SIU Edwardsville
Ohio Valley
2019-20 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-6.9#291
Expected Predictive Rating-6.3#281
Pace66.6#243
Improvement-2.2#282

Offense
Total Offense-3.6#271
First Shot-4.3#299
After Offensive Rebound+0.8#121
Layup/Dunks-7.6#357
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#55
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#145
Freethrows+0.0#177
Improvement-2.2#297

Defense
Total Defense-3.4#272
First Shot-1.0#205
After Offensive Rebounds-2.3#337
Layups/Dunks+1.2#131
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#192
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#268
Freethrows-0.5#225
Improvement+0.0#174
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.6% 3.3% 2.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 33.8% 100.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four2.0% 2.1% 1.9%
First Round1.5% 2.2% 1.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Western Illinois (Away) - 33.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 40 - 5
Quad 31 - 21 - 7
Quad 412 - 813 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 41   @ Dayton L 47-63 4%     0 - 1 -2.3 -14.5 +10.1
  Nov 13, 2023 129   @ Missouri L 50-68 13%     0 - 2 -12.7 -14.5 -0.6
  Nov 16, 2023 278   Denver W 77-74 46%     1 - 2 -2.8 +1.4 -4.0
  Nov 17, 2023 282   Nicholls St. W 60-51 47%     2 - 2 +2.8 -4.2 +8.8
  Nov 19, 2023 207   @ South Alabama L 74-86 25%     2 - 3 -11.9 +9.0 -22.3
  Nov 25, 2023 353   Detroit Mercy W 81-67 84%     3 - 3 -3.4 +9.0 -10.5
  Dec 01, 2023 127   @ Troy L 60-83 13%     3 - 4 -17.5 -4.7 -14.7
  Dec 06, 2023 227   Green Bay W 78-69 46%     4 - 4 +3.0 +5.9 -2.5
  Dec 10, 2023 258   @ Ball St. L 71-83 32%     4 - 5 -14.2 +2.3 -17.5
  Dec 21, 2023 75   @ Bradley L 64-75 7%     4 - 6 -0.9 -2.9 +1.8
  Dec 29, 2023 315   Eastern Illinois W 67-58 67%     5 - 6 1 - 0 -2.6 -3.0 +1.3
  Dec 31, 2023 269   Western Illinois L 70-78 55%     5 - 7 1 - 1 -16.2 +2.0 -19.0
  Jan 04, 2024 211   @ Arkansas Little Rock L 80-88 25%     5 - 8 1 - 2 -8.0 +2.4 -10.1
  Jan 11, 2024 328   Southern Indiana W 67-64 73%     6 - 8 2 - 2 -10.4 -11.3 +0.9
  Jan 13, 2024 139   Morehead St. W 61-48 28%     7 - 8 3 - 2 +12.1 -7.3 +20.5
  Jan 18, 2024 356   @ Lindenwood W 78-59 72%     8 - 8 4 - 2 +6.1 +6.3 +1.2
  Jan 20, 2024 352   @ Southeast Missouri St. L 47-52 69%     8 - 9 4 - 3 -16.9 -24.8 +7.4
  Jan 27, 2024 327   Tennessee Tech W 74-57 73%     9 - 9 5 - 3 +3.7 -4.9 +8.5
  Feb 01, 2024 211   Arkansas Little Rock W 68-66 44%     10 - 9 6 - 3 -3.5 -5.3 +2.0
  Feb 03, 2024 220   Tennessee Martin L 79-90 46%     10 - 10 6 - 4 -16.8 -2.7 -13.4
  Feb 08, 2024 139   @ Morehead St. L 68-79 14%     10 - 11 6 - 5 -6.5 -2.2 -4.4
  Feb 10, 2024 328   @ Southern Indiana L 67-84 54%     10 - 12 6 - 6 -24.9 -5.1 -20.8
  Feb 15, 2024 356   Lindenwood W 91-63 86%     11 - 12 7 - 6 +9.7 +5.8 +2.4
  Feb 17, 2024 352   Southeast Missouri St. W 80-76 84%     12 - 12 8 - 6 -13.4 -0.9 -12.6
  Feb 22, 2024 327   @ Tennessee Tech W 78-77 54%     13 - 12 9 - 6 -6.8 +5.5 -12.3
  Feb 24, 2024 296   @ Tennessee St. L 71-76 41%     13 - 13 9 - 7 -9.5 -8.8 -0.3
  Feb 27, 2024 315   @ Eastern Illinois L 79-84 47%     13 - 14 9 - 8 -11.1 -3.1 -7.5
  Mar 02, 2024 269   @ Western Illinois L 64-68 34%    
Projected Record 13 - 15 9 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 25.3 25.3 5th
6th 66.2 8.5 74.7 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 66.2 33.8 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 33.8% 3.3% 3.3% 15.9 0.1 1.1 32.7
9-9 66.2% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.0 1.4 64.7
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 2.6% 2.6% 0.0% 16.0 0.1 2.5 97.4 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 33.8% 3.3% 15.9 0.2 3.1
Lose Out 66.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.0 2.2