Bowling Green
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.8#220
Expected Predictive Rating-1.5#190
Pace72.8#89
Improvement+0.1#170

Offense
Total Offense-0.6#192
First Shot+2.1#120
After Offensive Rebound-2.7#314
Layup/Dunks+3.3#72
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#199
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#95
Freethrows-3.7#342
Improvement+1.2#68

Defense
Total Defense-2.2#244
First Shot-1.4#223
After Offensive Rebounds-0.8#234
Layups/Dunks-1.7#250
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#257
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#137
Freethrows+0.0#190
Improvement-1.1#292
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.9% 3.3% 1.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.8 14.7 15.1
.500 or above 72.7% 79.2% 56.7%
.500 or above in Conference 57.3% 60.4% 49.6%
Conference Champion 3.6% 4.2% 2.3%
Last Place in Conference 4.1% 3.5% 5.8%
First Four0.4% 0.4% 0.3%
First Round2.7% 3.1% 1.8%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Southern Indiana (Away) - 71.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 33 - 53 - 8
Quad 412 - 515 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 342   Chicago St. W 70-41 87%     1 - 0 +14.1 -9.0 +23.3
  Nov 11, 2023 213   Arkansas St. W 81-75 60%     2 - 0 +0.5 +5.8 -5.2
  Nov 14, 2023 134   @ Oakland L 62-81 23%     2 - 1 -14.1 -14.1 +1.3
  Nov 17, 2023 210   Bellarmine L 67-85 59%     2 - 2 -23.3 -3.9 -20.8
  Nov 24, 2023 184   Western Kentucky L 65-72 44%     2 - 3 -8.3 -15.7 +8.4
  Nov 25, 2023 168   Lipscomb W 82-61 40%     3 - 3 +20.8 +8.3 +12.7
  Nov 26, 2023 221   Canisius W 77-73 50%     4 - 3 +1.2 +9.9 -8.4
  Dec 02, 2023 339   @ Southern Indiana W 78-72 71%    
  Dec 16, 2023 301   UMKC W 74-66 76%    
  Dec 19, 2023 328   Hampton W 84-74 82%    
  Jan 02, 2024 292   Eastern Michigan W 78-71 74%    
  Jan 06, 2024 114   @ Akron L 67-76 20%    
  Jan 09, 2024 121   Ohio L 76-79 39%    
  Jan 13, 2024 165   @ Northern Illinois L 78-84 30%    
  Jan 16, 2024 284   @ Miami (OH) W 75-74 52%    
  Jan 20, 2024 283   Western Michigan W 76-69 73%    
  Jan 23, 2024 108   Kent St. L 73-77 36%    
  Jan 27, 2024 112   @ Toledo L 75-85 19%    
  Jan 30, 2024 236   @ Ball St. L 74-76 43%    
  Feb 03, 2024 313   Central Michigan W 78-69 78%    
  Feb 06, 2024 312   Buffalo W 82-73 77%    
  Feb 17, 2024 292   @ Eastern Michigan W 75-74 54%    
  Feb 20, 2024 313   @ Central Michigan W 75-72 59%    
  Feb 24, 2024 112   Toledo L 78-82 37%    
  Feb 27, 2024 284   Miami (OH) W 78-71 71%    
  Mar 02, 2024 121   @ Ohio L 73-82 22%    
  Mar 05, 2024 283   @ Western Michigan W 73-72 52%    
  Mar 08, 2024 236   Ball St. W 77-73 63%    
Projected Record 15 - 13 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.2 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 3.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.7 2.4 1.3 0.4 0.0 6.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 2.6 3.9 1.9 0.2 9.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 3.4 5.3 2.2 0.3 0.0 11.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 3.4 5.8 2.7 0.2 12.5 5th
6th 0.2 2.9 6.5 3.2 0.3 0.0 13.2 6th
7th 0.1 2.3 6.1 3.6 0.5 0.0 12.5 7th
8th 0.2 1.5 5.0 3.4 0.5 0.0 10.6 8th
9th 0.1 1.0 3.8 3.1 0.5 0.0 8.5 9th
10th 0.1 0.8 2.6 2.4 0.4 0.0 6.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.5 1.5 0.3 0.0 3.9 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.7 0.2 0.0 2.1 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.3 3.1 5.4 8.1 11.0 13.3 14.5 13.3 11.3 8.2 5.3 2.8 1.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 95.4% 0.4    0.4 0.0
15-3 74.5% 1.1    0.7 0.3 0.0
14-4 44.5% 1.2    0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0
13-5 13.3% 0.7    0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
12-6 1.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.6% 3.6 1.8 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.1% 26.3% 26.3% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.4% 22.4% 22.4% 13.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3
15-3 1.4% 10.9% 10.9% 13.5 0.1 0.1 1.3
14-4 2.8% 10.8% 10.8% 14.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 2.5
13-5 5.3% 7.6% 7.6% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 4.9
12-6 8.2% 5.0% 5.0% 14.8 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 7.8
11-7 11.3% 4.7% 4.7% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 10.8
10-8 13.3% 2.4% 2.4% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 13.0
9-9 14.5% 2.3% 2.3% 15.6 0.1 0.2 14.2
8-10 13.3% 1.3% 1.3% 15.8 0.0 0.1 13.1
7-11 11.0% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 10.9
6-12 8.1% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 8.1
5-13 5.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 5.3
4-14 3.1% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 3.1
3-15 1.3% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 1.3
2-16 0.5% 0.5
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 2.9% 2.9% 0.0% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.0 0.8 97.1 0.0%