Bucknell
Patriot League
2022-23 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.0#292
Expected Predictive Rating-7.3#296
Pace63.7#311
Improvement+1.3#129

Offense
Total Offense-4.5#293
First Shot-3.4#274
After Offensive Rebound-1.1#257
Layup/Dunks-4.0#320
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#330
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.9#51
Freethrows-0.5#212
Improvement-1.0#244

Defense
Total Defense-2.5#247
First Shot-1.3#215
After Offensive Rebounds-1.2#286
Layups/Dunks-0.1#185
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#162
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#299
Freethrows+1.2#101
Improvement+2.3#62
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.2% 3.5% 2.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four3.2% 3.5% 2.7%
First Round1.5% 1.6% 1.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Lafayette (Home) - 64.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b1 - 11 - 2
Quad 20 - 11 - 3
Quad 31 - 42 - 7
Quad 411 - 1213 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 173   Delaware L 57-78 36%     0 - 1 -24.3 -17.0 -7.4
  Nov 08, 2023 218   @ Penn L 61-80 26%     0 - 2 -19.3 -13.0 -6.9
  Nov 11, 2023 251   @ Niagara W 73-64 31%     1 - 2 +7.2 +6.9 +1.2
  Nov 14, 2023 193   @ La Salle L 57-69 23%     1 - 3 -11.3 -13.5 +1.7
  Nov 17, 2023 8   @ Duke L 60-90 1%     1 - 4 -10.1 -3.0 -8.0
  Nov 20, 2023 328   Southern Indiana W 67-56 73%     2 - 4 -2.4 -12.8 +10.2
  Nov 22, 2023 84   @ St. Bonaventure L 61-67 7%     2 - 5 +3.7 -2.9 +6.1
  Nov 25, 2023 224   @ Marist L 49-73 26%     2 - 6 -24.5 -11.8 -16.2
  Nov 29, 2023 83   Princeton L 71-85 15%     2 - 7 -9.7 +9.3 -21.2
  Dec 02, 2023 85   @ Penn St. W 76-67 7%     3 - 7 +18.6 +12.8 +6.5
  Dec 16, 2023 228   Radford L 63-70 46%     3 - 8 -13.0 -4.0 -10.3
  Dec 22, 2023 222   @ Merrimack L 52-68 26%     3 - 9 -16.4 -8.2 -10.5
  Dec 30, 2023 209   St. Peter's L 58-67 44%     3 - 10 -14.4 +0.0 -16.4
  Jan 03, 2024 348   Holy Cross W 70-58 81%     4 - 10 1 - 0 -4.1 -7.0 +3.7
  Jan 06, 2024 261   American L 63-71 53%     4 - 11 1 - 1 -15.8 -1.5 -16.0
  Jan 10, 2024 271   @ Lehigh W 86-80 34%     5 - 11 2 - 1 +3.2 +6.3 -3.6
  Jan 13, 2024 141   Colgate L 73-84 29%     5 - 12 2 - 2 -12.2 -1.7 -10.2
  Jan 17, 2024 295   @ Boston University W 73-57 40%     6 - 12 3 - 2 +11.5 +4.3 +8.0
  Jan 20, 2024 307   @ Lafayette L 72-75 OT 44%     6 - 13 3 - 3 -8.4 -1.0 -7.4
  Jan 24, 2024 323   Navy W 71-63 70%     7 - 13 4 - 3 -4.4 +5.2 -8.2
  Jan 27, 2024 330   @ Army W 66-56 55%     8 - 13 5 - 3 +1.6 +2.0 +0.8
  Jan 31, 2024 343   Loyola Maryland W 67-52 79%     9 - 13 6 - 3 -0.5 -8.2 +8.6
  Feb 03, 2024 261   @ American L 66-75 OT 33%     9 - 14 6 - 4 -11.4 -7.4 -4.2
  Feb 07, 2024 323   @ Navy W 80-67 50%     10 - 14 7 - 4 +6.1 +6.4 -0.1
  Feb 10, 2024 295   Boston University L 62-77 61%     10 - 15 7 - 5 -25.0 -7.3 -19.2
  Feb 12, 2024 271   Lehigh L 63-71 OT 55%     10 - 16 7 - 6 -16.2 -15.9 +0.1
  Feb 17, 2024 141   @ Colgate L 50-62 15%     10 - 17 7 - 7 -7.8 -14.3 +5.3
  Feb 21, 2024 348   @ Holy Cross L 59-73 64%     10 - 18 7 - 8 -24.7 -9.4 -17.9
  Feb 25, 2024 330   Army W 54-41 74%     11 - 18 8 - 8 -0.9 -14.6 +15.3
  Feb 28, 2024 343   @ Loyola Maryland W 68-46 61%     12 - 18 9 - 8 +12.0 +1.1 +13.9
  Mar 02, 2024 307   Lafayette W 65-61 65%    
Projected Record 13 - 18 10 - 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 15.3 15.3 2nd
3rd 49.6 49.6 3rd
4th 4.3 4.3 4th
5th 20.8 20.8 5th
6th 10.0 10.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 35.1 64.9 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 64.9% 3.5% 3.5% 16.0 2.3 62.6
9-9 35.1% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 1.0 34.2
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 3.2% 3.2% 0.0% 16.0 3.2 96.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 64.9% 3.5% 16.0 3.5
Lose Out 35.1% 2.7% 16.0 2.7