Lamar
Southland
2022-23 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.9#240
Expected Predictive Rating-5.8#274
Pace71.7#90
Improvement+1.5#119

Offense
Total Offense-1.6#222
First Shot-3.5#278
After Offensive Rebound+1.8#71
Layup/Dunks-2.4#279
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#73
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#267
Freethrows-0.7#227
Improvement-1.8#284

Defense
Total Defense-2.3#245
First Shot-1.5#226
After Offensive Rebounds-0.7#254
Layups/Dunks+2.5#86
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#32
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.0#326
Freethrows-2.2#312
Improvement+3.3#38
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.9% 4.4% 3.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.7 15.9
.500 or above 81.7% 97.2% 58.4%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four1.5% 1.3% 1.8%
First Round3.1% 3.8% 2.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Northwestern St. (Away) - 60.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 31 - 41 - 7
Quad 414 - 715 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2023 51   @ SMU L 67-78 7%     0 - 1 +1.7 -1.7 +3.7
  Nov 14, 2023 254   Texas San Antonio W 90-82 63%     1 - 1 +0.6 +1.3 -1.5
  Nov 18, 2023 342   @ Pacific L 76-77 72%     1 - 2 -11.0 -11.7 +0.8
  Nov 24, 2023 322   Bethune-Cookman W 83-65 71%     2 - 2 +8.4 -2.2 +8.9
  Nov 25, 2023 194   @ Longwood L 72-83 33%     2 - 3 -10.3 -2.4 -7.6
  Nov 26, 2023 312   Delaware St. W 84-81 OT 67%     3 - 3 -5.4 +3.5 -9.2
  Nov 30, 2023 254   @ Texas San Antonio L 83-86 42%     3 - 4 -5.0 +3.2 -8.0
  Dec 03, 2023 151   @ Sam Houston St. L 70-90 23%     3 - 5 -16.3 +3.6 -20.8
  Dec 14, 2023 288   Louisiana Monroe W 97-73 71%     4 - 5 +14.5 +17.8 -3.8
  Dec 18, 2023 215   Southern Miss L 79-82 57%     4 - 6 -8.6 -2.2 -6.1
  Dec 21, 2023 80   @ LSU L 66-87 10%     4 - 7 -11.2 -7.5 -1.9
  Jan 06, 2024 321   Northwestern St. W 90-70 79%     5 - 7 1 - 0 +7.7 +6.9 -0.2
  Jan 08, 2024 344   Incarnate Word W 75-59 86%     6 - 7 2 - 0 +0.5 -4.4 +5.3
  Jan 13, 2024 282   @ Nicholls St. W 78-76 OT 48%     7 - 7 3 - 0 -1.5 -0.6 -0.9
  Jan 15, 2024 91   @ McNeese St. L 69-88 12%     7 - 8 3 - 1 -10.1 +3.6 -14.5
  Jan 20, 2024 357   @ Houston Christian L 77-78 81%     7 - 9 3 - 2 -14.1 -4.3 -9.9
  Jan 22, 2024 332   Texas A&M - Commerce W 76-65 83%     8 - 9 4 - 2 -2.9 -2.8 -0.2
  Jan 27, 2024 289   SE Louisiana W 74-64 71%     9 - 9 5 - 2 +0.4 +5.2 -3.7
  Jan 29, 2024 349   New Orleans W 98-73 88%     10 - 9 6 - 2 +8.5 +8.8 -2.1
  Feb 03, 2024 184   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi L 71-79 30%     10 - 10 6 - 3 -6.6 +3.6 -10.5
  Feb 10, 2024 282   Nicholls St. W 75-56 69%     11 - 10 7 - 3 +10.1 +0.0 +10.8
  Feb 12, 2024 344   @ Incarnate Word L 67-76 72%     11 - 11 7 - 4 -19.1 -15.8 -2.7
  Feb 17, 2024 349   @ New Orleans W 94-72 75%     12 - 11 8 - 4 +10.9 +12.3 -1.9
  Feb 19, 2024 289   @ SE Louisiana W 77-72 OT 51%     13 - 11 9 - 4 +0.9 +5.1 -4.1
  Feb 24, 2024 184   TX A&M Corpus Christi L 61-75 50%     13 - 12 9 - 5 -18.0 -10.7 -7.5
  Feb 26, 2024 91   McNeese St. L 56-58 24%     13 - 13 9 - 6 +1.4 -9.9 +11.2
  Mar 02, 2024 321   @ Northwestern St. W 75-72 60%    
  Mar 04, 2024 332   @ Texas A&M - Commerce W 73-68 65%    
  Mar 06, 2024 357   Houston Christian W 87-72 92%    
Projected Record 15 - 14 11 - 7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southland Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 1.2 1.2 2nd
3rd 10.5 26.4 36.9 3rd
4th 0.1 9.1 32.4 9.4 51.0 4th
5th 0.9 7.9 1.8 10.6 5th
6th 0.3 0.3 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 1.3 17.0 44.7 37.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 37.0% 5.0% 5.0% 15.6 0.0 0.7 1.1 35.2
11-7 44.7% 3.5% 3.5% 15.9 0.2 1.4 43.2
10-8 17.0% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 0.0 0.5 16.6
9-9 1.3% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.0 1.2
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 3.9% 3.9% 0.0% 15.7 0.0 0.9 2.9 96.1 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 37.0% 5.0% 15.6 0.1 2.0 2.9
Lose Out 1.3% 1.4% 16.0 1.4