Houston Christian
Southland
2022-23 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
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Overall
Predictive Rating-15.9#357
Expected Predictive Rating-15.0#353
Pace76.4#25
Improvement-2.0#277

Offense
Total Offense-7.1#339
First Shot-9.3#356
After Offensive Rebound+2.2#53
Layup/Dunks+4.7#35
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#285
3 Pt Jumpshots-10.8#360
Freethrows-1.3#269
Improvement+2.2#63

Defense
Total Defense-8.8#362
First Shot-7.7#362
After Offensive Rebounds-1.1#272
Layups/Dunks-7.0#352
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#179
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#215
Freethrows-0.1#202
Improvement-4.2#347
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 11.7% 0.2% 20.7%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Texas A&M - Commerce (Home) - 43.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 5
Quad 20 - 20 - 7
Quad 30 - 40 - 11
Quad 45 - 125 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 19   @ BYU L 63-110 1%     0 - 1 -30.1 -12.9 -10.8
  Nov 15, 2023 272   Florida International L 74-83 23%     0 - 2 -17.3 -9.5 -7.0
  Nov 20, 2023 254   Texas San Antonio L 87-89 21%     0 - 3 -9.4 -1.3 -7.9
  Nov 24, 2023 98   @ Oklahoma St. L 65-92 2%     0 - 4 -18.4 -10.5 -5.3
  Nov 27, 2023 24   @ TCU L 64-101 1%     0 - 5 -21.2 -10.2 -5.9
  Dec 02, 2023 192   @ Rice L 56-65 7%     0 - 6 -8.2 -20.7 +12.8
  Dec 09, 2023 26   @ Texas L 50-77 1%     0 - 7 -11.3 -17.1 +6.4
  Dec 19, 2023 51   @ SMU L 53-89 1%     0 - 8 -23.3 -14.4 -8.7
  Dec 22, 2023 61   @ Texas A&M L 52-79 1%     0 - 9 -15.4 -14.2 -1.9
  Jan 06, 2024 282   Nicholls St. L 94-98 OT 25%     0 - 10 0 - 1 -12.9 -0.6 -11.7
  Jan 08, 2024 184   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi L 59-81 6%     0 - 11 0 - 2 -20.6 -13.0 -6.7
  Jan 13, 2024 332   @ Texas A&M - Commerce W 69-65 24%     1 - 11 1 - 2 -4.5 -3.7 -0.6
  Jan 15, 2024 321   @ Northwestern St. L 64-69 20%     1 - 12 1 - 3 -11.9 -17.0 +5.6
  Jan 20, 2024 240   Lamar W 78-77 19%     2 - 12 2 - 3 -5.6 +0.5 -6.2
  Jan 22, 2024 349   New Orleans W 88-80 53%     3 - 12 3 - 3 -8.5 +3.2 -11.9
  Jan 27, 2024 344   @ Incarnate Word L 75-79 29%     3 - 13 3 - 4 -14.1 -5.0 -9.0
  Jan 29, 2024 289   SE Louisiana L 58-80 27%     3 - 14 3 - 5 -31.6 -16.2 -16.5
  Feb 03, 2024 282   @ Nicholls St. L 73-83 13%     3 - 15 3 - 6 -13.5 +2.4 -16.5
  Feb 05, 2024 349   @ New Orleans L 58-84 32%     3 - 16 3 - 7 -37.1 -23.1 -13.2
  Feb 10, 2024 344   Incarnate Word W 86-83 49%     4 - 16 4 - 7 -12.5 +0.4 -13.0
  Feb 12, 2024 91   McNeese St. L 54-105 5%     4 - 17 4 - 8 -47.6 -19.4 -25.9
  Feb 17, 2024 289   @ SE Louisiana L 78-81 14%     4 - 18 4 - 9 -7.1 +2.4 -9.5
  Feb 24, 2024 321   Northwestern St. L 73-86 36%     4 - 19 4 - 10 -25.3 -7.5 -17.4
  Feb 26, 2024 184   TX A&M Corpus Christi L 79-91 14%     4 - 20 4 - 11 -16.0 +4.0 -19.6
  Mar 02, 2024 332   Texas A&M - Commerce L 73-75 44%    
  Mar 04, 2024 91   @ McNeese St. L 62-87 1%    
  Mar 06, 2024 240   @ Lamar L 72-87 8%    
Projected Record 5 - 22 5 - 13





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southland Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 0.0 0.0 6th
7th 32.4 4.4 0.0 36.9 7th
8th 33.5 11.1 0.0 44.6 8th
9th 18.1 0.3 18.4 9th
10th 0.1 0.1 10th
Total 51.7 43.8 4.4 0.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 0.0% 0.0
6-12 4.4% 4.4
5-13 43.8% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 43.8
4-14 51.7% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 51.7
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.0%
Lose Out 51.7% 0.0% 16.0 0.0