New Orleans
Southland
2019-20 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
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Overall
Predictive Rating-13.8#349
Expected Predictive Rating-15.7#355
Pace77.0#22
Improvement-4.3#332

Offense
Total Offense-5.7#316
First Shot-5.2#313
After Offensive Rebound-0.6#224
Layup/Dunks+1.1#123
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#251
3 Pt Jumpshots-7.5#349
Freethrows+2.5#40
Improvement-1.5#269

Defense
Total Defense-8.0#359
First Shot-4.8#326
After Offensive Rebounds-3.3#358
Layups/Dunks-8.6#361
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#65
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.2#28
Freethrows-2.0#307
Improvement-2.8#320
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 77.5% 36.5% 99.7%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Incarnate Word (Away) - 35.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 50 - 7
Quad 30 - 30 - 10
Quad 44 - 124 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 18, 2023 99   @ Loyola Chicago L 70-73 3%     0 - 1 +5.6 +3.5 +2.1
  Nov 20, 2023 98   @ Oklahoma St. L 68-96 3%     0 - 2 -19.4 -3.3 -15.3
  Nov 25, 2023 245   North Dakota L 69-71 OT 18%     0 - 3 -6.1 -18.0 +12.2
  Nov 26, 2023 337   @ Central Arkansas W 79-74 33%     1 - 3 -4.1 -2.5 -1.9
  Nov 30, 2023 62   @ Minnesota L 64-97 2%     1 - 4 -21.4 -9.6 -9.5
  Dec 09, 2023 225   @ San Jose St. L 82-87 11%     1 - 5 -5.5 +0.8 -5.9
  Dec 11, 2023 69   @ San Francisco L 72-85 2%     1 - 6 -2.3 +4.7 -6.9
  Dec 21, 2023 55   @ Ohio St. L 36-78 2%     1 - 7 -29.7 -30.9 -0.4
  Dec 29, 2023 162   @ Stephen F. Austin L 51-80 7%     1 - 8 -26.2 -24.3 +2.0
  Jan 06, 2024 289   SE Louisiana L 68-73 34%     1 - 9 0 - 1 -14.6 -1.8 -13.4
  Jan 08, 2024 332   Texas A&M - Commerce W 88-85 50%     2 - 9 1 - 1 -10.9 +2.4 -13.6
  Jan 13, 2024 184   TX A&M Corpus Christi W 83-80 18%     3 - 9 2 - 1 -1.0 +6.4 -7.5
  Jan 15, 2024 282   @ Nicholls St. L 75-78 17%     3 - 10 2 - 2 -6.5 +1.5 -8.1
  Jan 20, 2024 321   Northwestern St. L 67-92 44%     3 - 11 2 - 3 -37.3 -13.3 -23.3
  Jan 22, 2024 357   @ Houston Christian L 80-88 47%     3 - 12 2 - 4 -21.1 -2.6 -18.3
  Jan 27, 2024 91   @ McNeese St. L 65-102 3%     3 - 13 2 - 5 -28.1 -0.2 -29.7
  Jan 29, 2024 240   @ Lamar L 73-98 12%     3 - 14 2 - 6 -26.2 -6.0 -18.5
  Feb 03, 2024 344   Incarnate Word L 80-82 57%     3 - 15 2 - 7 -17.5 -7.0 -10.3
  Feb 05, 2024 357   Houston Christian W 84-58 68%     4 - 15 3 - 7 +7.4 -1.3 +8.0
  Feb 10, 2024 332   @ Texas A&M - Commerce L 83-89 30%     4 - 16 3 - 8 -14.5 +4.7 -18.9
  Feb 12, 2024 321   @ Northwestern St. L 59-70 25%     4 - 17 3 - 9 -17.9 -16.9 -0.9
  Feb 17, 2024 240   Lamar L 72-94 25%     4 - 18 3 - 10 -28.6 -6.2 -22.0
  Feb 19, 2024 282   Nicholls St. L 77-89 32%     4 - 19 3 - 11 -20.9 -11.9 -7.3
  Feb 24, 2024 289   @ SE Louisiana L 67-77 18%     4 - 20 3 - 12 -14.1 -11.6 -1.9
  Mar 02, 2024 344   @ Incarnate Word L 78-82 35%    
  Mar 04, 2024 184   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi L 69-84 7%    
  Mar 06, 2024 91   McNeese St. L 67-84 6%    
Projected Record 4 - 23 3 - 15





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southland Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 2.4 0.2 2.6 7th
8th 22.0 2.4 0.0 24.4 8th
9th 14.0 0.1 14.1 9th
10th 57.4 1.5 0.0 58.9 10th
Total 57.4 37.6 4.8 0.2 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12 0.2% 0.2
5-13 4.8% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 4.8
4-14 37.6% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 37.6
3-15 57.4% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 57.4
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.2%
Lose Out 57.4% 0.0% 16.0 0.0