George Washington
Atlantic 10
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.3#193
Expected Predictive Rating-4.6#239
Pace66.8#252
Improvement+5.0#13

Offense
Total Offense-1.8#225
First Shot-0.5#194
After Offensive Rebound-1.3#273
Layup/Dunks+0.8#134
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#284
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#127
Freethrows-0.4#198
Improvement+2.0#67

Defense
Total Defense-0.6#177
First Shot-0.8#185
After Offensive Rebounds+0.3#148
Layups/Dunks-4.0#322
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#299
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.3#8
Freethrows-0.1#189
Improvement+2.9#33
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.5 14.5 n/a
.500 or above 1.3% 1.7% 0.3%
.500 or above in Conference 4.1% 5.5% 1.1%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 7.6% 2.8% 18.2%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Saint Joseph's (Home) - 69.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 21 - 61 - 10
Quad 33 - 64 - 16
Quad 48 - 512 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 173   @ Towson L 58-72 32%     0 - 1 -11.6 -10.7 -1.7
  Nov 09, 2019 349   Howard W 76-62 95%     1 - 1 -6.6 -9.6 +2.9
  Nov 12, 2019 216   American L 65-67 65%     1 - 2 -8.2 -8.0 -0.3
  Nov 16, 2019 321   Morgan St. L 64-68 84%     1 - 3 -16.8 -16.7 -0.1
  Nov 22, 2019 245   UMKC L 68-74 59%     1 - 4 -10.6 -6.3 -4.4
  Nov 23, 2019 272   Evansville W 78-70 64%     2 - 4 +1.9 +4.4 -2.4
  Nov 24, 2019 242   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 66-63 59%     3 - 4 -1.5 -7.6 +6.1
  Dec 01, 2019 91   @ South Carolina L 65-74 15%     3 - 5 -0.3 +0.0 -0.6
  Dec 04, 2019 187   Boston University W 64-63 56%     4 - 5 -2.9 -8.7 +5.9
  Dec 07, 2019 194   Delaware W 66-56 62%     5 - 5 +4.6 -3.2 +9.0
  Dec 21, 2019 98   Harvard L 75-88 33%     5 - 6 -10.9 +4.4 -15.5
  Dec 28, 2019 322   Longwood W 78-65 84%     6 - 6 +0.1 -1.5 +1.3
  Dec 31, 2019 89   @ Vermont L 51-76 15%     6 - 7 -16.1 -11.7 -6.4
  Jan 05, 2020 119   St. Bonaventure L 66-71 40%     6 - 8 0 - 1 -4.7 +0.5 -5.6
  Jan 08, 2020 95   @ Saint Louis L 58-63 16%     6 - 9 0 - 2 +3.3 -2.6 +5.4
  Jan 11, 2020 99   Duquesne L 61-66 33%     6 - 10 0 - 3 -2.9 -7.2 +4.0
  Jan 15, 2020 153   George Mason W 73-67 49%     7 - 10 1 - 3 +3.9 +0.9 +3.2
  Jan 18, 2020 206   @ Massachusetts W 75-51 41%     8 - 10 2 - 3 +24.0 +6.0 +19.5
  Jan 22, 2020 258   @ Fordham L 54-59 51%     8 - 11 2 - 4 -7.5 -12.3 +4.5
  Jan 25, 2020 240   Saint Joseph's W 76-71 69%    
  Jan 29, 2020 93   Davidson L 64-69 33%    
  Feb 01, 2020 73   @ Richmond L 62-75 11%    
  Feb 05, 2020 119   @ St. Bonaventure L 59-68 20%    
  Feb 08, 2020 62   Rhode Island L 64-72 24%    
  Feb 15, 2020 153   @ George Mason L 64-70 29%    
  Feb 19, 2020 99   @ Duquesne L 61-71 17%    
  Feb 22, 2020 183   La Salle W 67-66 56%    
  Feb 26, 2020 73   Richmond L 65-72 27%    
  Feb 29, 2020 43   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 59-75 7%    
  Mar 04, 2020 258   Fordham W 63-57 71%    
  Mar 07, 2020 8   @ Dayton L 60-81 2%    
Projected Record 12 - 19 6 - 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.9 6th
7th 0.1 0.7 1.1 0.3 2.2 7th
8th 0.1 1.6 2.9 1.1 0.1 5.8 8th
9th 0.8 6.6 9.6 3.7 0.4 0.0 21.2 9th
10th 0.4 6.8 11.2 4.5 0.5 23.3 10th
11th 0.1 5.0 11.8 5.5 0.5 0.0 22.9 11th
12th 1.6 7.9 4.4 0.5 14.4 12th
13th 0.4 3.1 3.1 0.3 0.0 6.9 13th
14th 0.8 1.3 0.3 0.0 2.3 14th
Total 1.1 6.2 16.6 24.1 23.9 16.2 7.8 3.0 0.9 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0% 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.1
10-8 0.9% 0.9
9-9 3.0% 0.7% 0.7% 13.0 0.0 3.0
8-10 7.8% 7.8
7-11 16.2% 16.2
6-12 23.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 23.9
5-13 24.1% 24.1
4-14 16.6% 16.6
3-15 6.2% 6.2
2-16 1.1% 1.1
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 14.5 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.5%