Georgia St.
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.8#204
Expected Predictive Rating-2.4#218
Pace67.4#227
Improvement-1.6#284

Offense
Total Offense-0.6#192
First Shot-1.2#209
After Offensive Rebound+0.6#149
Layup/Dunks-3.9#302
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#45
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#252
Freethrows+1.6#89
Improvement-1.5#294

Defense
Total Defense-1.3#211
First Shot-0.5#194
After Offensive Rebounds-0.8#245
Layups/Dunks-7.5#350
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.8#10
3 Pt Jumpshots+7.0#11
Freethrows-3.7#332
Improvement-0.1#197
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.9% 4.9% 2.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.7 14.6 15.1
.500 or above 35.7% 47.6% 23.5%
.500 or above in Conference 55.0% 60.4% 49.4%
Conference Champion 2.9% 3.5% 2.4%
Last Place in Conference 4.6% 3.5% 5.7%
First Four1.0% 0.8% 1.1%
First Round3.6% 4.7% 2.5%
Second Round0.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Mercer (Away) - 50.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 21 - 4
Quad 33 - 63 - 11
Quad 49 - 412 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 148   @ Belmont L 87-89 29%     0 - 1 +1.9 +5.5 -3.4
  Nov 11, 2023 302   @ Western Michigan W 77-70 61%     1 - 1 +2.3 +5.6 -2.9
  Nov 17, 2023 160   Northern Illinois L 64-70 54%     1 - 2 -8.9 -14.0 +5.2
  Nov 19, 2023 238   Arkansas Little Rock W 88-77 68%     2 - 2 +4.3 +10.6 -6.1
  Nov 22, 2023 238   @ Arkansas Little Rock W 93-90 OT 46%     3 - 2 +2.3 -0.9 +2.6
  Nov 25, 2023 131   @ Charlotte L 57-65 25%     3 - 3 -2.7 -5.6 +2.2
  Dec 02, 2023 212   @ Kennesaw St. L 77-88 40%     3 - 4 -10.2 +0.7 -10.4
  Dec 09, 2023 257   @ Mercer W 68-67 51%    
  Dec 16, 2023 9   @ BYU L 63-84 2%    
  Dec 30, 2023 240   Arkansas St. W 74-69 68%    
  Jan 04, 2024 185   @ Southern Miss L 70-74 37%    
  Jan 06, 2024 231   @ South Alabama L 68-70 44%    
  Jan 11, 2024 206   Old Dominion W 71-68 62%    
  Jan 13, 2024 313   Georgia Southern W 78-68 81%    
  Jan 17, 2024 114   @ Appalachian St. L 64-73 22%    
  Jan 20, 2024 313   @ Georgia Southern W 75-71 62%    
  Jan 24, 2024 196   @ Marshall L 74-77 38%    
  Jan 27, 2024 300   @ Coastal Carolina W 75-72 59%    
  Feb 01, 2024 114   Appalachian St. L 67-70 42%    
  Feb 03, 2024 189   Troy W 73-71 59%    
  Feb 07, 2024 174   @ Louisiana L 70-74 34%    
  Feb 15, 2024 68   @ James Madison L 72-85 13%    
  Feb 17, 2024 206   @ Old Dominion L 68-71 40%    
  Feb 21, 2024 300   Coastal Carolina W 78-69 78%    
  Feb 24, 2024 213   Texas St. W 67-64 62%    
  Feb 28, 2024 68   James Madison L 75-82 28%    
  Mar 01, 2024 196   Marshall W 77-74 59%    
Projected Record 12 - 15 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.4 1.1 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.5 2.3 1.7 0.5 0.0 6.4 2nd
3rd 0.3 2.0 3.4 2.0 0.3 7.9 3rd
4th 0.1 1.9 4.7 2.3 0.3 0.0 9.4 4th
5th 0.0 1.4 4.4 3.2 0.5 9.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 4.3 4.3 0.8 0.0 10.0 6th
7th 0.2 3.0 5.1 1.5 0.0 9.8 7th
8th 0.0 1.4 5.3 2.3 0.1 9.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.7 3.8 3.7 0.5 8.7 9th
10th 0.3 2.8 4.0 1.0 0.0 8.2 10th
11th 0.1 1.8 3.4 1.4 0.1 6.8 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.4 1.8 0.2 5.5 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.4 1.3 0.2 3.6 13th
14th 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.8 0.1 0.0 2.2 14th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.5 3.2 5.9 8.9 10.9 13.7 13.6 12.6 11.0 7.8 5.1 3.1 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
16-2 96.2% 0.4    0.3 0.1
15-3 63.8% 0.8    0.5 0.2 0.0
14-4 36.5% 1.1    0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0
13-5 8.8% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.2% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.9% 2.9 1.4 1.0 0.4 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 48.6% 48.6% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.4% 30.8% 30.8% 12.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3
15-3 1.3% 12.5% 12.5% 13.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.1
14-4 3.1% 13.8% 13.8% 13.3 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 2.7
13-5 5.1% 10.6% 10.6% 13.8 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 4.5
12-6 7.8% 6.6% 6.6% 14.6 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.0 7.3
11-7 11.0% 5.7% 5.7% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.2 10.4
10-8 12.6% 4.0% 4.0% 15.5 0.3 0.3 12.1
9-9 13.6% 3.5% 3.5% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.4 13.2
8-10 13.7% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.2 13.5
7-11 10.9% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.2 10.8
6-12 8.9% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 8.8
5-13 5.9% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 5.9
4-14 3.2% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 3.2
3-15 1.5% 1.5
2-16 0.6% 0.6
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 3.9% 3.9% 0.0% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.8 1.1 1.4 96.1 0.0%