SE Louisiana
Southland
2019-20 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-6.9#289
Expected Predictive Rating-6.2#280
Pace62.8#328
Improvement+2.6#69

Offense
Total Offense-3.8#278
First Shot-5.3#316
After Offensive Rebound+1.5#83
Layup/Dunks-3.5#309
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#165
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#251
Freethrows-0.1#182
Improvement+1.0#124

Defense
Total Defense-3.0#263
First Shot-2.3#257
After Offensive Rebounds-0.7#252
Layups/Dunks+4.4#35
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#254
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.9#353
Freethrows+0.0#187
Improvement+1.6#98
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.2% 1.6% 1.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 8.3% 39.1% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.9% 0.9% 0.9%
First Round0.6% 1.0% 0.5%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: TX A&M Corpus Christi (Away) - 21.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 30 - 6
Quad 32 - 22 - 8
Quad 410 - 812 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2023 6   @ Auburn L 71-86 1%     0 - 1 +6.8 +5.1 +2.4
  Nov 15, 2023 19   @ BYU L 48-105 2%     0 - 2 -40.1 -20.3 -18.7
  Nov 18, 2023 113   @ Santa Clara L 63-65 11%     0 - 3 +4.6 -3.1 +7.6
  Nov 24, 2023 302   Western Michigan L 67-68 53%     0 - 4 -8.6 -6.5 -2.2
  Nov 25, 2023 296   Tennessee St. L 77-91 52%     0 - 5 -21.3 +2.8 -24.2
  Dec 01, 2023 80   @ LSU L 66-73 7%     0 - 6 +2.8 +1.1 +1.4
  Dec 09, 2023 263   @ Southern L 44-69 33%     0 - 7 -27.4 -25.2 -3.2
  Dec 12, 2023 92   @ Louisiana Tech L 60-89 8%     0 - 8 -20.1 -10.1 -8.7
  Dec 16, 2023 150   @ Murray St. W 61-55 16%     1 - 8 +9.7 +5.8 +5.5
  Dec 20, 2023 287   Grambling St. W 48-47 60%     2 - 8 -8.5 -13.1 +4.9
  Jan 06, 2024 349   @ New Orleans W 73-68 66%     3 - 8 1 - 0 -6.1 +1.5 -7.0
  Jan 09, 2024 282   @ Nicholls St. L 61-66 37%     3 - 9 1 - 1 -8.5 -7.5 -1.6
  Jan 13, 2024 91   @ McNeese St. L 65-74 8%     3 - 10 1 - 2 -0.1 +5.9 -7.3
  Jan 15, 2024 184   TX A&M Corpus Christi L 68-73 39%     3 - 11 1 - 3 -9.0 +5.0 -14.7
  Jan 20, 2024 332   Texas A&M - Commerce L 52-68 75%     3 - 12 1 - 4 -29.9 -19.4 -12.5
  Jan 22, 2024 321   Northwestern St. W 71-62 70%     4 - 12 2 - 4 -3.3 -6.7 +3.5
  Jan 27, 2024 240   @ Lamar L 64-74 29%     4 - 13 2 - 5 -11.2 -2.4 -9.9
  Jan 29, 2024 357   @ Houston Christian W 80-58 73%     5 - 13 3 - 5 +8.9 +3.9 +6.1
  Feb 03, 2024 91   McNeese St. W 77-74 17%     6 - 13 4 - 5 +6.4 +10.3 -3.7
  Feb 05, 2024 344   Incarnate Word W 76-64 79%     7 - 13 5 - 5 -3.5 +0.0 -2.7
  Feb 10, 2024 321   @ Northwestern St. W 69-59 50%     8 - 13 6 - 5 +3.1 -2.7 +6.4
  Feb 12, 2024 332   @ Texas A&M - Commerce W 79-77 OT 56%     9 - 13 7 - 5 -6.5 -5.2 -1.5
  Feb 17, 2024 357   Houston Christian W 81-78 86%     10 - 13 8 - 5 -15.6 -3.2 -12.5
  Feb 19, 2024 240   Lamar L 72-77 OT 49%     10 - 14 8 - 6 -11.6 -2.0 -9.8
  Feb 24, 2024 349   New Orleans W 77-67 82%     11 - 14 9 - 6 -6.5 -9.9 +2.8
  Mar 02, 2024 184   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi L 63-71 21%    
  Mar 04, 2024 344   @ Incarnate Word W 72-69 61%    
  Mar 06, 2024 282   Nicholls St. W 69-67 59%    
Projected Record 12 - 16 10 - 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southland Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 1.3 1.4 2nd
3rd 9.7 6.7 16.4 3rd
4th 0.1 7.3 19.6 0.2 27.3 4th
5th 12.4 32.8 8.4 53.7 5th
6th 1.2 1.2 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 13.8 40.2 37.7 8.3 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 8.3% 2.1% 2.1% 15.8 0.0 0.1 8.1
11-7 37.7% 1.3% 1.3% 15.9 0.0 0.5 37.3
10-8 40.2% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 0.4 39.8
9-9 13.8% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 13.7
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 1.2% 1.2% 0.0% 15.9 0.1 1.1 98.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 8.3% 2.1% 15.8 0.5 1.6
Lose Out 13.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.8