Canisius
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.2#286
Expected Predictive Rating-8.0#291
Pace72.2#86
Improvement+0.8#140

Offense
Total Offense-4.0#283
First Shot-3.7#283
After Offensive Rebound-0.3#208
Layup/Dunks-5.9#341
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#54
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#207
Freethrows+0.3#153
Improvement+0.3#160

Defense
Total Defense-3.2#277
First Shot-1.6#231
After Offensive Rebounds-1.7#306
Layups/Dunks-6.9#350
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#268
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.2#7
Freethrows+0.3#168
Improvement+0.5#157
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.5% 0.5% 0.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 0.3% 0.4% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 3.6% 5.2% 0.9%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 45.5% 32.4% 67.5%
First Four0.4% 0.4% 0.4%
First Round0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Rider (Home) - 62.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 32 - 82 - 13
Quad 47 - 99 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 58   @ Miami (FL) L 67-77 5%     0 - 1 +1.1 -7.5 +9.1
  Nov 12, 2021 153   @ East Carolina L 71-83 17%     0 - 2 -8.9 -7.6 -0.3
  Nov 14, 2021 80   @ St. Bonaventure L 60-69 7%     0 - 3 +0.7 -10.5 +11.4
  Nov 20, 2021 156   @ Cleveland St. L 70-80 17%     0 - 4 -7.1 -2.3 -4.8
  Nov 24, 2021 302   Coppin St. W 76-75 63%     1 - 4 -9.7 -2.8 -7.0
  Nov 29, 2021 229   Cornell L 75-89 45%     1 - 5 -19.9 -3.5 -16.2
  Dec 03, 2021 219   Fairfield L 68-74 42%     1 - 6 0 - 1 -11.2 +1.4 -13.3
  Dec 05, 2021 137   Monmouth L 65-79 27%     1 - 7 0 - 2 -14.9 -11.2 -2.9
  Dec 08, 2021 264   @ Northern Kentucky L 62-75 34%     1 - 8 -16.0 -9.5 -7.1
  Dec 11, 2021 250   @ Youngstown St. L 43-71 31%     1 - 9 -30.2 -32.3 +2.1
  Dec 18, 2021 103   Buffalo W 65-64 19%     2 - 9 +3.0 -9.9 +12.9
  Dec 22, 2021 221   Florida Gulf Coast W 97-90 OT 43%     3 - 9 +1.7 +3.6 -3.1
  Jan 11, 2022 241   Quinnipiac W 79-67 49%     4 - 9 1 - 2 +5.1 -0.3 +5.0
  Jan 13, 2022 207   @ Niagara L 58-68 23%     4 - 10 1 - 3 -9.6 -11.4 +1.4
  Jan 16, 2022 267   @ Manhattan L 75-80 35%     4 - 11 1 - 4 -8.2 +0.6 -8.8
  Jan 18, 2022 205   @ St. Peter's L 57-65 23%     4 - 12 1 - 5 -7.5 -6.9 -1.1
  Jan 21, 2022 291   Rider W 72-69 63%    
  Jan 23, 2022 205   St. Peter's L 64-67 42%    
  Jan 28, 2022 137   @ Monmouth L 66-77 14%    
  Jan 30, 2022 291   @ Rider L 69-71 41%    
  Feb 01, 2022 246   @ Siena L 65-70 30%    
  Feb 04, 2022 90   Iona L 69-80 16%    
  Feb 06, 2022 267   Manhattan W 73-72 55%    
  Feb 12, 2022 177   @ Marist L 63-72 19%    
  Feb 14, 2022 219   @ Fairfield L 64-71 25%    
  Feb 19, 2022 207   Niagara L 66-69 43%    
  Feb 25, 2022 90   @ Iona L 66-82 6%    
  Feb 27, 2022 241   @ Quinnipiac L 72-77 30%    
  Mar 03, 2022 177   Marist L 66-70 37%    
  Mar 05, 2022 246   Siena L 67-68 51%    
Projected Record 9 - 21 6 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.5 3rd
4th 0.1 0.6 0.4 0.0 1.1 4th
5th 0.1 0.6 1.1 0.2 1.9 5th
6th 0.7 2.1 0.6 0.0 3.4 6th
7th 0.8 3.4 1.9 0.1 6.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.8 4.3 4.2 0.5 9.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 1.7 6.6 7.1 1.6 0.0 17.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.9 4.9 10.2 9.3 2.8 0.1 28.3 10th
11th 0.8 3.4 8.3 10.1 7.0 1.9 0.1 31.6 11th
Total 0.8 3.5 9.2 15.1 19.0 18.5 15.1 10.1 5.1 2.4 0.9 0.2 0.1 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 0.1% 8.6% 8.6% 15.0 0.0 0.1
12-8 0.2% 10.3% 10.3% 15.0 0.0 0.2
11-9 0.9% 3.5% 3.5% 16.0 0.0 0.8
10-10 2.4% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.1 2.4
9-11 5.1% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.1 5.0
8-12 10.1% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 10.0
7-13 15.1% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.1 15.1
6-14 18.5% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 18.4
5-15 19.0% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 19.0
4-16 15.1% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 15.1
3-17 9.2% 9.2
2-18 3.5% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 3.5
1-19 0.8% 0.8
0-20
Total 100% 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.4 99.5 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.7%