 0.2 1.1
11-5 3.3% 13.2% 13.2% 15.9 0.0 0.4 2.8
10-6 7.6% 9.2% 9.2% 16.0 0.0 0.7 6.9
9-7 11.7% 8.3% 8.3% 16.0 1.0 10.8
8-8 15.7% 4.2% 4.2% 16.0 0.7 15.1
7-9 18.3% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.4 17.9
6-10 16.8% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.3 16.5
5-11 12.8% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 12.7
4-12 7.6% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 7.6
3-13 3.3% 3.3
2-14 1.1% 1.1
1-15 0.2% 0.2
0-16
Total 100% 3.9% 3.9% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.1 3.7 96.1 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%