Wichita St.
American Athletic
2019-20 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
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Overall
Predictive Rating+5.6#89
Expected Predictive Rating+9.1#68
Pace72.8#90
Improvement-0.9#267

Offense
Total Offense+1.4#135
First Shot+1.0#153
After Offensive Rebound+0.4#157
Layup/Dunks+2.7#87
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.2#37
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.8#312
Freethrows-0.1#187
Improvement+1.2#59

Defense
Total Defense+4.3#64
First Shot+5.2#46
After Offensive Rebounds-0.9#241
Layups/Dunks+2.6#92
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#260
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#175
Freethrows+3.3#22
Improvement-2.1#344
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.5% 0.7% 0.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 10.2% 13.0% 6.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 5.0% 6.9% 2.3%
Average Seed 10.8 10.6 11.5
.500 or above 85.4% 91.6% 76.3%
.500 or above in Conference 73.6% 77.6% 67.7%
Conference Champion 5.2% 6.4% 3.5%
Last Place in Conference 0.8% 0.6% 1.2%
First Four2.4% 3.1% 1.5%
First Round9.0% 11.3% 5.5%
Second Round2.9% 3.7% 1.6%
Sweet Sixteen0.8% 1.1% 0.5%
Elite Eight0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Richmond (Home) - 59.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b1 - 21 - 5
Quad 22 - 33 - 9
Quad 37 - 310 - 11
Quad 48 - 118 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 168   Lipscomb W 76-59 80%     1 - 0 +13.8 -0.8 +14.4
  Nov 09, 2023 184   Western Kentucky W 71-61 82%     2 - 0 +5.7 -8.6 +13.5
  Nov 16, 2023 305   @ Coastal Carolina W 86-77 84%     3 - 0 +4.1 +4.1 -0.5
  Nov 17, 2023 42   Liberty L 66-83 31%     3 - 1 -6.2 -5.3 -0.2
  Nov 19, 2023 148   Saint Louis W 88-69 67%     4 - 1 +20.0 +6.7 +11.4
  Nov 25, 2023 274   Norfolk St. W 80-67 91%     5 - 1 +3.9 +8.9 -4.0
  Nov 29, 2023 85   Richmond W 71-68 59%    
  Dec 03, 2023 93   @ Missouri L 71-74 41%    
  Dec 09, 2023 143   South Dakota St. W 75-71 66%    
  Dec 16, 2023 119   Southern Illinois W 69-64 69%    
  Dec 21, 2023 44   Kansas St. L 73-78 32%    
  Dec 30, 2023 4   Kansas L 68-81 11%    
  Jan 04, 2024 77   North Texas W 61-59 56%    
  Jan 07, 2024 145   @ Temple W 73-71 55%    
  Jan 14, 2024 34   Memphis L 74-77 38%    
  Jan 18, 2024 18   @ Florida Atlantic L 68-80 14%    
  Jan 21, 2024 163   @ South Florida W 72-69 60%    
  Jan 24, 2024 208   East Carolina W 80-69 84%    
  Jan 28, 2024 91   SMU W 74-71 61%    
  Jan 31, 2024 190   @ Tulsa W 73-69 65%    
  Feb 03, 2024 34   @ Memphis L 71-80 20%    
  Feb 07, 2024 306   Texas San Antonio W 85-68 93%    
  Feb 11, 2024 18   Florida Atlantic L 71-77 30%    
  Feb 15, 2024 208   @ East Carolina W 77-72 67%    
  Feb 18, 2024 120   @ Charlotte L 62-63 49%    
  Feb 21, 2024 190   Tulsa W 76-66 82%    
  Feb 25, 2024 145   Temple W 76-68 75%    
  Feb 28, 2024 88   @ UAB L 74-77 39%    
  Mar 02, 2024 249   Rice W 84-71 87%    
  Mar 08, 2024 92   @ Tulane L 79-82 41%    
Projected Record 18 - 12 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 1.5 1.9 1.0 0.3 0.0 5.2 1st
2nd 0.1 1.2 4.0 3.1 1.0 0.1 9.5 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.8 5.2 3.8 1.0 0.0 11.9 3rd
4th 0.1 1.6 5.8 4.3 0.9 0.0 12.7 4th
5th 0.9 5.3 5.1 1.0 0.0 12.3 5th
6th 0.4 3.8 5.5 1.6 0.1 11.4 6th
7th 0.1 2.4 5.1 2.3 0.1 9.9 7th
8th 0.0 1.1 4.1 2.6 0.3 0.0 8.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 2.9 3.1 0.5 0.0 6.9 9th
10th 0.1 1.7 2.5 0.7 0.0 5.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.8 0.9 0.0 3.5 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 0.7 0.1 2.2 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 1.0 13th
14th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 14th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.1 2.2 4.7 7.4 10.6 13.0 15.0 14.6 11.9 9.2 5.5 2.9 1.1 0.3 0.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.3    0.3 0.0
16-2 91.8% 1.0    0.8 0.2 0.0
15-3 64.0% 1.9    1.0 0.7 0.1 0.0
14-4 26.7% 1.5    0.5 0.7 0.3 0.0
13-5 5.4% 0.5    0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 5.2% 5.2 2.6 1.9 0.6 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 100.0% 13.6% 86.4% 4.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-1 0.3% 95.5% 10.3% 85.3% 6.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 95.0%
16-2 1.1% 75.7% 16.6% 59.1% 8.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 70.9%
15-3 2.9% 54.8% 13.4% 41.4% 9.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.0 1.3 47.8%
14-4 5.5% 33.2% 13.1% 20.2% 10.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.9 0.2 3.7 23.2%
13-5 9.2% 19.3% 9.2% 10.1% 11.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 0.4 0.0 7.4 11.1%
12-6 11.9% 11.1% 7.6% 3.5% 11.5 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.0 10.6 3.8%
11-7 14.6% 6.1% 5.4% 0.7% 11.9 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 13.7 0.8%
10-8 15.0% 4.9% 4.7% 0.3% 12.4 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 14.3 0.3%
9-9 13.0% 2.7% 2.7% 0.0% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 12.7 0.0%
8-10 10.6% 2.5% 2.5% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 10.3
7-11 7.4% 2.0% 2.0% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 7.3
6-12 4.7% 1.7% 1.7% 15.9 0.0 0.1 4.6
5-13 2.2% 2.5% 2.5% 15.9 0.0 0.0 2.1
4-14 1.1% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 1.1
3-15 0.3% 0.3
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 10.2% 5.5% 4.8% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.7 1.5 3.4 2.1 0.6 0.2 0.3 0.2 89.8 5.0%