Iona
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating+6.4#90
Expected Predictive Rating+12.8#36
Pace74.9#53
Improvement-1.2#225

Offense
Total Offense+3.3#87
First Shot+1.3#140
After Offensive Rebound+2.0#47
Layup/Dunks+3.7#57
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#289
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#259
Freethrows+2.0#48
Improvement+1.3#90

Defense
Total Defense+3.1#87
First Shot+2.5#96
After Offensive Rebounds+0.7#123
Layups/Dunks-3.5#305
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#88
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.2#8
Freethrows-1.4#281
Improvement-2.5#314
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 2.2% 2.9% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 53.6% 55.3% 47.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 8.2% 9.8% 3.3%
Average Seed 11.3 11.1 12.2
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 96.6% 97.8% 92.7%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four3.0% 3.4% 1.6%
First Round51.9% 53.3% 47.1%
Second Round13.0% 13.9% 9.8%
Sweet Sixteen2.9% 3.0% 2.7%
Elite Eight0.6% 0.6% 0.4%
Final Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Quinnipiac (Away) - 76.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 13 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 11 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 11 - 2
Quad 21 - 12 - 3
Quad 310 - 212 - 5
Quad 416 - 128 - 6


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 185   Appalachian St. W 65-53 82%     1 - 0 +8.6 -4.3 +13.8
  Nov 13, 2021 179   Harvard W 90-87 OT 82%     2 - 0 -0.2 -2.5 +1.8
  Nov 16, 2021 132   Hofstra W 82-74 74%     3 - 0 +7.7 +2.4 +4.9
  Nov 19, 2021 104   Liberty W 54-50 57%     4 - 0 +8.5 -9.3 +18.4
  Nov 20, 2021 298   North Alabama W 81-65 90%     5 - 0 +8.0 +2.7 +4.2
  Nov 25, 2021 16   Alabama W 72-68 22%     6 - 0 +18.5 -0.3 +18.5
  Nov 26, 2021 62   Belmont L 65-72 43%     6 - 1 +1.3 -6.2 +7.6
  Nov 28, 2021 7   Kansas L 83-96 14%     6 - 2 +4.9 +13.2 -7.8
  Dec 01, 2021 177   @ Marist W 78-71 67%     7 - 2 1 - 0 +8.9 +5.5 +3.2
  Dec 03, 2021 291   Rider W 80-54 93%     8 - 2 2 - 0 +15.8 -4.5 +17.7
  Dec 12, 2021 134   Yale W 91-77 66%     9 - 2 +16.1 +13.4 +1.8
  Dec 21, 2021 146   Delaware W 83-72 70%     10 - 2 +12.0 +5.1 +6.6
  Jan 02, 2022 177   Marist W 69-66 82%     11 - 2 3 - 0 -0.1 +0.0 +0.0
  Jan 08, 2022 71   @ Saint Louis L 67-68 36%     11 - 3 +9.2 +1.9 +7.3
  Jan 11, 2022 219   @ Fairfield W 80-76 74%     12 - 3 4 - 0 +3.8 +5.9 -2.1
  Jan 14, 2022 267   Manhattan W 88-76 91%     13 - 3 5 - 0 +3.8 -1.3 +3.4
  Jan 16, 2022 207   Niagara W 78-55 85%     14 - 3 6 - 0 +18.4 +7.2 +12.2
  Jan 18, 2022 137   @ Monmouth W 86-85 OT 59%     15 - 3 7 - 0 +5.1 +6.9 -1.9
  Jan 23, 2022 241   @ Quinnipiac W 81-73 77%    
  Jan 25, 2022 246   Siena W 76-62 91%    
  Jan 30, 2022 205   St. Peter's W 72-61 86%    
  Feb 04, 2022 286   @ Canisius W 80-69 84%    
  Feb 06, 2022 207   @ Niagara W 72-66 70%    
  Feb 11, 2022 246   @ Siena W 73-65 78%    
  Feb 13, 2022 137   Monmouth W 77-70 77%    
  Feb 15, 2022 205   @ St. Peter's W 70-64 69%    
  Feb 20, 2022 219   Fairfield W 75-63 87%    
  Feb 25, 2022 286   Canisius W 82-66 94%    
  Feb 27, 2022 291   @ Rider W 78-66 84%    
  Mar 03, 2022 267   @ Manhattan W 79-69 80%    
  Mar 05, 2022 241   Quinnipiac W 83-70 90%    
Projected Record 26 - 5 18 - 2




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 1.3 5.1 11.8 20.2 25.3 22.3 10.4 96.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 0.9 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.0 2.7 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 2.4 6.0 12.3 20.3 25.3 22.3 10.4 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 10.4    10.4
19-1 100.0% 22.3    22.3
18-2 100.0% 25.3    25.3 0.1
17-3 99.6% 20.2    19.6 0.6
16-4 95.9% 11.8    10.5 1.3 0.0
15-5 84.7% 5.1    3.6 1.3 0.1
14-6 55.6% 1.3    0.6 0.6 0.1 0.0
13-7 19.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 96.6% 96.6 92.4 3.9 0.3 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 10.4% 77.7% 61.8% 16.0% 8.2 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.3 1.2 0.9 1.4 0.9 1.1 0.5 0.0 2.3 41.7%
19-1 22.3% 63.1% 55.9% 7.2% 11.2 0.0 0.1 0.9 1.8 5.2 5.3 0.7 8.2 16.3%
18-2 25.3% 53.5% 50.9% 2.6% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.4 2.6 8.4 2.2 0.0 11.8 5.3%
17-3 20.3% 45.6% 44.8% 0.8% 12.2 0.0 0.7 5.7 2.8 0.0 11.0 1.4%
16-4 12.3% 42.7% 42.5% 0.2% 12.5 0.1 2.6 2.5 0.1 7.0 0.4%
15-5 6.0% 37.5% 37.5% 12.7 0.0 0.8 1.3 0.1 3.8
14-6 2.4% 34.1% 34.1% 13.0 0.1 0.6 0.1 1.6
13-7 0.7% 29.4% 29.4% 13.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.5
12-8 0.2% 42.1% 42.1% 13.3 0.1 0.0 0.1
11-9 0.0% 23.8% 23.8% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-10 0.0% 0.0 0.0
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 53.6% 49.5% 4.1% 11.3 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.3 1.2 1.0 2.2 3.1 9.6 23.4 10.4 0.4 0.0 46.4 8.2%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 6.4% 100.0% 7.6 0.7 3.0 10.0 20.4 17.9 12.5 18.7 9.0 5.8 1.8 0.2
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 1.4% 48.6% 10.4 0.8 3.0 5.8 10.9 21.1 6.9
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 1.6% 40.4% 10.8 0.4 1.5 3.6 7.4 17.7 8.3 1.5