Eastern Michigan
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
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Overall
Predictive Rating-10.2#326
Expected Predictive Rating-7.4#297
Pace65.2#277
Improvement-0.9#231

Offense
Total Offense-4.9#300
First Shot-1.1#203
After Offensive Rebound-3.8#354
Layup/Dunks-3.6#313
2 Pt Jumpshots+6.7#4
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.2#287
Freethrows-1.0#256
Improvement-1.6#274

Defense
Total Defense-5.3#338
First Shot-4.1#315
After Offensive Rebounds-1.2#282
Layups/Dunks-4.0#314
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#257
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#150
Freethrows-0.2#209
Improvement+0.7#136
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.3% 0.0% 0.4%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
First Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Miami (OH) (Home) - 36.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 30 - 70 - 10
Quad 410 - 811 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 65   @ Butler L 55-94 3%     0 - 1 -27.7 -16.0 -9.8
  Nov 11, 2023 268   Georgia Southern W 70-60 42%     1 - 1 +1.9 -5.8 +8.2
  Nov 14, 2023 34   @ Florida Atlantic L 57-100 2%     1 - 2 -28.6 -8.2 -23.2
  Nov 18, 2023 206   Cleveland St. W 69-62 32%     2 - 2 +1.7 -7.8 +9.6
  Nov 21, 2023 353   @ Detroit Mercy W 76-72 57%     3 - 2 -8.0 +8.7 -16.0
  Nov 25, 2023 337   @ Central Arkansas W 74-71 46%     4 - 2 -6.1 +0.4 -6.4
  Nov 26, 2023 245   North Dakota L 70-72 28%     4 - 3 -6.1 +1.5 -7.8
  Dec 08, 2023 145   Oakland L 63-77 20%     4 - 4 -15.4 -8.2 -7.9
  Dec 16, 2023 108   @ Michigan L 66-83 6%     4 - 5 -10.1 -2.5 -8.2
  Dec 21, 2023 333   Hampton W 72-69 65%     5 - 5 -11.1 -3.6 -7.4
  Jan 02, 2024 246   @ Bowling Green L 90-92 OT 20%     5 - 6 0 - 1 -3.4 +4.2 -7.4
  Jan 06, 2024 170   Kent St. W 71-69 OT 25%     6 - 6 1 - 1 -1.2 -3.8 +2.6
  Jan 09, 2024 274   Central Michigan L 64-80 42%     6 - 7 1 - 2 -24.3 -6.2 -18.8
  Jan 13, 2024 235   @ Miami (OH) L 54-71 19%     6 - 8 1 - 3 -17.9 -14.7 -4.6
  Jan 16, 2024 258   Ball St. L 62-76 40%     6 - 9 1 - 4 -21.6 -14.6 -7.1
  Jan 20, 2024 152   @ Ohio L 67-85 11%     6 - 10 1 - 5 -14.5 -3.4 -11.9
  Jan 23, 2024 302   @ Western Michigan L 56-73 30%     6 - 11 1 - 6 -21.9 -17.4 -4.8
  Jan 27, 2024 341   Buffalo W 75-65 69%     7 - 11 2 - 6 -5.4 +1.7 -6.2
  Jan 30, 2024 104   Akron L 46-77 13%     7 - 12 2 - 7 -29.1 -23.3 -6.9
  Feb 03, 2024 313   @ Northern Illinois L 66-76 33%     7 - 13 2 - 8 -15.7 -6.7 -9.6
  Feb 06, 2024 148   Toledo L 87-91 21%     7 - 14 2 - 9 -5.6 +5.6 -11.1
  Feb 10, 2024 288   @ Louisiana Monroe L 76-82 28%     7 - 15 -10.1 +9.5 -20.2
  Feb 17, 2024 246   Bowling Green W 69-60 37%     8 - 15 3 - 9 +2.2 -4.7 +7.1
  Feb 20, 2024 341   @ Buffalo L 69-78 49%     8 - 16 3 - 10 -19.0 -5.6 -13.7
  Feb 24, 2024 258   @ Ball St. W 58-56 22%     9 - 16 4 - 10 -0.2 -12.0 +12.0
  Feb 27, 2024 302   Western Michigan W 70-67 50%     10 - 16 5 - 10 -7.3 -0.6 -6.4
  Mar 02, 2024 235   Miami (OH) L 67-71 37%    
  Mar 05, 2024 104   @ Akron L 58-76 5%    
  Mar 08, 2024 274   @ Central Michigan L 62-69 24%    
Projected Record 11 - 18 6 - 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 0.1 0.1 6th
7th 0.2 0.2 7th
8th 1.6 0.2 1.8 8th
9th 4.6 6.1 0.1 10.7 9th
10th 32.2 36.8 3.0 72.0 10th
11th 14.4 0.8 15.2 11th
12th 12th
Total 46.7 42.2 10.6 0.5 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 0.5% 0.5
7-11 10.6% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 10.6
6-12 42.2% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.1 42.1
5-13 46.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.1 46.6
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 16.0 0.2 99.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.5%
Lose Out 46.7% 0.1% 16.0 0.1