Southern Indiana
Ohio Valley
2022-23 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
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Overall
Predictive Rating-10.7#328
Expected Predictive Rating-14.3#349
Pace71.9#86
Improvement+2.5#74

Offense
Total Offense-6.3#328
First Shot-6.7#337
After Offensive Rebound+0.3#152
Layup/Dunks-4.4#328
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#110
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#268
Freethrows-1.0#247
Improvement+5.7#5

Defense
Total Defense-4.3#311
First Shot-4.7#323
After Offensive Rebounds+0.4#142
Layups/Dunks-1.4#243
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#110
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#183
Freethrows-4.3#357
Improvement-3.2#326
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.4% 0.4% 0.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.4% 0.4% 0.3%
First Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Southeast Missouri St. (Home) - 74.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 21 - 11 - 3
Quad 30 - 41 - 7
Quad 45 - 156 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 197   @ Saint Louis L 63-75 15%     0 - 1 -11.6 -15.7 +4.5
  Nov 09, 2023 18   @ Michigan St. L 51-74 1%     0 - 2 -5.7 -11.6 +5.6
  Nov 12, 2023 300   Chicago St. L 67-78 49%     0 - 3 -21.3 -12.4 -8.4
  Nov 18, 2023 193   @ La Salle L 78-79 15%     0 - 4 -0.3 +6.1 -6.4
  Nov 20, 2023 292   @ Bucknell L 56-67 27%     0 - 5 -15.3 -19.1 +4.0
  Nov 24, 2023 8   @ Duke L 62-80 1%     0 - 6 +1.9 +1.8 -1.2
  Dec 02, 2023 246   Bowling Green L 52-54 36%     0 - 7 -8.8 -22.1 +13.2
  Dec 06, 2023 171   Purdue Fort Wayne L 57-70 24%     0 - 8 -16.2 -17.9 +1.9
  Dec 09, 2023 52   @ Indiana St. L 54-98 3%     0 - 9 -31.4 -19.5 -7.9
  Dec 22, 2023 120   @ Southern Illinois L 50-81 7%     0 - 10 -25.0 -15.6 -12.1
  Dec 29, 2023 352   @ Southeast Missouri St. L 91-93 OT 55%     0 - 11 0 - 1 -13.9 -6.0 -7.5
  Dec 31, 2023 356   @ Lindenwood W 73-62 59%     1 - 11 1 - 1 -1.9 -1.6 +0.2
  Jan 04, 2024 296   Tennessee St. W 69-67 47%     2 - 11 2 - 1 -8.0 -8.3 +0.3
  Jan 06, 2024 327   Tennessee Tech L 59-73 60%     2 - 12 2 - 2 -27.3 -16.6 -11.4
  Jan 11, 2024 291   @ SIU Edwardsville L 64-67 27%     2 - 13 2 - 3 -7.2 -10.6 +3.4
  Jan 18, 2024 211   Arkansas Little Rock L 75-77 31%     2 - 14 2 - 4 -7.5 -7.8 +0.5
  Jan 20, 2024 139   Morehead St. L 70-81 18%     2 - 15 2 - 5 -11.9 +2.2 -15.1
  Jan 25, 2024 269   Western Illinois L 68-73 40%     2 - 16 2 - 6 -13.2 -3.8 -9.5
  Feb 01, 2024 327   @ Tennessee Tech W 74-71 39%     3 - 16 3 - 6 -4.8 +4.1 -8.7
  Feb 03, 2024 296   @ Tennessee St. L 74-79 28%     3 - 17 3 - 7 -9.5 -0.1 -9.4
  Feb 08, 2024 315   Eastern Illinois L 71-81 54%     3 - 18 3 - 8 -21.6 -10.2 -10.8
  Feb 10, 2024 291   SIU Edwardsville W 84-67 46%     4 - 18 4 - 8 +7.4 +11.1 -2.8
  Feb 15, 2024 220   @ Tennessee Martin L 68-77 17%     4 - 19 4 - 9 -9.4 -7.2 -2.0
  Feb 17, 2024 211   @ Arkansas Little Rock L 62-80 16%     4 - 20 4 - 10 -18.0 -9.9 -8.8
  Feb 20, 2024 139   @ Morehead St. W 80-73 9%     5 - 20 5 - 10 +11.5 +17.2 -4.9
  Feb 24, 2024 269   @ Western Illinois L 76-82 23%     5 - 21 5 - 11 -8.7 +1.2 -9.8
  Feb 29, 2024 356   Lindenwood L 63-67 77%     5 - 22 5 - 12 -22.3 -13.9 -8.6
  Mar 02, 2024 352   Southeast Missouri St. W 76-69 75%    
Projected Record 6 - 22 6 - 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 21.3 74.7 96.1 8th
9th 3.9 3.9 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 25.3 74.7 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12 74.7% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.3 74.4
5-13 25.3% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.1 25.2
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 16.0 0.4 99.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 74.7% 0.4% 16.0 0.4
Lose Out 25.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.3