East Carolina
American Athletic
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.1#202
Expected Predictive Rating-3.1#219
Pace73.7#64
Improvement+2.8#72

Offense
Total Offense-1.7#226
First Shot-2.4#253
After Offensive Rebound+0.7#121
Layup/Dunks+1.5#117
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#93
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.8#342
Freethrows+1.5#69
Improvement-0.3#190

Defense
Total Defense-0.3#190
First Shot-1.9#245
After Offensive Rebounds+1.6#41
Layups/Dunks-0.1#180
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#18
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#290
Freethrows-1.8#296
Improvement+3.1#45
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 40 - 4
Quad 20 - 80 - 12
Quad 34 - 34 - 15
Quad 47 - 511 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 252   VMI W 80-68 73%     1 - 0 +3.7 +2.2 +1.5
  Nov 08, 2019 253   @ Navy L 57-62 51%     1 - 1 -7.4 -14.4 +6.8
  Nov 12, 2019 182   @ Appalachian St. L 62-68 34%     1 - 2 -3.8 -7.1 +3.3
  Nov 16, 2019 95   Liberty L 57-77 34%     1 - 3 -17.7 -6.4 -14.0
  Nov 22, 2019 279   Evansville W 85-68 67%     2 - 3 +10.4 +2.8 +6.3
  Nov 23, 2019 231   UMKC L 68-74 57%     2 - 4 -9.9 -4.2 -5.8
  Nov 24, 2019 203   Rice L 69-77 50%     2 - 5 -10.2 -11.5 +1.8
  Nov 30, 2019 305   @ James Madison L 89-99 61%     2 - 6 -15.0 +7.4 -21.9
  Dec 03, 2019 331   Coppin St. L 75-85 88%     2 - 7 -24.7 -9.2 -14.5
  Dec 14, 2019 271   Campbell W 79-67 75%     3 - 7 +2.7 -4.6 +6.2
  Dec 17, 2019 350   Maryland Eastern Shore W 71-57 95%     4 - 7 -7.6 -12.1 +3.3
  Dec 22, 2019 171   Charlotte W 60-56 54%     5 - 7 +0.9 -11.5 +12.4
  Dec 28, 2019 273   Eastern Kentucky W 82-74 75%     6 - 7 -1.3 -8.6 +5.9
  Jan 01, 2020 39   @ Wichita St. L 69-75 8%     6 - 8 0 - 1 +7.6 +4.9 +2.8
  Jan 07, 2020 115   South Florida W 62-59 39%     7 - 8 1 - 1 +3.9 -6.0 +10.0
  Jan 11, 2020 86   SMU W 71-68 31%     8 - 8 2 - 1 +6.1 +3.8 +2.7
  Jan 15, 2020 75   Tulsa L 49-65 28%     8 - 9 2 - 2 -12.1 -15.1 +1.7
  Jan 19, 2020 44   @ Cincinnati L 57-82 9%     8 - 10 2 - 3 -11.9 -11.9 +1.3
  Jan 22, 2020 86   @ SMU L 64-84 15%     8 - 11 2 - 4 -10.8 -0.8 -12.2
  Jan 25, 2020 179   Tulane W 81-62 56%     9 - 11 3 - 4 +15.4 +1.2 +13.0
  Jan 29, 2020 19   Houston L 59-69 12%     9 - 12 3 - 5 +0.7 -6.7 +7.2
  Feb 01, 2020 107   @ Temple L 64-76 18%     9 - 13 3 - 6 -4.5 -0.5 -4.3
  Feb 06, 2020 117   Central Florida L 64-68 39%     9 - 14 3 - 7 -3.2 -2.9 -0.7
  Feb 08, 2020 179   @ Tulane W 81-67 33%     10 - 14 4 - 7 +16.4 +6.8 +9.2
  Feb 12, 2020 75   @ Tulsa L 56-70 13%     10 - 15 4 - 8 -4.1 -10.4 +6.7
  Feb 16, 2020 44   Cincinnati L 67-70 OT 19%     10 - 16 4 - 9 +4.1 -6.5 +10.8
  Feb 19, 2020 57   @ Memphis L 73-77 11%     10 - 17 4 - 10 +7.6 +3.7 +4.4
  Feb 23, 2020 107   Temple W 67-63 37%     11 - 17 5 - 10 +5.4 -5.1 +10.3
  Feb 26, 2020 115   @ South Florida L 68-73 OT 20%     11 - 18 5 - 11 +1.9 -0.6 +2.7
  Feb 29, 2020 55   Connecticut L 63-84 22%     11 - 19 5 - 12 -15.1 -2.6 -13.9
  Mar 08, 2020 117   @ Central Florida L 62-94 20%     11 - 20 5 - 13 -25.2 -8.1 -16.3
Projected Record 11 - 20 5 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 100.0 100.0 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13 100.0% 100.0
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%