Quinnipiac
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.4#241
Expected Predictive Rating-2.6#212
Pace74.9#52
Improvement+1.8#89

Offense
Total Offense-1.7#221
First Shot-0.4#190
After Offensive Rebound-1.4#282
Layup/Dunks-1.3#221
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#298
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.0#48
Freethrows-0.9#254
Improvement+1.0#112

Defense
Total Defense-2.7#257
First Shot-0.6#187
After Offensive Rebounds-2.1#327
Layups/Dunks+1.5#128
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#274
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#260
Freethrows+1.2#95
Improvement+0.8#139
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.6% 4.5% 2.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.4 15.3 15.5
.500 or above 54.3% 76.6% 47.6%
.500 or above in Conference 51.7% 74.7% 44.8%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.9% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 1.2% 0.1% 1.5%
First Four0.6% 0.6% 0.5%
First Round2.3% 4.1% 1.7%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Iona (Home) - 23.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 32 - 63 - 9
Quad 412 - 614 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 70   @ Maryland L 69-83 9%     0 - 1 -3.8 -2.2 -0.8
  Nov 15, 2021 344   Holy Cross W 76-68 85%     1 - 1 -7.6 -10.6 +2.5
  Nov 20, 2021 343   Central Connecticut St. W 76-65 85%     2 - 1 -4.4 -1.1 -2.9
  Nov 23, 2021 230   @ New Hampshire L 69-84 37%     2 - 2 -16.0 -3.2 -13.4
  Nov 28, 2021 181   Brown L 61-72 45%     2 - 3 -14.3 -15.9 +2.4
  Dec 03, 2021 205   St. Peter's L 59-69 50%     2 - 4 0 - 1 -14.5 -11.4 -2.9
  Dec 05, 2021 267   @ Manhattan W 90-73 45%     3 - 4 1 - 1 +13.8 +9.0 +3.6
  Dec 08, 2021 243   @ Dartmouth W 72-69 41%     4 - 4 +1.0 +8.0 -6.7
  Dec 11, 2021 349   Maine W 73-47 88%     5 - 4 +9.1 +0.1 +11.1
  Dec 31, 2021 207   Niagara W 77-68 51%     6 - 4 2 - 1 +4.4 +6.8 -2.0
  Jan 09, 2022 207   @ Niagara L 66-76 32%     6 - 5 2 - 2 -9.6 -6.8 -2.6
  Jan 11, 2022 286   @ Canisius L 67-79 51%     6 - 6 2 - 3 -16.7 -9.9 -6.3
  Jan 14, 2022 291   @ Rider W 77-70 OT 53%     7 - 6 3 - 3 +1.8 -2.2 +3.5
  Jan 16, 2022 219   Fairfield W 72-66 53%     8 - 6 4 - 3 +0.8 +1.4 -0.3
  Jan 19, 2022 291   Rider W 73-67 71%     9 - 6 5 - 3 -4.2 -3.2 -1.0
  Jan 23, 2022 90   Iona L 73-81 23%    
  Jan 28, 2022 177   Marist L 69-70 47%    
  Jan 30, 2022 246   @ Siena L 69-71 39%    
  Feb 04, 2022 205   @ St. Peter's L 65-70 31%    
  Feb 06, 2022 137   Monmouth L 72-76 39%    
  Feb 09, 2022 219   @ Fairfield L 67-71 33%    
  Feb 13, 2022 267   Manhattan W 77-73 65%    
  Feb 20, 2022 177   @ Marist L 67-73 26%    
  Feb 24, 2022 246   Siena W 71-68 61%    
  Feb 27, 2022 286   Canisius W 77-72 70%    
  Mar 03, 2022 137   @ Monmouth L 69-78 20%    
  Mar 05, 2022 90   @ Iona L 70-83 10%    
Projected Record 14 - 13 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 1st
2nd 0.4 2.1 2.7 1.2 0.3 0.0 6.7 2nd
3rd 0.4 3.6 4.5 1.9 0.2 0.0 10.5 3rd
4th 0.2 3.6 7.2 2.7 0.2 13.9 4th
5th 0.2 2.8 8.7 3.9 0.3 0.0 15.8 5th
6th 0.0 1.6 8.0 6.1 0.6 0.0 16.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.8 6.1 7.3 1.0 0.0 15.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 3.6 6.5 2.0 0.0 12.4 8th
9th 0.1 1.5 3.5 1.4 0.1 6.6 9th
10th 0.2 1.1 0.8 0.0 2.1 10th
11th 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.3 11th
Total 0.5 3.1 8.8 15.8 20.2 19.8 15.6 9.6 4.8 1.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-4 45.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-5 27.6% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0
14-6 4.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 0.0% 0.0
16-4 0.1% 20.0% 20.0% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-5 0.4% 20.0% 20.0% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
14-6 1.5% 14.2% 14.2% 14.7 0.1 0.1 1.2
13-7 4.8% 8.6% 8.6% 15.2 0.0 0.3 0.1 4.4
12-8 9.6% 5.8% 5.8% 15.4 0.0 0.3 0.2 9.0
11-9 15.6% 3.9% 3.9% 15.5 0.0 0.2 0.3 15.0
10-10 19.8% 2.0% 2.0% 15.9 0.1 0.3 19.4
9-11 20.2% 0.9% 0.9% 15.9 0.0 0.2 20.0
8-12 15.8% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 15.7
7-13 8.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 8.7
6-14 3.1% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 3.1
5-15 0.5% 0.5
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 2.6% 2.6% 0.0% 15.4 0.0 0.2 1.1 1.3 97.4 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.3%