East Carolina
American Athletic
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.2#237
Expected Predictive Rating-10.0#296
Pace70.5#159
Improvement-0.6#251

Offense
Total Offense-1.9#231
First Shot-3.8#274
After Offensive Rebound+1.9#89
Layup/Dunks+0.0#172
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#131
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.4#289
Freethrows-0.2#187
Improvement-0.4#227

Defense
Total Defense-2.3#240
First Shot-4.7#307
After Offensive Rebounds+2.3#53
Layups/Dunks-0.5#194
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#43
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.6#315
Freethrows-2.2#291
Improvement-0.3#222
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.3 12.8 13.9
.500 or above 6.5% 13.4% 3.7%
.500 or above in Conference 5.2% 8.3% 3.9%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 45.5% 37.2% 48.9%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Evansville (Neutral) - 28.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 21 - 61 - 10
Quad 33 - 84 - 18
Quad 46 - 310 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 321   VMI W 80-68 81%     1 - 0 -1.5 -0.4 -1.0
  Nov 08, 2019 252   @ Navy L 57-62 41%     1 - 1 -6.8 -12.0 +4.9
  Nov 12, 2019 185   @ Appalachian St. L 62-68 29%     1 - 2 -4.5 -7.3 +2.7
  Nov 16, 2019 85   Liberty L 57-77 24%     1 - 3 -16.9 -6.6 -13.0
  Nov 22, 2019 139   Evansville L 68-74 29%    
  Nov 30, 2019 219   @ James Madison L 78-82 36%    
  Dec 03, 2019 323   Coppin St. W 82-73 81%    
  Dec 14, 2019 262   Campbell W 72-68 65%    
  Dec 17, 2019 349   Maryland Eastern Shore W 62-46 92%    
  Dec 22, 2019 214   Charlotte W 66-65 55%    
  Dec 28, 2019 267   Eastern Kentucky W 82-78 65%    
  Jan 01, 2020 54   @ Wichita St. L 61-78 7%    
  Jan 07, 2020 142   South Florida L 66-69 41%    
  Jan 11, 2020 93   SMU L 65-71 28%    
  Jan 15, 2020 144   Tulsa L 68-71 41%    
  Jan 19, 2020 25   @ Cincinnati L 59-79 4%    
  Jan 22, 2020 93   @ SMU L 62-74 14%    
  Jan 25, 2020 207   Tulane W 74-73 55%    
  Jan 29, 2020 45   Houston L 65-77 15%    
  Feb 01, 2020 88   @ Temple L 65-78 13%    
  Feb 06, 2020 115   Central Florida L 66-70 36%    
  Feb 08, 2020 207   @ Tulane L 71-76 34%    
  Feb 12, 2020 144   @ Tulsa L 65-74 23%    
  Feb 16, 2020 25   Cincinnati L 62-76 11%    
  Feb 19, 2020 23   @ Memphis L 69-90 4%    
  Feb 23, 2020 88   Temple L 68-75 28%    
  Feb 26, 2020 142   @ South Florida L 63-72 23%    
  Feb 29, 2020 84   Connecticut L 71-78 26%    
  Mar 08, 2020 115   @ Central Florida L 63-73 20%    
Projected Record 9 - 20 4 - 14





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.2 0.0 1.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.1 0.4 0.0 2.7 6th
7th 0.2 1.5 2.0 0.7 0.1 4.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.8 3.3 1.3 0.1 6.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 2.8 4.8 2.1 0.2 10.4 9th
10th 0.0 1.0 4.7 7.0 3.1 0.4 0.0 16.2 10th
11th 0.3 2.6 7.6 8.6 3.6 0.5 0.0 23.2 11th
12th 3.2 8.2 10.9 7.9 2.8 0.3 0.0 33.3 12th
Total 3.2 8.5 13.6 16.5 16.5 14.0 10.5 7.5 4.6 2.5 1.6 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0
14-4 53.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-5 11.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.8% 0.0    0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0
15-3 0.0% 0.0
14-4 0.1% 18.8% 18.8% 11.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 0.1% 0.1
12-6 0.3% 1.2% 1.2% 12.0 0.0 0.3
11-7 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 13.0 0.0 0.6
10-8 1.6% 1.5% 1.5% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.6
9-9 2.5% 0.5% 0.5% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.5
8-10 4.6% 0.2% 0.2% 14.0 0.0 4.6
7-11 7.5% 0.1% 0.1% 14.2 0.0 0.0 7.5
6-12 10.5% 0.0% 0.0% 14.0 0.0 10.5
5-13 14.0% 0.0% 0.0% 14.0 0.0 14.0
4-14 16.5% 16.5
3-15 16.5% 16.5
2-16 13.6% 13.6
1-17 8.5% 8.5
0-18 3.2% 3.2
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%