Boston College
Atlantic Coast
2019-20 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
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Overall
Predictive Rating+4.1#107
Expected Predictive Rating+5.1#109
Pace69.1#182
Improvement+0.6#123

Offense
Total Offense+2.0#118
First Shot+1.5#143
After Offensive Rebound+0.5#149
Layup/Dunks+4.5#43
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#145
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.2#302
Freethrows+0.6#144
Improvement-0.3#214

Defense
Total Defense+2.1#114
First Shot+2.7#96
After Offensive Rebounds-0.6#224
Layups/Dunks+0.8#150
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#246
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#219
Freethrows+3.5#18
Improvement+0.9#84
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.0% 5.6% 2.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 2.6% 3.9% 1.1%
Average Seed 10.7 10.4 11.6
.500 or above 47.9% 59.4% 35.6%
.500 or above in Conference 27.6% 32.5% 22.2%
Conference Champion 0.3% 0.5% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 10.0% 7.8% 12.4%
First Four1.2% 1.7% 0.6%
First Round3.4% 4.8% 1.9%
Second Round1.3% 2.0% 0.5%
Sweet Sixteen0.3% 0.5% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Vanderbilt (Away) - 51.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b1 - 41 - 7
Quad 23 - 54 - 12
Quad 35 - 39 - 15
Quad 46 - 015 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 302   Fairfield W 89-70 91%     1 - 0 +8.2 +5.7 +1.2
  Nov 10, 2023 300   @ The Citadel W 75-71 79%     2 - 0 -0.5 +4.5 -4.8
  Nov 15, 2023 85   Richmond W 68-61 54%     3 - 0 +10.0 +2.9 +7.7
  Nov 18, 2023 138   Harvard W 73-64 70%     4 - 0 +7.7 -0.5 +8.1
  Nov 22, 2023 28   Colorado St. L 74-86 20%     4 - 1 +0.9 +6.1 -5.2
  Nov 23, 2023 130   Loyola Chicago L 68-71 56%     4 - 2 -0.5 -3.0 +2.6
  Nov 29, 2023 154   @ Vanderbilt W 72-71 52%    
  Dec 02, 2023 58   North Carolina St. L 74-76 43%    
  Dec 05, 2023 335   Central Connecticut St. W 78-59 96%    
  Dec 08, 2023 334   Holy Cross W 78-60 96%    
  Dec 10, 2023 57   St. John's L 77-82 32%    
  Dec 21, 2023 265   Lehigh W 80-67 88%    
  Jan 02, 2024 76   Wake Forest W 76-75 51%    
  Jan 06, 2024 137   @ Georgia Tech L 72-73 47%    
  Jan 10, 2024 95   @ Syracuse L 72-76 36%    
  Jan 13, 2024 46   @ Clemson L 68-77 20%    
  Jan 15, 2024 156   Notre Dame W 71-64 72%    
  Jan 20, 2024 12   North Carolina L 70-79 22%    
  Jan 23, 2024 63   @ Virginia Tech L 70-77 26%    
  Jan 27, 2024 156   @ Notre Dame W 68-67 52%    
  Jan 30, 2024 95   Syracuse W 75-73 57%    
  Feb 06, 2024 66   Florida St. L 74-75 47%    
  Feb 10, 2024 7   @ Duke L 62-79 7%    
  Feb 13, 2024 155   Louisville W 76-69 72%    
  Feb 17, 2024 29   Miami (FL) L 73-79 31%    
  Feb 20, 2024 66   @ Florida St. L 71-78 27%    
  Feb 24, 2024 58   @ North Carolina St. L 71-79 24%    
  Feb 28, 2024 45   Virginia L 60-63 38%    
  Mar 02, 2024 39   Pittsburgh L 72-76 37%    
  Mar 06, 2024 29   @ Miami (FL) L 70-82 15%    
  Mar 09, 2024 155   @ Louisville W 73-72 51%    
Projected Record 15 - 16 8 - 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.8 0.3 0.0 2.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.2 0.4 0.1 2.8 4th
5th 0.2 1.3 1.7 0.8 0.1 4.0 5th
6th 0.1 1.2 2.6 1.5 0.2 0.0 5.7 6th
7th 0.1 1.0 3.1 2.4 0.3 0.0 6.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.8 3.4 3.5 0.8 0.0 8.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.6 3.2 4.6 1.4 0.1 9.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 3.0 5.3 2.1 0.2 0.0 11.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 2.6 5.1 2.9 0.4 0.0 11.5 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 2.4 4.9 3.3 0.5 0.0 11.4 12th
13th 0.0 0.3 2.2 4.4 3.2 0.6 0.0 10.8 13th
14th 0.0 0.4 2.0 3.4 2.2 0.5 0.0 8.5 14th
15th 0.1 0.6 1.6 1.8 1.1 0.2 0.0 5.5 15th
Total 0.1 0.6 2.0 4.1 6.9 9.6 11.8 12.7 12.8 11.6 9.6 7.4 4.7 3.0 1.7 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 85.7% 0.0    0.0
17-3 60.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0
16-4 33.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
15-5 12.3% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 1.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.3% 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0
18-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-3 0.1% 95.6% 11.1% 84.4% 6.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 95.0%
16-4 0.3% 86.2% 5.1% 81.2% 7.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 85.5%
15-5 0.9% 71.2% 7.3% 63.9% 9.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3 69.0%
14-6 1.7% 43.4% 5.3% 38.0% 10.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 1.0 40.2%
13-7 3.0% 22.6% 4.0% 18.6% 10.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.0 2.3 19.4%
12-8 4.7% 9.4% 3.5% 5.9% 11.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 4.2 6.1%
11-9 7.4% 4.4% 2.6% 1.8% 11.4 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 7.1 1.9%
10-10 9.6% 2.5% 2.2% 0.4% 11.9 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 9.3 0.4%
9-11 11.6% 1.4% 1.4% 13.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.5
8-12 12.8% 1.0% 1.0% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 12.7
7-13 12.7% 0.7% 0.7% 15.7 0.0 0.1 12.6
6-14 11.8% 0.8% 0.8% 15.9 0.0 0.1 11.7
5-15 9.6% 0.6% 0.6% 15.9 0.0 0.1 9.6
4-16 6.9% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 6.9
3-17 4.1% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 4.1
2-18 2.0% 2.0
1-19 0.6% 0.6
0-20 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 4.0% 1.5% 2.5% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.9 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 96.0 2.6%