Tennessee Martin
Ohio Valley
2019-20 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.1#220
Expected Predictive Rating-1.5#190
Pace78.6#15
Improvement+3.7#39

Offense
Total Offense-0.5#195
First Shot+0.8#165
After Offensive Rebound-1.3#261
Layup/Dunks-1.0#212
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#200
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.7#60
Freethrows-1.4#274
Improvement+0.6#146

Defense
Total Defense-2.5#249
First Shot-0.8#197
After Offensive Rebounds-1.7#312
Layups/Dunks+4.0#46
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#314
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.0#330
Freethrows+1.1#113
Improvement+3.1#42
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 12.6% 13.3% 10.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.3 15.3 15.6
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 75.3% 100.0% 0.5%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four1.2% 0.9% 2.1%
First Round12.0% 12.9% 9.4%
Second Round0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Tennessee St. (Home) - 75.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 32 - 12 - 5
Quad 415 - 517 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2023 28   @ Mississippi St. L 63-87 5%     0 - 1 -8.6 -3.6 -4.0
  Nov 17, 2023 189   @ Eastern Kentucky W 80-74 34%     1 - 1 +7.0 -2.3 +8.7
  Nov 19, 2023 338   Prairie View L 66-78 81%     1 - 2 -24.3 -14.6 -9.0
  Nov 22, 2023 247   North Alabama W 105-103 2OT 65%     2 - 2 -5.1 +2.3 -7.8
  Nov 25, 2023 300   @ Chicago St. W 94-71 57%     3 - 2 +18.1 +12.5 +3.7
  Nov 30, 2023 192   @ Rice L 78-98 35%     3 - 3 -19.2 -5.1 -11.8
  Dec 02, 2023 91   @ McNeese St. L 80-91 13%     3 - 4 -2.1 +8.2 -9.8
  Dec 12, 2023 70   @ North Carolina St. L 67-81 10%     3 - 5 -3.3 -1.5 -1.8
  Dec 18, 2023 232   @ Evansville L 91-98 41%     3 - 6 -7.8 +3.3 -10.0
  Dec 28, 2023 296   @ Tennessee St. W 91-75 56%     4 - 6 1 - 0 +11.5 +10.3 -0.1
  Dec 30, 2023 327   @ Tennessee Tech W 81-73 68%     5 - 6 2 - 0 +0.2 -0.5 +0.1
  Jan 04, 2024 315   Eastern Illinois L 72-79 79%     5 - 7 2 - 1 -18.6 -10.0 -8.1
  Jan 11, 2024 269   Western Illinois L 64-73 69%     5 - 8 2 - 2 -17.2 -9.5 -7.9
  Jan 13, 2024 211   Arkansas Little Rock W 77-72 59%     6 - 8 3 - 2 -0.5 +0.9 -1.3
  Jan 18, 2024 139   @ Morehead St. L 66-84 23%     6 - 9 3 - 3 -13.5 +2.6 -18.2
  Jan 25, 2024 352   Southeast Missouri St. W 84-58 90%     7 - 9 4 - 3 +8.6 -2.0 +8.4
  Jan 27, 2024 356   Lindenwood W 76-67 91%     8 - 9 5 - 3 -9.3 -1.3 -7.7
  Feb 01, 2024 315   @ Eastern Illinois W 76-59 62%     9 - 9 6 - 3 +10.9 +1.4 +9.3
  Feb 03, 2024 291   @ SIU Edwardsville W 90-79 54%     10 - 9 7 - 3 +6.8 +9.5 -3.4
  Feb 06, 2024 211   @ Arkansas Little Rock L 57-77 38%     10 - 10 7 - 4 -20.0 -14.6 -6.3
  Feb 10, 2024 269   @ Western Illinois W 62-59 49%     11 - 10 8 - 4 +0.3 -6.7 +7.1
  Feb 15, 2024 328   Southern Indiana W 77-68 83%     12 - 10 9 - 4 -4.4 -2.8 -1.7
  Feb 17, 2024 139   Morehead St. W 88-82 41%     13 - 10 10 - 4 +5.1 +11.5 -6.6
  Feb 22, 2024 356   @ Lindenwood W 106-82 82%     14 - 10 11 - 4 +11.1 +18.1 -9.3
  Feb 24, 2024 352   @ Southeast Missouri St. W 82-72 80%     15 - 10 12 - 4 -1.9 -1.8 -1.0
  Feb 29, 2024 327   Tennessee Tech W 80-69 83%     16 - 10 13 - 4 -2.3 +0.2 -2.6
  Mar 02, 2024 296   Tennessee St. W 81-74 75%    
Projected Record 17 - 10 14 - 4





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 75.2 75.3 1st
2nd 4.3 4.3 2nd
3rd 20.4 20.4 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 24.8 75.2 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 75.2    0.3 12.8 62.0
13-5 0.5% 0.1    0.0 0.1
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 75.3% 75.3 0.3 12.8 62.1 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 75.2% 13.3% 13.3% 15.3 0.0 1.0 5.3 3.7 65.2
13-5 24.8% 10.4% 10.4% 15.6 0.1 1.0 1.6 22.2
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 12.6% 12.6% 0.0% 15.3 0.0 1.1 6.3 5.2 87.4 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 75.2% 13.3% 15.3 0.0 1.3 7.1 4.9
Lose Out 24.8% 10.4% 15.6 0.3 3.9 6.3