Fairfield
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.7#219
Expected Predictive Rating-4.2#242
Pace62.7#319
Improvement-2.9#298

Offense
Total Offense-2.0#229
First Shot-3.8#285
After Offensive Rebound+1.8#57
Layup/Dunks+1.0#134
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.7#343
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#184
Freethrows-1.1#264
Improvement-5.1#357

Defense
Total Defense-0.7#191
First Shot-2.1#250
After Offensive Rebounds+1.4#63
Layups/Dunks-5.0#334
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#283
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.6#25
Freethrows-0.3#216
Improvement+2.2#57
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.2% 5.8% 2.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.4 15.3 15.6
.500 or above 42.2% 57.5% 29.8%
.500 or above in Conference 47.5% 63.4% 34.6%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 4.1% 1.6% 6.2%
First Four0.9% 0.7% 1.0%
First Round3.8% 5.5% 2.4%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Monmouth (Home) - 44.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 33 - 73 - 11
Quad 412 - 615 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 44   @ Providence L 73-80 8%     0 - 1 +5.8 +1.5 +4.9
  Nov 14, 2021 138   @ Boston College L 64-72 26%     0 - 2 -3.9 -4.6 +0.4
  Nov 20, 2021 284   @ Sacred Heart W 71-61 58%     1 - 2 +5.4 +2.6 +4.1
  Nov 24, 2021 224   Stony Brook W 83-78 OT 60%     2 - 2 -0.4 +6.4 -6.8
  Nov 28, 2021 259   Loyola Maryland L 70-75 68%     2 - 3 -12.6 +0.9 -13.9
  Dec 03, 2021 286   @ Canisius W 74-68 58%     3 - 3 1 - 0 +1.3 +8.1 -6.1
  Dec 05, 2021 207   @ Niagara W 81-71 38%     4 - 3 2 - 0 +10.4 +12.8 -2.0
  Dec 08, 2021 344   Holy Cross W 74-59 88%     5 - 3 -0.6 +3.3 -1.7
  Dec 12, 2021 340   @ William & Mary W 70-47 75%     6 - 3 +13.3 +0.8 +14.8
  Dec 15, 2021 341   @ Fairleigh Dickinson W 72-54 75%     7 - 3 +8.3 -4.9 +13.5
  Dec 19, 2021 154   @ Massachusetts L 73-77 OT 29%     7 - 4 -1.0 -7.0 +6.2
  Dec 23, 2021 127   Wagner L 50-63 40%     7 - 5 -13.0 -15.6 +0.8
  Jan 07, 2022 177   Marist L 51-60 52%     7 - 6 2 - 1 -12.1 -18.6 +6.0
  Jan 09, 2022 246   @ Siena L 62-69 48%     7 - 7 2 - 2 -9.1 -14.0 +5.4
  Jan 11, 2022 90   Iona L 76-80 26%     7 - 8 2 - 3 -0.1 +3.3 -3.3
  Jan 16, 2022 241   @ Quinnipiac L 66-72 47%     7 - 9 2 - 4 -7.9 -4.4 -3.9
  Jan 20, 2022 137   Monmouth L 65-67 45%    
  Jan 23, 2022 177   @ Marist L 60-65 32%    
  Jan 28, 2022 291   @ Rider W 66-63 57%    
  Feb 04, 2022 137   @ Monmouth L 63-70 25%    
  Feb 06, 2022 246   Siena W 65-61 67%    
  Feb 09, 2022 241   Quinnipiac W 71-67 67%    
  Feb 12, 2022 207   Niagara W 63-61 59%    
  Feb 14, 2022 286   Canisius W 71-64 75%    
  Feb 16, 2022 267   Manhattan W 70-64 70%    
  Feb 18, 2022 205   St. Peter's W 61-59 58%    
  Feb 20, 2022 90   @ Iona L 63-75 13%    
  Feb 27, 2022 267   @ Manhattan W 68-67 50%    
  Mar 03, 2022 291   Rider W 69-61 77%    
  Mar 05, 2022 205   @ St. Peter's L 59-62 36%    
Projected Record 14 - 16 9 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.3 1.9 2.5 1.2 0.3 0.0 6.2 2nd
3rd 0.3 3.4 4.5 1.5 0.1 0.0 9.9 3rd
4th 0.2 3.5 6.4 2.3 0.1 0.0 12.4 4th
5th 0.1 2.4 7.9 3.7 0.3 0.0 14.5 5th
6th 0.0 1.4 7.3 5.4 0.5 14.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.8 5.9 6.2 0.9 0.0 13.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 4.0 6.4 1.6 0.1 12.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 2.5 4.4 1.7 0.1 9.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 1.4 2.1 1.0 0.1 4.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.3 0.0 1.7 11th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.6 5.5 10.2 15.6 17.8 18.1 14.3 9.0 4.2 1.4 0.3 0.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 28.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-5 15.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0
14-6 3.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 0.0% 23.8% 23.8% 13.0 0.0 0.0
15-5 0.3% 15.1% 15.1% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
14-6 1.4% 15.7% 15.7% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.2
13-7 4.2% 11.4% 11.4% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 3.7
12-8 9.0% 9.0% 9.0% 15.2 0.1 0.5 0.2 8.2
11-9 14.3% 7.0% 7.0% 15.5 0.0 0.5 0.5 13.3
10-10 18.1% 4.3% 4.3% 15.7 0.0 0.2 0.5 17.3
9-11 17.8% 2.4% 2.4% 15.8 0.1 0.4 17.4
8-12 15.6% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.3 15.4
7-13 10.2% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.1 10.1
6-14 5.5% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 5.4
5-15 2.6% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 2.6
4-16 0.7% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.0 0.7
3-17 0.1% 0.1
2-18 0.0% 0.0
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 4.2% 4.2% 0.0% 15.4 0.1 0.4 1.6 2.2 95.8 0.0%