Wofford
Southern
2022-23 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.1#243
Expected Predictive Rating-4.0#246
Pace72.9#78
Improvement+0.1#176

Offense
Total Offense-0.5#189
First Shot-0.3#188
After Offensive Rebound-0.2#185
Layup/Dunks-0.3#185
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.0#347
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.1#56
Freethrows-0.1#181
Improvement-2.1#328

Defense
Total Defense-3.6#295
First Shot-5.2#330
After Offensive Rebounds+1.6#72
Layups/Dunks-2.7#282
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#133
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#120
Freethrows-4.9#353
Improvement+2.2#26
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.9% 4.1% 2.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.3 15.0 15.5
.500 or above 17.0% 30.0% 12.2%
.500 or above in Conference 37.8% 46.1% 34.7%
Conference Champion 2.2% 3.4% 1.7%
Last Place in Conference 9.3% 5.8% 10.6%
First Four1.3% 1.4% 1.3%
First Round2.3% 3.6% 1.9%
Second Round0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Gardner-Webb (Away) - 27.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 33 - 74 - 12
Quad 47 - 511 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2023 205   High Point W 99-98 54%     1 - 0 -4.0 +8.7 -12.8
  Nov 14, 2023 8   @ Tennessee L 61-82 3%     1 - 1 -1.7 +6.8 -10.7
  Nov 19, 2023 58   @ Virginia Tech L 76-98 8%     1 - 2 -10.5 +4.8 -14.4
  Nov 24, 2023 199   Canisius L 67-76 41%     1 - 3 -10.7 -12.0 +2.0
  Nov 25, 2023 209   UNC Asheville L 82-85 OT 42%     1 - 4 -5.1 -5.1 +0.5
  Nov 26, 2023 151   Lipscomb L 78-85 33%     1 - 5 -6.5 -0.3 -5.8
  Dec 02, 2023 221   @ Middle Tennessee W 74-64 OT 33%     2 - 5 +10.6 +1.2 +8.9
  Dec 06, 2023 177   @ Gardner-Webb L 70-76 27%    
  Dec 09, 2023 300   @ Coastal Carolina W 78-77 52%    
  Dec 20, 2023 86   @ Oklahoma St. L 67-80 11%    
  Jan 03, 2024 342   VMI W 84-73 85%    
  Jan 06, 2024 149   @ Western Carolina L 72-80 24%    
  Jan 10, 2024 257   @ Mercer L 70-72 43%    
  Jan 13, 2024 264   @ The Citadel L 72-73 44%    
  Jan 17, 2024 244   East Tennessee St. W 75-72 61%    
  Jan 20, 2024 103   @ UNC Greensboro L 67-79 15%    
  Jan 24, 2024 208   Chattanooga W 76-75 53%    
  Jan 27, 2024 122   Furman L 79-83 37%    
  Jan 31, 2024 142   @ Samford L 77-85 23%    
  Feb 03, 2024 149   Western Carolina L 75-77 44%    
  Feb 07, 2024 244   @ East Tennessee St. L 72-75 40%    
  Feb 10, 2024 264   The Citadel W 75-70 66%    
  Feb 14, 2024 257   @ Mercer L 70-72 43%    
  Feb 17, 2024 103   UNC Greensboro L 70-76 31%    
  Feb 21, 2024 208   @ Chattanooga L 73-78 33%    
  Feb 24, 2024 122   @ Furman L 76-86 19%    
  Feb 28, 2024 142   Samford L 80-82 41%    
  Mar 02, 2024 342   @ VMI W 81-76 67%    
Projected Record 11 - 17 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.1 2.2 1st
2nd 0.1 0.9 1.8 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 4.5 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.4 2.8 2.1 0.5 0.1 7.1 3rd
4th 0.2 2.0 4.3 2.7 0.4 0.0 9.5 4th
5th 0.3 2.6 5.8 3.4 0.4 0.0 12.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 3.4 6.8 3.8 0.6 0.0 15.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.8 4.0 6.5 4.0 0.6 0.0 15.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.3 4.5 5.9 3.2 0.4 15.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 1.7 4.2 4.4 1.7 0.3 12.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 1.3 1.6 1.2 0.4 0.0 0.0 5.0 10th
Total 0.0 0.4 1.7 3.4 6.8 10.1 12.3 13.6 13.9 12.3 9.8 6.8 4.5 2.4 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.1 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
16-2 90.2% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 84.5% 0.4    0.3 0.1 0.0
14-4 60.1% 0.7    0.4 0.2 0.0
13-5 26.8% 0.7    0.2 0.4 0.1
12-6 4.7% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.2% 2.2 1.1 0.8 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.1% 26.8% 26.8% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.1% 13.1% 13.1% 13.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.5% 22.0% 22.0% 13.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4
14-4 1.2% 15.4% 15.4% 13.9 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.0
13-5 2.4% 14.3% 14.3% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 2.1
12-6 4.5% 7.8% 7.8% 15.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 4.2
11-7 6.8% 5.7% 5.7% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 6.5
10-8 9.8% 3.3% 3.3% 15.8 0.1 0.2 9.5
9-9 12.3% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 0.0 0.3 12.0
8-10 13.9% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.3 13.6
7-11 13.6% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.3 13.4
6-12 12.3% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 12.2
5-13 10.1% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 10.0
4-14 6.8% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 6.8
3-15 3.4% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 3.4
2-16 1.7% 1.7
1-17 0.4% 0.4
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 2.9% 2.9% 0.0% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.7 1.7 97.1 0.0%