Coastal Carolina
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.6#300
Expected Predictive Rating-12.8#328
Pace69.9#167
Improvement-0.7#239

Offense
Total Offense-2.1#239
First Shot-4.6#296
After Offensive Rebound+2.5#55
Layup/Dunks-1.8#240
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#201
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#123
Freethrows-4.2#347
Improvement-1.0#268

Defense
Total Defense-5.4#332
First Shot-3.8#292
After Offensive Rebounds-1.7#290
Layups/Dunks+4.9#44
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#56
3 Pt Jumpshots-11.4#362
Freethrows+0.6#143
Improvement+0.3#158
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.3% 0.4% 0.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.9 15.7
.500 or above 3.4% 5.9% 1.0%
.500 or above in Conference 12.7% 16.5% 9.3%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 30.6% 25.9% 34.9%
First Four0.3% 0.3% 0.2%
First Round0.2% 0.3% 0.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Wofford (Home) - 48.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 31 - 81 - 11
Quad 46 - 88 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 16, 2023 84   Wichita St. L 77-86 16%     0 - 1 -5.9 +2.2 -7.5
  Nov 17, 2023 122   Furman L 80-89 24%     0 - 2 -9.1 -1.2 -7.3
  Nov 19, 2023 107   College of Charleston L 72-80 21%     0 - 3 -7.0 -3.0 -3.6
  Nov 26, 2023 283   NC Central L 58-70 57%     0 - 4 -21.5 -15.8 -6.4
  Nov 29, 2023 271   South Carolina Upstate W 72-70 OT 56%     1 - 4 -7.1 -9.1 +1.9
  Dec 02, 2023 176   Winthrop L 87-90 35%     1 - 5 -6.6 +8.8 -15.4
  Dec 09, 2023 243   Wofford L 77-78 48%    
  Dec 18, 2023 107   @ College of Charleston L 70-85 9%    
  Dec 21, 2023 361   N.C. A&T W 85-73 87%    
  Dec 30, 2023 189   Troy L 73-76 39%    
  Jan 04, 2024 213   @ Texas St. L 64-72 22%    
  Jan 06, 2024 174   @ Louisiana L 70-80 18%    
  Jan 11, 2024 114   Appalachian St. L 67-75 23%    
  Jan 13, 2024 206   Old Dominion L 70-73 41%    
  Jan 18, 2024 313   @ Georgia Southern L 75-77 43%    
  Jan 20, 2024 114   @ Appalachian St. L 64-78 11%    
  Jan 24, 2024 185   Southern Miss L 72-76 38%    
  Jan 27, 2024 204   Georgia St. L 72-75 41%    
  Feb 01, 2024 68   @ James Madison L 72-90 5%    
  Feb 03, 2024 196   @ Marshall L 73-82 21%    
  Feb 07, 2024 286   @ Louisiana Monroe L 69-73 36%    
  Feb 15, 2024 313   Georgia Southern W 78-74 64%    
  Feb 17, 2024 196   Marshall L 76-79 40%    
  Feb 21, 2024 204   @ Georgia St. L 69-78 22%    
  Feb 24, 2024 206   @ Old Dominion L 67-76 23%    
  Feb 28, 2024 240   Arkansas St. L 73-74 48%    
  Mar 01, 2024 68   James Madison L 75-87 14%    
Projected Record 8 - 19 5 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.6 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.1 3rd
4th 0.1 0.7 0.7 0.2 0.0 1.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 1.3 0.6 0.0 2.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 1.7 1.0 0.1 3.2 6th
7th 0.2 1.8 2.1 0.4 0.0 4.5 7th
8th 0.1 1.4 3.4 1.0 0.0 5.9 8th
9th 0.8 3.9 2.7 0.2 7.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 3.5 4.1 0.7 0.0 8.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.5 3.7 5.5 2.0 0.1 11.7 11th
12th 0.1 0.6 4.3 6.6 2.9 0.3 14.8 12th
13th 0.1 1.4 4.3 7.3 3.9 0.6 0.0 17.6 13th
14th 1.1 3.3 5.9 6.0 3.1 0.6 0.1 20.0 14th
Total 1.1 3.4 7.3 10.9 15.2 15.2 13.4 11.8 9.0 5.7 3.6 2.0 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2
15-3 33.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 43.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 10.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2
15-3 0.0% 0.0
14-4 0.1% 11.3% 11.3% 14.0 0.0 0.1
13-5 0.4% 5.7% 5.7% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.4
12-6 1.0% 1.2% 1.2% 15.0 0.0 1.0
11-7 2.0% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.0 1.9
10-8 3.6% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 3.5
9-9 5.7% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 5.6
8-10 9.0% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 9.0
7-11 11.8% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 11.8
6-12 13.4% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 13.3
5-13 15.2% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 15.2
4-14 15.2% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 15.2
3-15 10.9% 10.9
2-16 7.3% 7.3
1-17 3.4% 3.4
0-18 1.1% 1.1
Total 100% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.3 99.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%