Miami (OH)
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.6#235
Expected Predictive Rating-3.7#238
Pace67.3#219
Improvement+2.1#94

Offense
Total Offense-2.2#239
First Shot+0.2#172
After Offensive Rebound-2.5#321
Layup/Dunks-4.7#334
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#195
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.3#47
Freethrows+1.0#99
Improvement-0.5#212

Defense
Total Defense-1.4#217
First Shot+0.7#154
After Offensive Rebounds-2.1#326
Layups/Dunks-1.8#255
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#242
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.6#44
Freethrows-0.5#228
Improvement+2.6#55
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.6% 4.0% 2.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.7 15.9
.500 or above 13.2% 20.8% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 87.8% 100.0% 66.6%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four1.8% 1.6% 2.1%
First Round2.7% 3.2% 1.9%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Eastern Michigan (Away) - 63.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 35 - 45 - 8
Quad 49 - 714 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 232   @ Evansville L 64-72 39%     0 - 1 -8.8 -11.2 +2.7
  Nov 11, 2023 200   Texas St. L 65-75 56%     0 - 2 -15.1 -6.7 -8.4
  Nov 17, 2023 359   Coppin St. W 76-48 92%     1 - 2 +9.1 +2.2 +8.4
  Nov 19, 2023 315   Eastern Illinois W 76-64 78%     2 - 2 +0.4 +0.0 +0.5
  Nov 25, 2023 84   @ St. Bonaventure L 60-90 11%     2 - 3 -20.3 -4.1 -18.4
  Dec 02, 2023 239   @ Marshall W 79-74 40%     3 - 3 +3.8 +0.8 +2.7
  Dec 06, 2023 55   @ Ohio St. L 64-84 8%     3 - 4 -7.7 -0.9 -7.8
  Dec 09, 2023 110   @ Davidson L 61-79 16%     3 - 5 -11.1 -1.6 -11.1
  Dec 19, 2023 153   @ Wright St. L 82-92 25%     3 - 6 -6.6 +1.0 -7.0
  Dec 22, 2023 106   Vermont W 70-69 30%     4 - 6 +2.8 +4.6 -1.8
  Jan 02, 2024 302   Western Michigan L 74-83 74%     4 - 7 0 - 1 -19.3 -9.7 -8.8
  Jan 05, 2024 148   @ Toledo L 64-68 24%     4 - 8 0 - 2 -0.2 -1.6 +0.8
  Jan 09, 2024 341   @ Buffalo W 86-65 73%     5 - 8 1 - 2 +11.0 +20.2 -6.2
  Jan 13, 2024 326   Eastern Michigan W 71-54 81%     6 - 8 2 - 2 +4.0 -3.0 +8.4
  Jan 16, 2024 246   Bowling Green L 73-78 62%     6 - 9 2 - 3 -11.8 -3.9 -7.8
  Jan 20, 2024 258   @ Ball St. W 87-80 OT 44%     7 - 9 3 - 3 +4.8 +2.3 +1.7
  Jan 23, 2024 274   @ Central Michigan L 55-71 47%     7 - 10 3 - 4 -18.9 -11.6 -8.2
  Jan 27, 2024 104   Akron W 70-68 30%     8 - 10 4 - 4 +3.9 +6.7 -2.6
  Jan 30, 2024 170   @ Kent St. W 71-67 29%     9 - 10 5 - 4 +6.2 -1.3 +7.5
  Feb 03, 2024 152   @ Ohio L 69-78 25%     9 - 11 5 - 5 -5.5 +5.7 -12.5
  Feb 06, 2024 313   Northern Illinois L 59-62 76%     9 - 12 5 - 6 -14.2 -18.1 +3.9
  Feb 10, 2024 201   @ Georgia St. L 53-73 35%     9 - 13 -19.6 -17.1 -3.7
  Feb 17, 2024 258   Ball St. W 80-59 65%     10 - 13 6 - 6 +13.4 +7.9 +6.9
  Feb 20, 2024 302   @ Western Michigan L 58-77 55%     10 - 14 6 - 7 -23.9 -17.0 -6.7
  Feb 24, 2024 274   Central Michigan W 88-60 67%     11 - 14 7 - 7 +19.7 +21.2 +0.4
  Feb 27, 2024 246   @ Bowling Green W 66-58 41%     12 - 14 8 - 7 +6.6 +0.2 +7.2
  Mar 02, 2024 326   @ Eastern Michigan W 71-67 63%    
  Mar 05, 2024 148   Toledo L 76-78 44%    
  Mar 08, 2024 152   Ohio L 72-74 45%    
Projected Record 14 - 15 10 - 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.1 0.1 2nd
3rd 1.5 1.5 3rd
4th 3.8 6.5 10.3 4th
5th 0.1 19.8 34.0 5.1 59.0 5th
6th 4.1 15.1 19.2 6th
7th 6.5 1.9 8.5 7th
8th 1.5 1.5 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 12.2 36.8 37.8 13.2 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 13.2% 5.1% 5.1% 15.2 0.0 0.5 0.2 12.5
10-8 37.8% 3.9% 3.9% 15.8 0.2 1.3 36.3
9-9 36.8% 3.1% 3.1% 16.0 0.0 1.1 35.6
8-10 12.2% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.3 12.0
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 3.6% 3.6% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.8 2.8 96.4 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 13.2% 5.1% 15.2 0.2 3.8 1.1
Lose Out 12.2% 2.0% 16.0 2.0