Mississippi
Southeastern
2021-22 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+8.2#64
Expected Predictive Rating+12.4#43
Pace64.5#285
Improvement-0.2#300

Offense
Total Offense+4.2#66
First Shot+1.2#132
After Offensive Rebound+3.0#35
Layup/Dunks+0.5#153
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#68
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#186
Freethrows-1.1#246
Improvement-0.1#300

Defense
Total Defense+4.0#70
First Shot+6.3#37
After Offensive Rebounds-2.3#302
Layups/Dunks+1.9#116
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#308
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.1#58
Freethrows+2.3#67
Improvement+0.0#211
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.1% 0.4% 0.1%
Top 4 Seed 1.1% 3.1% 0.5%
Top 6 Seed 4.7% 11.0% 2.7%
NCAA Tourney Bid 33.9% 52.2% 28.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 31.9% 50.4% 26.0%
Average Seed 8.8 8.3 9.2
.500 or above 79.6% 92.2% 75.5%
.500 or above in Conference 45.7% 56.0% 42.4%
Conference Champion 1.2% 1.9% 0.9%
Last Place in Conference 2.5% 1.3% 2.9%
First Four6.2% 7.2% 5.8%
First Round30.7% 48.1% 25.1%
Second Round13.8% 23.0% 10.8%
Sweet Sixteen3.7% 6.5% 2.8%
Elite Eight1.2% 2.2% 0.9%
Final Four0.4% 0.8% 0.2%
Championship Game0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
National Champion0.0% 0.1% 0.0%

Next Game: Memphis (Away) - 24.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 51 - 5
Quad 1b2 - 33 - 9
Quad 24 - 37 - 12
Quad 35 - 112 - 13
Quad 46 - 018 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 291   Alcorn St. W 73-58 94%     1 - 0 +5.1 -1.3 +7.1
  Nov 11, 2022 65   Florida Atlantic W 80-67 62%     2 - 0 +18.2 +15.9 +3.2
  Nov 15, 2022 149   Chattanooga W 70-58 83%     3 - 0 +10.1 +1.4 +9.7
  Nov 18, 2022 329   Tennessee Martin W 72-68 97%     4 - 0 -10.1 -12.1 +1.9
  Nov 24, 2022 81   Stanford W 72-68 56%     5 - 0 +10.6 +7.0 +3.8
  Nov 25, 2022 194   Siena W 74-62 82%     6 - 0 +10.7 +3.3 +7.6
  Nov 27, 2022 40   Oklahoma L 55-59 41%     6 - 1 +6.6 +0.7 +5.1
  Dec 03, 2022 31   @ Memphis L 65-72 24%    
  Dec 10, 2022 278   Valparaiso W 74-57 95%    
  Dec 14, 2022 75   Central Florida W 64-60 64%    
  Dec 17, 2022 95   Temple W 70-64 71%    
  Dec 20, 2022 325   North Alabama W 81-59 98%    
  Dec 28, 2022 5   Tennessee L 60-67 25%    
  Jan 03, 2023 12   @ Alabama L 66-77 15%    
  Jan 07, 2023 26   @ Mississippi St. L 57-65 24%    
  Jan 10, 2023 29   Auburn L 65-67 44%    
  Jan 14, 2023 124   Georgia W 69-61 77%    
  Jan 17, 2023 231   @ South Carolina W 70-61 78%    
  Jan 21, 2023 15   @ Arkansas L 63-74 16%    
  Jan 24, 2023 51   Missouri W 78-76 55%    
  Jan 28, 2023 38   @ Oklahoma St. L 64-69 31%    
  Jan 31, 2023 18   Kentucky L 66-71 35%    
  Feb 04, 2023 88   @ Vanderbilt L 68-69 47%    
  Feb 07, 2023 124   @ Georgia W 66-64 57%    
  Feb 11, 2023 231   South Carolina W 73-58 91%    
  Feb 15, 2023 66   @ Florida L 70-73 40%    
  Feb 18, 2023 26   Mississippi St. L 60-62 43%    
  Feb 22, 2023 29   @ Auburn L 62-70 25%    
  Feb 25, 2023 62   LSU W 69-66 60%    
  Feb 28, 2023 56   Texas A&M W 71-69 58%    
  Mar 04, 2023 51   @ Missouri L 75-79 35%    
Projected Record 18 - 13 8 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.2 1st
2nd 0.1 0.5 1.4 0.9 0.2 0.0 3.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.8 2.0 1.3 0.3 0.0 4.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 3.0 2.0 0.4 0.0 6.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 3.1 3.4 0.7 0.0 0.0 7.7 5th
6th 0.3 2.9 4.9 1.3 0.1 9.5 6th
7th 0.1 2.2 5.9 2.7 0.1 0.0 11.0 7th
8th 0.1 1.5 5.6 3.8 0.4 11.3 8th
9th 0.0 1.0 4.9 5.1 0.9 0.0 11.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.6 3.7 5.5 1.4 0.0 11.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 2.6 4.4 1.9 0.1 9.4 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 1.9 3.3 1.6 0.2 7.4 12th
13th 0.0 0.3 1.4 1.8 1.0 0.2 4.6 13th
14th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.0 14th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.1 4.3 7.5 10.9 14.0 14.7 14.0 11.9 8.7 5.4 3.3 1.7 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 89.7% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
15-3 65.7% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
14-4 28.1% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 5.4% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 0.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.2% 1.2 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 100.0% 3.4% 96.6% 3.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-3 0.5% 100.0% 6.1% 93.9% 4.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
14-4 1.7% 99.7% 9.0% 90.7% 5.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 99.7%
13-5 3.3% 98.6% 7.0% 91.7% 6.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.8 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 98.5%
12-6 5.4% 95.7% 5.5% 90.3% 7.7 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.3 1.5 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.2 95.5%
11-7 8.7% 82.8% 5.0% 77.7% 8.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.8 2.0 1.6 0.6 0.0 1.5 81.9%
10-8 11.9% 62.1% 3.2% 58.9% 9.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 1.8 2.3 1.6 0.3 4.5 60.8%
9-9 14.0% 39.3% 3.0% 36.3% 10.3 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.7 2.1 0.6 0.0 0.0 8.5 37.4%
8-10 14.7% 14.6% 2.8% 11.8% 11.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 12.6 12.1%
7-11 14.0% 4.0% 1.8% 2.2% 12.2 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 13.5 2.2%
6-12 10.9% 1.6% 1.5% 0.1% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 10.7 0.1%
5-13 7.5% 0.8% 0.8% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.5
4-14 4.3% 0.9% 0.9% 15.9 0.0 0.0 4.3
3-15 2.1% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 2.1
2-16 0.7% 0.7
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 33.9% 2.9% 31.0% 8.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.3 2.3 3.8 5.3 5.9 6.4 5.6 1.6 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 66.1 31.9%