Central Arkansas
Atlantic Sun
2019-20 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-11.8#337
Expected Predictive Rating-11.4#332
Pace72.0#82
Improvement+2.4#79

Offense
Total Offense-6.0#320
First Shot-4.7#304
After Offensive Rebound-1.4#264
Layup/Dunks-7.7#358
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#65
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#95
Freethrows-1.5#280
Improvement-0.5#209

Defense
Total Defense-5.8#343
First Shot-2.6#267
After Offensive Rebounds-3.3#357
Layups/Dunks+0.1#175
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#250
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#297
Freethrows+0.7#142
Improvement+2.8#47
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 16.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.1% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 32 - 62 - 9
Quad 45 - 147 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 195   @ Tulsa L 53-70 13%     0 - 1 -16.4 -15.7 -1.4
  Nov 13, 2023 339   Arkansas Pine Bluff L 83-85 63%     0 - 2 -17.1 -7.0 -9.9
  Nov 17, 2023 167   @ Vanderbilt L 71-75 10%     0 - 3 -1.5 +1.9 -3.6
  Nov 20, 2023 352   @ Southeast Missouri St. L 68-70 50%     0 - 4 -13.9 -9.7 -4.2
  Nov 22, 2023 63   @ Kansas St. L 56-100 3%     0 - 5 -32.5 -8.6 -23.6
  Nov 25, 2023 326   Eastern Michigan L 71-74 54%     0 - 6 -16.0 -4.9 -11.2
  Nov 26, 2023 349   New Orleans L 74-79 67%     0 - 7 -21.5 -12.1 -9.1
  Nov 29, 2023 157   @ Loyola Marymount L 63-90 9%     0 - 8 -23.9 -12.1 -10.9
  Dec 03, 2023 164   @ Hawaii L 76-95 9%     0 - 9 -16.3 +10.1 -27.7
  Dec 07, 2023 211   Arkansas Little Rock W 75-71 27%     1 - 9 -1.5 +1.8 -3.0
  Dec 10, 2023 315   @ Eastern Illinois W 73-70 29%     2 - 9 -3.1 +1.1 -4.1
  Dec 20, 2023 269   Western Illinois L 54-65 36%     2 - 10 -19.2 -20.5 +1.3
  Dec 28, 2023 35   @ Oklahoma L 72-88 2%     2 - 11 -1.6 +5.6 -6.7
  Dec 30, 2023 129   @ Missouri L 59-92 6%     2 - 12 -27.7 -12.4 -15.1
  Jan 06, 2024 247   @ North Alabama W 84-81 17%     3 - 12 1 - 0 +1.4 +4.3 -3.1
  Jan 11, 2024 189   Eastern Kentucky L 63-86 24%     3 - 13 1 - 1 -27.4 -14.8 -12.5
  Jan 13, 2024 309   Bellarmine W 59-57 47%     4 - 13 2 - 1 -9.0 -10.8 +2.1
  Jan 18, 2024 160   @ Lipscomb W 96-86 9%     5 - 13 3 - 1 +12.9 +17.6 -4.9
  Jan 20, 2024 221   @ Austin Peay L 71-94 14%     5 - 14 3 - 2 -23.4 -2.8 -21.4
  Jan 24, 2024 259   @ Queens L 79-96 18%     5 - 15 3 - 3 -19.2 -8.5 -8.2
  Jan 27, 2024 255   Kennesaw St. W 92-87 33%     6 - 15 4 - 3 -2.4 +7.4 -10.2
  Feb 01, 2024 210   Florida Gulf Coast L 59-82 27%     6 - 16 4 - 4 -28.4 -13.9 -15.8
  Feb 03, 2024 205   Stetson L 62-73 OT 26%     6 - 17 4 - 5 -16.2 -21.6 +6.2
  Feb 08, 2024 284   @ Jacksonville L 55-59 22%     6 - 18 4 - 6 -7.7 -12.8 +4.8
  Feb 10, 2024 241   @ North Florida W 79-77 16%     7 - 18 5 - 6 +0.8 +2.8 -2.0
  Feb 15, 2024 221   Austin Peay L 67-77 28%     7 - 19 5 - 7 -15.8 -10.7 -5.3
  Feb 17, 2024 160   Lipscomb L 68-85 19%     7 - 20 5 - 8 -19.5 -6.1 -14.5
  Feb 22, 2024 309   @ Bellarmine L 65-68 27%     7 - 21 5 - 9 -8.5 -12.2 +3.8
  Feb 24, 2024 189   @ Eastern Kentucky L 82-95 12%     7 - 22 5 - 10 -12.0 +0.3 -11.2
  Mar 01, 2024 247   North Alabama L 78-82 32%     7 - 23 5 - 11 -11.1 +0.6 -11.7
Projected Record 7 - 23 5 - 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 100.0 100.0 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11 100.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.1 99.9
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 16.0 0.1 99.9 0.0%