Mississippi St.
Southeastern
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+8.9#56
Expected Predictive Rating+8.7#66
Pace65.6#290
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+4.2#71
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+4.7#60
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 1.4% 1.5% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 5.2% 5.5% 0.5%
Top 6 Seed 12.3% 12.9% 2.9%
NCAA Tourney Bid 40.6% 41.8% 19.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 38.9% 40.1% 18.6%
Average Seed 7.9 7.8 8.8
.500 or above 72.2% 73.9% 44.3%
.500 or above in Conference 45.7% 46.7% 27.1%
Conference Champion 3.0% 3.1% 0.8%
Last Place in Conference 7.3% 6.8% 15.3%
First Four5.5% 5.6% 2.9%
First Round37.8% 38.9% 17.2%
Second Round20.4% 21.0% 10.2%
Sweet Sixteen6.9% 7.2% 1.8%
Elite Eight2.8% 2.9% 0.5%
Final Four1.0% 1.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.4% 0.4% 0.0%
National Champion0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Next Game: New Orleans (Home) - 94.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 51 - 5
Quad 1b2 - 43 - 8
Quad 24 - 38 - 12
Quad 35 - 113 - 13
Quad 45 - 017 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 166   Florida International W 77-69 87%     1 - 0 +4.6 +2.5 +2.4
  Nov 08, 2019 182   Sam Houston St. W 67-58 89%     2 - 0 +4.7 -5.3 +10.3
  Nov 14, 2019 229   Louisiana Monroe W 62-45 92%     3 - 0 +10.3 -7.6 +19.6
  Nov 17, 2019 262   New Orleans W 77-60 95%    
  Nov 21, 2019 226   Tulane W 78-65 88%    
  Dec 05, 2019 90   Louisiana Tech W 70-64 72%    
  Dec 14, 2019 51   Kansas St. L 60-61 47%    
  Dec 18, 2019 133   Radford W 71-61 82%    
  Dec 22, 2019 79   New Mexico St. W 69-67 59%    
  Dec 30, 2019 119   Kent St. W 74-65 80%    
  Jan 04, 2020 33   Auburn W 71-70 50%    
  Jan 08, 2020 52   @ Alabama L 72-76 37%    
  Jan 11, 2020 27   @ LSU L 72-79 29%    
  Jan 14, 2020 44   Missouri W 67-65 56%    
  Jan 18, 2020 66   Georgia W 76-72 63%    
  Jan 22, 2020 31   Arkansas L 71-72 49%    
  Jan 25, 2020 30   @ Oklahoma L 67-73 29%    
  Jan 28, 2020 22   @ Florida L 59-66 26%    
  Feb 01, 2020 28   Tennessee L 70-71 48%    
  Feb 04, 2020 5   @ Kentucky L 60-73 15%    
  Feb 08, 2020 120   Vanderbilt W 73-64 80%    
  Feb 11, 2020 50   @ Mississippi L 67-71 37%    
  Feb 15, 2020 31   @ Arkansas L 68-74 29%    
  Feb 19, 2020 63   South Carolina W 71-67 63%    
  Feb 22, 2020 74   @ Texas A&M L 68-69 45%    
  Feb 25, 2020 52   Alabama W 75-73 57%    
  Feb 29, 2020 44   @ Missouri L 64-68 36%    
  Mar 03, 2020 63   @ South Carolina L 68-70 44%    
  Mar 07, 2020 50   Mississippi W 70-68 57%    
Projected Record 17 - 12 8 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.0 3.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.4 1.8 1.3 0.3 0.0 5.0 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.6 2.4 1.4 0.2 0.0 5.9 3rd
4th 0.1 1.5 3.3 1.8 0.3 6.9 4th
5th 0.0 1.1 3.9 2.6 0.4 8.0 5th
6th 0.4 3.1 3.5 0.7 0.0 7.7 6th
7th 0.1 2.2 4.6 1.4 0.0 8.3 7th
8th 0.1 1.6 4.5 2.6 0.2 0.0 9.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.7 3.9 3.5 0.6 8.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 3.0 4.3 1.3 0.1 9.0 10th
11th 0.4 2.0 4.2 2.2 0.1 8.9 11th
12th 0.1 0.4 1.6 3.5 2.3 0.4 8.2 12th
13th 0.1 0.5 1.6 2.7 2.0 0.4 0.1 7.3 13th
14th 0.1 0.6 1.1 1.2 0.8 0.1 4.0 14th
Total 0.1 0.7 1.6 3.2 5.5 7.9 10.7 12.5 12.1 12.2 10.6 8.5 6.2 3.9 2.4 1.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
16-2 96.7% 0.4    0.4 0.1
15-3 69.4% 0.8    0.5 0.3 0.0
14-4 35.9% 0.8    0.4 0.3 0.1
13-5 11.5% 0.5    0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0
12-6 2.5% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.0% 3.0 1.6 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 100.0% 100.0% 1.3 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-1 0.2% 100.0% 33.3% 66.7% 1.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-2 0.4% 100.0% 26.5% 73.5% 2.4 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-3 1.2% 100.0% 17.7% 82.3% 3.2 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
14-4 2.4% 100.0% 11.9% 88.1% 4.2 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
13-5 3.9% 99.6% 10.6% 89.0% 5.4 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.7 0.8 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.6%
12-6 6.2% 95.9% 9.3% 86.6% 6.7 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.1 1.4 1.1 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.3 95.5%
11-7 8.5% 90.6% 4.0% 86.6% 8.1 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.9 1.3 1.4 1.7 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.8 90.2%
10-8 10.6% 77.7% 2.8% 74.9% 9.2 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.3 2.2 1.7 1.7 0.2 2.4 77.1%
9-9 12.2% 55.2% 1.5% 53.8% 9.9 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.6 1.2 1.9 2.1 0.5 5.5 54.6%
8-10 12.1% 21.9% 1.4% 20.5% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.7 1.0 0.3 9.5 20.8%
7-11 12.5% 7.6% 0.9% 6.7% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 11.5 6.8%
6-12 10.7% 1.8% 0.4% 1.4% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 10.5 1.4%
5-13 7.9% 0.4% 0.2% 0.2% 10.5 0.0 0.0 7.9 0.2%
4-14 5.5% 5.5
3-15 3.2% 3.2
2-16 1.6% 1.6
1-17 0.7% 0.7
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 40.6% 2.8% 37.8% 7.9 0.4 1.0 1.5 2.3 3.0 4.1 4.2 4.3 6.4 6.2 6.0 1.3 59.4 38.9%