Penn St.
Big Ten
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+12.8#26
Expected Predictive Rating+13.9#21
Pace74.4#52
Improvement-2.9#286

Offense
Total Offense+5.7#42
First Shot+3.4#72
After Offensive Rebound+2.3#26
Layup/Dunks+1.9#98
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#115
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#152
Freethrows+0.3#160
Improvement-0.8#218

Defense
Total Defense+7.0#23
First Shot+6.5#17
After Offensive Rebounds+0.5#133
Layups/Dunks+2.4#77
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#246
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#61
Freethrows+2.2#38
Improvement-2.1#278
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.2% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 54.4% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 99.5% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 99.5% n/a n/a
Average Seed 6.4 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round99.5% n/a n/a
Second Round60.9% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen27.5% n/a n/a
Elite Eight12.0% n/a n/a
Final Four4.6% n/a n/a
Championship Game1.7% n/a n/a
National Champion0.7% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 6 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a3 - 43 - 4
Quad 1b4 - 37 - 7
Quad 26 - 113 - 8
Quad 32 - 215 - 10
Quad 46 - 021 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 350   Maryland Eastern Shore W 84-46 99.5%    1 - 0 +16.4 +7.6 +9.2
  Nov 09, 2019 336   Wagner W 91-64 99%     2 - 0 +11.8 -2.3 +10.9
  Nov 14, 2019 66   @ Georgetown W 81-66 57%     3 - 0 +26.0 +1.9 +22.2
  Nov 19, 2019 242   Bucknell W 98-70 96%     4 - 0 +20.4 +18.2 +0.6
  Nov 23, 2019 72   Yale W 58-56 79%     5 - 0 +6.2 -10.3 +16.6
  Nov 27, 2019 93   Mississippi L 72-74 76%     5 - 1 +3.5 -2.0 +5.6
  Nov 29, 2019 46   Syracuse W 85-64 61%     6 - 1 +31.0 +10.3 +19.6
  Dec 04, 2019 94   Wake Forest W 76-54 84%     7 - 1 +24.3 -4.1 +26.6
  Dec 07, 2019 9   @ Ohio St. L 74-106 30%     7 - 2 0 - 1 -13.7 +9.6 -23.3
  Dec 10, 2019 10   Maryland W 76-69 53%     8 - 2 1 - 1 +19.0 +5.6 +13.0
  Dec 14, 2019 54   Alabama W 73-71 75%     9 - 2 +7.9 -7.9 +15.5
  Dec 20, 2019 346   Central Connecticut St. W 87-58 99%     10 - 2 +9.9 +1.3 +7.4
  Dec 29, 2019 264   Cornell W 90-59 97%     11 - 2 +22.1 +13.3 +9.7
  Jan 04, 2020 25   Iowa W 89-86 49%     12 - 2 2 - 1 +16.0 +12.3 +3.5
  Jan 07, 2020 30   @ Rutgers L 61-72 39%     12 - 3 2 - 2 +4.5 -3.6 +8.4
  Jan 11, 2020 21   Wisconsin L 49-58 58%     12 - 4 2 - 3 +1.6 -11.5 +12.0
  Jan 15, 2020 28   @ Minnesota L 69-75 39%     12 - 5 2 - 4 +9.6 +9.1 +0.0
  Jan 18, 2020 9   Ohio St. W 90-76 52%     13 - 5 3 - 4 +26.3 +20.7 +5.3
  Jan 22, 2020 15   @ Michigan W 72-63 33%     14 - 5 4 - 4 +26.3 +2.9 +22.8
  Jan 29, 2020 34   Indiana W 64-49 66%     15 - 5 5 - 4 +23.5 -3.1 +26.6
  Feb 01, 2020 156   @ Nebraska W 76-64 81%     16 - 5 6 - 4 +15.7 +0.8 +14.1
  Feb 04, 2020 4   @ Michigan St. W 75-70 23%     17 - 5 7 - 4 +25.6 +12.3 +13.3
  Feb 08, 2020 28   Minnesota W 83-77 62%     18 - 5 8 - 4 +15.5 +13.4 +2.0
  Feb 11, 2020 24   @ Purdue W 88-76 37%     19 - 5 9 - 4 +28.1 +26.4 +1.9
  Feb 15, 2020 118   Northwestern W 77-61 87%     20 - 5 10 - 4 +16.5 +4.9 +11.8
  Feb 18, 2020 31   Illinois L 56-62 63%     20 - 6 10 - 5 +3.3 -6.9 +9.7
  Feb 23, 2020 34   @ Indiana L 60-68 43%     20 - 7 10 - 6 +6.5 -3.9 +10.3
  Feb 26, 2020 30   Rutgers W 65-64 63%     21 - 7 11 - 6 +10.5 -1.3 +11.7
  Feb 29, 2020 25   @ Iowa L 68-77 38%     21 - 8 11 - 7 +7.0 -1.6 +8.7
  Mar 03, 2020 4   Michigan St. L 71-79 43%     21 - 9 11 - 8 +6.5 +9.6 -3.6
  Mar 07, 2020 118   @ Northwestern L 69-80 72%     21 - 10 11 - 9 -4.4 -1.9 -2.3
Projected Record 21 - 10 11 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 0.0%
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 100.0% 99.5% 99.5% 6.4 0.0 0.2 9.0 45.2 38.0 6.8 0.2 0.5 99.5%
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 99.5% 0.0% 99.5% 6.4 0.0 0.2 9.0 45.2 38.0 6.8 0.2 0.5 99.5%