St. Peter's
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.0#205
Expected Predictive Rating-3.2#222
Pace67.5#211
Improvement+1.8#87

Offense
Total Offense-6.5#334
First Shot-8.5#350
After Offensive Rebound+2.0#46
Layup/Dunks-1.8#245
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#285
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.5#344
Freethrows+1.7#64
Improvement-0.3#195

Defense
Total Defense+4.5#65
First Shot+3.9#61
After Offensive Rebounds+0.6#127
Layups/Dunks+3.2#64
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#124
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.5#26
Freethrows-4.7#352
Improvement+2.2#66
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.0% 8.7% 6.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.0 14.8 15.2
.500 or above 44.4% 60.8% 33.9%
.500 or above in Conference 80.1% 91.3% 72.9%
Conference Champion 2.8% 5.0% 1.4%
Last Place in Conference 0.7% 0.2% 1.0%
First Four1.0% 0.7% 1.2%
First Round6.6% 8.4% 5.4%
Second Round0.3% 0.5% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Niagara (Away) - 39.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 33 - 44 - 9
Quad 410 - 513 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 75   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 54-57 13%     0 - 1 +6.9 -8.5 +15.5
  Nov 13, 2021 92   @ St. John's L 70-91 16%     0 - 2 -12.2 -4.0 -6.8
  Nov 23, 2021 235   LIU Brooklyn W 64-62 67%     1 - 2 -4.5 -20.3 +15.5
  Nov 27, 2021 44   @ Providence L 71-85 9%     1 - 3 -1.2 +11.5 -13.8
  Dec 03, 2021 241   @ Quinnipiac W 69-59 50%     2 - 3 1 - 0 +8.1 -6.3 +14.2
  Dec 05, 2021 246   Siena L 58-60 69%     2 - 4 1 - 1 -9.1 -15.0 +5.8
  Dec 08, 2021 328   St. Francis Brooklyn L 60-71 86%     2 - 5 -24.6 -20.5 -4.0
  Dec 18, 2021 224   @ Stony Brook L 63-64 44%     2 - 6 -1.4 -10.1 +8.7
  Jan 14, 2022 137   Monmouth W 67-62 46%     3 - 6 2 - 1 +4.1 -1.6 +6.1
  Jan 16, 2022 291   @ Rider W 58-51 62%     4 - 6 3 - 1 +1.8 -11.8 +14.1
  Jan 18, 2022 286   Canisius W 65-57 77%     5 - 6 4 - 1 -1.7 -8.7 +7.4
  Jan 21, 2022 207   @ Niagara L 59-61 39%    
  Jan 23, 2022 286   @ Canisius W 67-64 58%    
  Jan 26, 2022 177   @ Marist L 59-63 34%    
  Jan 28, 2022 267   Manhattan W 68-62 73%    
  Jan 30, 2022 90   @ Iona L 61-72 14%    
  Feb 04, 2022 241   Quinnipiac W 70-65 69%    
  Feb 06, 2022 177   Marist W 61-60 56%    
  Feb 11, 2022 291   Rider W 67-59 79%    
  Feb 15, 2022 90   Iona L 64-70 31%    
  Feb 18, 2022 219   @ Fairfield L 59-61 42%    
  Feb 20, 2022 246   @ Siena W 61-60 48%    
  Feb 25, 2022 137   @ Monmouth L 61-67 28%    
  Feb 27, 2022 207   Niagara W 62-59 62%    
  Mar 01, 2022 267   @ Manhattan W 65-64 53%    
  Mar 05, 2022 219   Fairfield W 62-59 64%    
Projected Record 12 - 14 11 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.1 2.8 1st
2nd 0.5 3.4 7.6 8.0 5.1 1.9 0.3 0.0 26.8 2nd
3rd 0.4 4.4 8.3 5.9 1.7 0.2 0.0 20.9 3rd
4th 0.1 3.1 7.5 3.6 0.5 0.0 14.9 4th
5th 0.0 1.3 6.4 3.4 0.4 11.6 5th
6th 0.5 3.8 3.6 0.4 8.4 6th
7th 0.2 2.2 3.4 0.6 6.3 7th
8th 0.1 1.0 2.5 0.9 0.0 4.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 1.4 0.8 0.0 2.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.0 1.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 11th
Total 0.0 0.3 1.0 3.0 6.0 9.6 14.1 16.2 15.8 14.0 10.0 5.9 2.8 1.0 0.2 0.1 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
18-2 96.0% 0.2    0.1 0.1
17-3 65.6% 0.6    0.4 0.3
16-4 31.8% 0.9    0.4 0.4 0.0
15-5 10.7% 0.6    0.2 0.4 0.1
14-6 3.3% 0.3    0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 2.8% 2.8 1.2 1.4 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.1% 36.0% 36.0% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.2% 28.3% 28.3% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-3 1.0% 20.7% 20.7% 13.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.8
16-4 2.8% 18.4% 18.4% 14.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 2.3
15-5 5.9% 17.1% 17.1% 14.3 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.0 4.9
14-6 10.0% 13.2% 13.2% 14.7 0.0 0.5 0.7 0.1 8.7
13-7 14.0% 10.3% 10.3% 15.1 0.0 0.2 1.0 0.3 12.6
12-8 15.8% 6.2% 6.2% 15.4 0.0 0.6 0.4 14.8
11-9 16.2% 4.7% 4.7% 15.8 0.2 0.6 15.4
10-10 14.1% 3.2% 3.2% 16.0 0.0 0.4 13.7
9-11 9.6% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.2 9.4
8-12 6.0% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 6.0
7-13 3.0% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.0 3.0
6-14 1.0% 1.0
5-15 0.3% 0.3
4-16 0.0% 0.0
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 7.0% 7.0% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.6 3.0 2.0 93.0 0.0%