Arizona St.
Pac-12
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+7.1#74
Expected Predictive Rating+8.6#68
Pace77.1#29
Improvement-3.2#305

Offense
Total Offense+1.9#127
First Shot+2.1#111
After Offensive Rebound-0.2#189
Layup/Dunks+2.5#77
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#182
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#200
Freethrows+0.7#130
Improvement-0.9#231

Defense
Total Defense+5.2#57
First Shot+2.9#85
After Offensive Rebounds+2.3#26
Layups/Dunks-0.7#206
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#11
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#204
Freethrows+1.2#110
Improvement-2.3#288
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.4% 0.5% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 14.9% 17.5% 8.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 12.8% 15.2% 7.1%
Average Seed 10.1 10.0 10.4
.500 or above 80.8% 86.7% 66.6%
.500 or above in Conference 46.2% 53.9% 28.0%
Conference Champion 1.1% 1.5% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 4.9% 2.8% 9.8%
First Four5.2% 6.0% 3.2%
First Round12.1% 14.2% 7.0%
Second Round4.4% 5.2% 2.6%
Sweet Sixteen1.2% 1.4% 0.7%
Elite Eight0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
Final Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Utah (Home) - 70.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b2 - 52 - 9
Quad 25 - 48 - 13
Quad 35 - 113 - 15
Quad 45 - 018 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2019 21   Colorado L 71-81 27%     0 - 1 +3.5 -4.6 +9.7
  Nov 14, 2019 350   Central Connecticut St. W 90-49 99%     1 - 1 +20.1 -3.1 +18.4
  Nov 17, 2019 189   Rider W 92-55 85%     2 - 1 +32.8 +1.1 +25.6
  Nov 23, 2019 78   St. John's W 80-67 51%     3 - 1 +19.9 +7.0 +12.0
  Nov 24, 2019 46   Virginia L 45-48 38%     3 - 2 +7.3 -6.0 +12.6
  Nov 26, 2019 175   @ Princeton W 67-65 68%     4 - 2 +4.4 -1.5 +6.1
  Dec 03, 2019 103   @ San Francisco W 71-67 48%     5 - 2 +11.5 -5.4 +16.8
  Dec 07, 2019 256   Louisiana W 77-65 92%     6 - 2 +3.7 -4.3 +7.4
  Dec 11, 2019 223   Prairie View W 88-79 89%     7 - 2 +2.5 +2.5 -1.3
  Dec 14, 2019 61   Georgia W 79-59 56%     8 - 2 +25.5 -1.4 +24.4
  Dec 18, 2019 39   St. Mary's L 56-96 34%     8 - 3 -28.7 -14.7 -13.2
  Dec 21, 2019 31   Creighton L 60-67 43%     8 - 4 +2.0 -8.7 +10.5
  Dec 28, 2019 263   Texas Southern W 98-81 92%     9 - 4 +8.4 +8.6 -2.2
  Jan 04, 2020 14   @ Arizona L 47-75 17%     9 - 5 0 - 1 -10.6 -21.6 +12.7
  Jan 09, 2020 63   @ Oregon St. W 82-76 35%     10 - 5 1 - 1 +17.1 +7.2 +9.6
  Jan 11, 2020 22   @ Oregon L 69-78 19%     10 - 6 1 - 2 +7.3 +6.1 +0.7
  Jan 16, 2020 21   Colorado L 61-68 37%     10 - 7 1 - 3 +3.6 -5.5 +9.1
  Jan 18, 2020 105   Utah W 77-72 70%    
  Jan 25, 2020 14   Arizona L 72-76 34%    
  Jan 29, 2020 132   @ Washington St. W 74-72 58%    
  Feb 01, 2020 45   @ Washington L 66-72 28%    
  Feb 06, 2020 126   UCLA W 76-68 77%    
  Feb 08, 2020 62   USC W 74-72 57%    
  Feb 13, 2020 41   @ Stanford L 65-72 26%    
  Feb 16, 2020 179   @ California W 71-66 66%    
  Feb 20, 2020 22   Oregon L 69-72 38%    
  Feb 22, 2020 63   Oregon St. W 74-72 57%    
  Feb 27, 2020 126   @ UCLA W 73-71 57%    
  Feb 29, 2020 62   @ USC L 71-75 35%    
  Mar 05, 2020 45   Washington L 69-70 48%    
  Mar 07, 2020 132   Washington St. W 77-69 77%    
Projected Record 17 - 14 8 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.0 1.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 1.5 0.8 0.1 2.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 2.4 1.9 0.3 0.0 5.0 3rd
4th 0.4 3.0 3.9 0.6 0.0 7.9 4th
5th 0.2 3.5 6.7 1.6 0.1 12.0 5th
6th 0.1 2.8 7.8 3.4 0.1 14.2 6th
7th 0.1 2.0 7.9 5.1 0.4 15.5 7th
8th 0.0 1.4 7.2 6.3 0.9 0.0 15.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.9 4.9 5.1 1.0 0.0 11.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 2.8 3.5 0.7 0.0 7.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 1.3 2.2 0.6 0.0 4.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.0 0.3 0.0 2.0 12th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.7 2.6 6.2 10.7 15.2 18.2 17.6 13.9 8.4 4.2 1.7 0.4 0.0 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-4 75.2% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
13-5 31.6% 0.5    0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0
12-6 4.5% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.1% 1.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.0% 100.0% 10.0% 90.0% 5.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 0.4% 98.0% 14.9% 83.2% 6.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 97.7%
13-5 1.7% 90.2% 10.8% 79.4% 8.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.2 89.0%
12-6 4.2% 70.9% 8.8% 62.1% 9.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.0 1.2 68.1%
11-7 8.4% 48.1% 5.5% 42.6% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.2 1.7 0.3 0.0 4.4 45.1%
10-8 13.9% 25.5% 3.6% 21.9% 10.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.9 1.9 0.5 10.3 22.8%
9-9 17.6% 9.6% 1.9% 7.7% 11.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 1.0 0.3 0.0 15.9 7.8%
8-10 18.2% 2.1% 1.2% 0.9% 11.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 17.8 0.9%
7-11 15.2% 0.9% 0.8% 0.1% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 15.1 0.1%
6-12 10.7% 0.7% 0.7% 12.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 10.6
5-13 6.2% 0.7% 0.7% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.1
4-14 2.6% 0.3% 0.3% 15.0 0.0 2.6
3-15 0.7% 0.7
2-16 0.2% 0.2
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 14.9% 2.4% 12.5% 10.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.0 2.2 3.5 5.8 1.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 85.1 12.8%