Sam Houston St.
Conference USA
2019-20 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+2.1#133
Expected Predictive Rating+0.2#166
Pace69.1#184
Improvement+0.4#139

Offense
Total Offense-0.1#181
First Shot+0.0#169
After Offensive Rebound-0.1#184
Layup/Dunks-3.4#299
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#307
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.6#73
Freethrows+2.5#46
Improvement+2.2#16

Defense
Total Defense+2.2#111
First Shot+0.8#144
After Offensive Rebounds+1.4#85
Layups/Dunks+2.1#104
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#168
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#245
Freethrows+0.0#193
Improvement-1.8#337
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.3% 11.4% 7.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.5 13.0 13.7
.500 or above 61.8% 77.8% 56.1%
.500 or above in Conference 71.1% 77.8% 68.7%
Conference Champion 8.6% 12.0% 7.4%
Last Place in Conference 4.3% 2.9% 4.8%
First Four0.7% 0.5% 0.7%
First Round8.0% 11.2% 6.9%
Second Round1.1% 1.7% 0.9%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.3% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Arizona St. (Away) - 26.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 21 - 42 - 7
Quad 34 - 46 - 11
Quad 49 - 215 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 279   @ Pacific W 64-57 70%     1 - 0 +3.7 -16.9 +19.7
  Nov 09, 2023 171   Utah Valley L 73-79 OT 70%     1 - 1 -9.3 -8.2 -0.3
  Nov 12, 2023 75   @ Oklahoma St. L 70-85 23%     1 - 2 -5.1 +6.1 -11.6
  Nov 17, 2023 96   @ Mississippi L 67-70 29%     1 - 3 +5.0 +2.1 +2.7
  Nov 20, 2023 212   @ Troy W 88-86 OT 56%     2 - 3 +2.6 +3.2 -0.9
  Nov 22, 2023 327   Grambling St. W 86-68 87%     3 - 3 +8.2 +15.8 -6.3
  Nov 29, 2023 86   @ Arizona St. L 65-72 26%    
  Dec 03, 2023 309   Lamar W 80-67 89%    
  Dec 09, 2023 103   @ Missouri St. L 65-70 31%    
  Dec 12, 2023 281   Louisiana Monroe W 73-62 86%    
  Dec 15, 2023 216   Texas St. W 70-62 76%    
  Dec 20, 2023 78   @ Grand Canyon L 68-76 24%    
  Dec 28, 2023 51   @ Texas Tech L 63-74 16%    
  Jan 06, 2024 104   Louisiana Tech W 69-68 53%    
  Jan 10, 2024 184   Western Kentucky W 76-70 72%    
  Jan 13, 2024 180   @ Middle Tennessee W 64-63 51%    
  Jan 20, 2024 42   @ Liberty L 62-74 15%    
  Jan 25, 2024 235   New Mexico St. W 77-68 78%    
  Jan 27, 2024 150   UTEP W 71-67 66%    
  Feb 01, 2024 184   @ Western Kentucky W 74-73 52%    
  Feb 03, 2024 218   @ Florida International W 74-72 57%    
  Feb 08, 2024 230   @ Jacksonville St. W 68-65 59%    
  Feb 15, 2024 218   Florida International W 77-69 76%    
  Feb 17, 2024 42   Liberty L 65-71 31%    
  Feb 22, 2024 235   @ New Mexico St. W 74-71 60%    
  Feb 24, 2024 150   @ UTEP L 68-70 43%    
  Mar 02, 2024 180   Middle Tennessee W 67-61 70%    
  Mar 07, 2024 104   @ Louisiana Tech L 66-71 32%    
  Mar 09, 2024 230   Jacksonville St. W 71-62 78%    
Projected Record 15 - 14 9 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.2 2.7 1.8 0.7 0.1 8.6 1st
2nd 0.1 1.1 4.7 7.1 5.4 2.3 0.3 21.1 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.9 6.5 7.6 3.6 0.7 0.0 20.4 3rd
4th 0.0 1.5 6.7 6.0 1.9 0.2 16.3 4th
5th 0.0 1.1 5.4 4.8 0.8 0.0 12.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.8 3.6 3.7 0.7 0.0 8.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 2.4 2.8 0.6 0.0 6.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.5 1.8 0.4 4.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.7 0.2 0.0 2.1 9th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.7 5.2 8.0 11.2 14.2 14.4 14.4 11.8 8.4 5.1 2.1 0.7 0.1 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
15-1 100.0% 0.7    0.6 0.0
14-2 84.6% 1.8    1.4 0.4 0.0
13-3 53.7% 2.7    1.5 1.1 0.1
12-4 26.6% 2.2    0.9 1.1 0.2 0.0
11-5 7.9% 0.9    0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0
10-6 1.1% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
9-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 8.6% 8.6 4.7 3.1 0.7 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.1% 33.3% 28.3% 5.0% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 7.0%
15-1 0.7% 32.6% 27.9% 4.7% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.5 6.6%
14-2 2.1% 26.7% 25.6% 1.1% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.6 1.5%
13-3 5.1% 18.6% 18.5% 0.1% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.0 4.1 0.1%
12-4 8.4% 16.0% 15.9% 0.0% 12.8 0.0 0.5 0.6 0.2 0.0 7.0 0.1%
11-5 11.8% 12.2% 12.2% 13.2 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 10.3
10-6 14.4% 9.8% 9.8% 13.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.0 13.0
9-7 14.4% 6.7% 6.7% 14.4 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.1 13.4
8-8 14.2% 5.3% 5.3% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.3 13.5
7-9 11.2% 3.2% 3.2% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 10.9
6-10 8.0% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.0 0.2 7.8
5-11 5.2% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.1 5.1
4-12 2.7% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.0 2.7
3-13 1.2% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 1.2
2-14 0.4% 0.4
1-15 0.1% 0.1
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 8.3% 8.3% 0.1% 13.5 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.7 2.4 1.6 1.2 1.0 91.7 0.1%