Marshall
Sun Belt
2022-23 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.5#196
Expected Predictive Rating-6.4#271
Pace78.5#16
Improvement-2.5#326

Offense
Total Offense-1.3#210
First Shot-4.8#300
After Offensive Rebound+3.5#29
Layup/Dunks-4.1#308
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#184
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#255
Freethrows+1.7#83
Improvement-0.9#259

Defense
Total Defense-0.2#175
First Shot-2.2#249
After Offensive Rebounds+2.0#51
Layups/Dunks-0.2#189
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#268
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#237
Freethrows+0.5#149
Improvement-1.6#308
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.6% 4.9% 3.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.8 14.5 15.1
.500 or above 30.9% 46.6% 23.2%
.500 or above in Conference 59.1% 67.5% 55.0%
Conference Champion 3.8% 5.5% 3.0%
Last Place in Conference 4.0% 2.9% 4.5%
First Four1.1% 0.9% 1.2%
First Round3.1% 4.3% 2.5%
Second Round0.3% 0.6% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Duquesne (Home) - 32.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 31 - 6
Quad 33 - 74 - 13
Quad 49 - 513 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 255   Queens W 89-73 73%     1 - 0 +7.9 +0.7 +5.2
  Nov 10, 2023 164   Radford L 62-66 44%     1 - 1 -4.0 -9.1 +5.0
  Nov 19, 2023 56   Utah St. L 60-83 16%     1 - 2 -14.1 -10.9 -2.3
  Nov 20, 2023 228   Florida International W 80-69 56%     2 - 2 +7.9 +1.9 +5.3
  Nov 21, 2023 155   Oakland L 71-78 43%     2 - 3 -6.7 -8.3 +2.1
  Nov 24, 2023 18   @ Kentucky L 82-118 5%     2 - 4 -18.5 +5.6 -19.8
  Dec 02, 2023 252   Miami (OH) L 74-79 73%     2 - 5 -12.9 -8.8 -3.7
  Dec 06, 2023 85   Duquesne L 76-81 33%    
  Dec 09, 2023 129   @ Ohio L 76-83 25%    
  Dec 13, 2023 120   @ Toledo L 78-86 24%    
  Dec 16, 2023 103   UNC Greensboro L 72-75 38%    
  Dec 21, 2023 116   UNC Wilmington L 72-74 44%    
  Dec 30, 2023 174   Louisiana W 78-76 57%    
  Jan 03, 2024 286   @ Louisiana Monroe W 74-72 58%    
  Jan 06, 2024 213   @ Texas St. L 68-70 41%    
  Jan 10, 2024 313   Georgia Southern W 83-73 82%    
  Jan 13, 2024 231   South Alabama W 76-71 67%    
  Jan 18, 2024 206   @ Old Dominion L 72-75 41%    
  Jan 20, 2024 68   @ James Madison L 78-90 13%    
  Jan 24, 2024 204   Georgia St. W 77-74 62%    
  Jan 27, 2024 185   Southern Miss W 78-75 60%    
  Feb 01, 2024 206   Old Dominion W 75-72 62%    
  Feb 03, 2024 300   Coastal Carolina W 82-73 79%    
  Feb 07, 2024 189   @ Troy L 75-78 39%    
  Feb 15, 2024 114   @ Appalachian St. L 69-77 23%    
  Feb 17, 2024 300   @ Coastal Carolina W 79-76 60%    
  Feb 21, 2024 68   James Madison L 81-87 30%    
  Feb 24, 2024 114   Appalachian St. L 72-74 42%    
  Feb 28, 2024 313   @ Georgia Southern W 80-76 64%    
  Mar 01, 2024 204   @ Georgia St. L 74-77 41%    
Projected Record 13 - 17 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.7 1.3 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 3.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.7 2.8 1.9 0.5 0.0 7.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 2.2 3.8 2.2 0.4 0.0 8.9 3rd
4th 0.1 1.8 4.6 2.7 0.4 9.7 4th
5th 0.0 1.4 5.1 3.5 0.6 0.0 10.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 3.8 4.6 1.0 0.0 9.9 6th
7th 0.2 2.6 5.2 1.4 0.1 9.5 7th
8th 0.1 1.4 5.5 2.4 0.2 9.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 3.9 3.4 0.4 8.2 9th
10th 0.2 2.5 4.0 0.8 7.5 10th
11th 0.1 1.1 2.9 1.4 0.1 5.6 11th
12th 0.1 0.8 2.2 1.3 0.2 0.0 4.6 12th
13th 0.1 0.4 1.4 1.2 0.2 3.3 13th
14th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.8 14th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 2.8 5.0 7.5 11.1 12.9 13.2 13.3 11.6 9.0 6.0 3.6 1.7 0.5 0.1 0.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 92.1% 0.5    0.4 0.1
15-3 67.8% 1.2    0.7 0.4 0.1
14-4 36.6% 1.3    0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0
13-5 10.9% 0.7    0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1
12-6 1.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.8% 3.8 1.8 1.2 0.6 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 20.8% 20.8% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.5% 23.4% 23.4% 13.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4
15-3 1.7% 15.3% 15.3% 13.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 1.4
14-4 3.6% 14.0% 14.0% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 3.1
13-5 6.0% 8.0% 8.0% 14.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 5.6
12-6 9.0% 6.8% 6.8% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 8.4
11-7 11.6% 4.8% 4.8% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 11.1
10-8 13.3% 2.7% 2.7% 15.8 0.1 0.3 12.9
9-9 13.2% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.0 0.2 13.0
8-10 12.9% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.2 12.8
7-11 11.1% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.2 10.9
6-12 7.5% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 7.4
5-13 5.0% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 5.0
4-14 2.8% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 2.8
3-15 1.0% 1.0
2-16 0.4% 0.4
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 3.6% 3.6% 0.0% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.9 1.4 96.4 0.0%