LSU
Southeastern
2022-23 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
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Overall
Predictive Rating+5.2#94
Expected Predictive Rating+3.6#123
Pace68.0#215
Improvement-2.2#312

Offense
Total Offense+1.8#122
First Shot+3.2#89
After Offensive Rebound-1.4#261
Layup/Dunks+4.0#57
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#182
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#277
Freethrows+2.3#57
Improvement-2.4#336

Defense
Total Defense+3.4#77
First Shot+4.8#50
After Offensive Rebounds-1.4#276
Layups/Dunks+7.5#15
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#171
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.2#292
Freethrows+0.2#174
Improvement+0.2#169
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.4% 0.5% 0.2%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.4% 9.0% 4.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 4.9% 7.1% 2.8%
Average Seed 10.2 9.9 10.7
.500 or above 40.5% 53.1% 29.2%
.500 or above in Conference 19.1% 22.8% 15.7%
Conference Champion 0.4% 0.5% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 12.6% 9.9% 15.1%
First Four1.9% 2.6% 1.3%
First Round5.4% 7.7% 3.4%
Second Round1.9% 2.9% 1.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.6% 0.9% 0.3%
Elite Eight0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Kansas St. (Home) - 47.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 51 - 5
Quad 1b1 - 42 - 9
Quad 24 - 46 - 14
Quad 33 - 18 - 15
Quad 47 - 115 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 362   Mississippi Valley W 106-60 99%     1 - 0 +23.3 +18.3 +2.3
  Nov 10, 2023 258   Nicholls St. L 66-68 89%     1 - 1 -10.1 -8.8 -1.4
  Nov 16, 2023 60   Dayton L 67-70 38%     1 - 2 +5.4 +3.0 +2.1
  Nov 17, 2023 82   North Texas W 66-62 46%     2 - 2 +10.3 +6.8 +4.0
  Nov 19, 2023 70   Wake Forest W 86-80 OT 40%     3 - 2 +13.8 +5.4 +7.8
  Nov 24, 2023 307   North Florida W 75-63 93%     4 - 2 +0.9 -6.3 +7.1
  Nov 28, 2023 87   @ Syracuse L 57-80 36%     4 - 3 -14.0 -12.9 -0.5
  Dec 01, 2023 277   SE Louisiana W 73-66 91%     5 - 3 -2.3 -3.2 +1.2
  Dec 09, 2023 55   Kansas St. L 73-74 47%    
  Dec 13, 2023 330   Alabama St. W 78-60 96%    
  Dec 16, 2023 25   Texas L 69-76 24%    
  Dec 21, 2023 305   Lamar W 81-65 93%    
  Dec 29, 2023 339   Northwestern St. W 82-62 97%    
  Jan 06, 2024 20   @ Texas A&M L 65-76 15%    
  Jan 09, 2024 178   Vanderbilt W 75-66 80%    
  Jan 13, 2024 17   @ Auburn L 65-77 13%    
  Jan 17, 2024 77   Mississippi W 69-68 54%    
  Jan 20, 2024 20   Texas A&M L 68-73 32%    
  Jan 24, 2024 88   @ Georgia L 68-71 38%    
  Jan 27, 2024 15   @ Alabama L 74-87 12%    
  Feb 03, 2024 46   Arkansas L 72-74 42%    
  Feb 07, 2024 8   @ Tennessee L 62-76 10%    
  Feb 10, 2024 15   Alabama L 77-84 26%    
  Feb 13, 2024 33   @ Florida L 70-80 20%    
  Feb 17, 2024 73   @ South Carolina L 65-70 32%    
  Feb 21, 2024 18   Kentucky L 73-79 29%    
  Feb 24, 2024 27   Mississippi St. L 64-68 33%    
  Feb 27, 2024 88   Georgia W 71-68 59%    
  Mar 02, 2024 178   @ Vanderbilt W 72-69 60%    
  Mar 06, 2024 46   @ Arkansas L 69-77 24%    
  Mar 09, 2024 80   Missouri W 71-69 57%    
Projected Record 15 - 16 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 1st
2nd 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 0.7 0.2 0.0 1.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 1.3 0.4 0.1 2.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 1.5 1.0 0.1 2.9 5th
6th 0.1 1.5 2.3 0.3 0.0 4.4 6th
7th 0.1 1.6 3.1 1.0 0.0 5.8 7th
8th 0.0 1.2 4.2 2.3 0.3 8.0 8th
9th 0.0 1.1 4.1 4.5 0.5 10.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.8 4.6 5.9 1.5 0.0 12.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.9 4.7 7.0 2.4 0.1 15.2 11th
12th 0.1 0.9 4.7 6.4 3.1 0.4 15.6 12th
13th 0.1 1.4 4.1 5.0 2.4 0.3 0.0 13.4 13th
14th 0.2 1.1 2.6 2.2 0.7 0.1 0.0 6.9 14th
Total 0.2 1.2 4.1 7.2 11.3 14.5 16.2 14.1 12.1 7.8 5.4 3.2 1.5 0.7 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-4 45.6% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
13-5 9.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.6% 0.0    0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.4% 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.0% 100.0% 100.0% 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 0.4% 97.1% 2.9% 94.1% 6.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 97.0%
13-5 0.7% 85.1% 6.5% 78.7% 8.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 84.1%
12-6 1.5% 70.9% 8.9% 62.0% 8.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 68.1%
11-7 3.2% 46.3% 2.0% 44.3% 9.9 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.4 0.0 1.7 45.2%
10-8 5.4% 20.5% 2.8% 17.7% 10.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.0 4.3 18.2%
9-9 7.8% 7.3% 2.5% 4.8% 10.7 0.2 0.3 0.0 7.2 4.9%
8-10 12.1% 2.7% 2.1% 0.6% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 11.8 0.6%
7-11 14.1% 1.8% 1.8% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 13.8
6-12 16.2% 1.2% 1.2% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 16.0
5-13 14.5% 1.3% 1.3% 15.7 0.1 0.1 14.3
4-14 11.3% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 11.2
3-15 7.2% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 7.2
2-16 4.1% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 4.1
1-17 1.2% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 1.2
0-18 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 6.4% 1.7% 4.8% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 0.9 1.5 1.5 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.3 93.6 4.9%