Nebraska
Big Ten
2022-23 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
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Overall
Predictive Rating+10.0#52
Expected Predictive Rating+10.7#54
Pace67.4#229
Improvement-0.7#250

Offense
Total Offense+7.4#24
First Shot+6.4#32
After Offensive Rebound+1.1#126
Layup/Dunks-3.1#288
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#150
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.8#40
Freethrows+4.3#16
Improvement+1.8#25

Defense
Total Defense+2.6#101
First Shot+3.8#77
After Offensive Rebounds-1.2#270
Layups/Dunks+8.5#6
2 Pt Jumpshots-5.7#355
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#244
Freethrows+2.4#48
Improvement-2.5#354
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Top 2 Seed 0.8% 1.5% 0.3%
Top 4 Seed 4.5% 7.3% 2.6%
Top 6 Seed 12.6% 19.5% 8.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 47.0% 59.4% 38.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 44.7% 57.4% 36.1%
Average Seed 7.9 7.5 8.3
.500 or above 89.8% 95.9% 85.6%
.500 or above in Conference 55.6% 62.8% 50.8%
Conference Champion 2.5% 3.5% 1.8%
Last Place in Conference 4.2% 2.7% 5.2%
First Four6.2% 6.3% 6.1%
First Round43.9% 56.2% 35.5%
Second Round23.3% 30.8% 18.2%
Sweet Sixteen7.7% 10.9% 5.5%
Elite Eight3.0% 4.3% 2.1%
Final Four1.1% 1.6% 0.7%
Championship Game0.4% 0.5% 0.3%
National Champion0.1% 0.1% 0.1%

Next Game: Creighton (Home) - 40.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 41 - 4
Quad 1b3 - 44 - 8
Quad 24 - 38 - 11
Quad 34 - 113 - 11
Quad 47 - 020 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 345   Lindenwood W 84-52 98%     1 - 0 +16.8 +2.4 +13.9
  Nov 09, 2023 338   Florida A&M W 81-54 98%     2 - 0 +12.4 -2.7 +12.9
  Nov 13, 2023 250   Rider W 64-50 94%     3 - 0 +6.3 -4.8 +12.2
  Nov 15, 2023 258   Stony Brook W 84-63 94%     4 - 0 +12.8 +8.5 +4.2
  Nov 18, 2023 157   Oregon St. W 84-63 81%     5 - 0 +21.5 +19.3 +3.8
  Nov 22, 2023 84   Duquesne W 89-79 75%     6 - 0 +13.1 +24.9 -10.7
  Nov 26, 2023 203   Cal St. Fullerton W 85-72 91%     7 - 0 +8.0 +14.6 -6.0
  Dec 03, 2023 15   Creighton L 73-75 41%    
  Dec 06, 2023 128   @ Minnesota W 73-69 65%    
  Dec 10, 2023 17   Michigan St. L 68-70 42%    
  Dec 17, 2023 44   @ Kansas St. L 74-78 36%    
  Dec 20, 2023 256   North Dakota W 82-64 95%    
  Dec 29, 2023 348   South Carolina St. W 92-66 99%    
  Jan 03, 2024 68   Indiana W 76-71 68%    
  Jan 06, 2024 35   @ Wisconsin L 67-72 33%    
  Jan 09, 2024 1   Purdue L 69-77 23%    
  Jan 12, 2024 37   @ Iowa L 80-85 34%    
  Jan 17, 2024 54   @ Rutgers L 66-68 42%    
  Jan 20, 2024 62   Northwestern W 71-67 66%    
  Jan 23, 2024 27   Ohio St. W 74-73 50%    
  Jan 27, 2024 59   @ Maryland L 66-68 43%    
  Feb 01, 2024 35   Wisconsin W 70-69 53%    
  Feb 04, 2024 31   @ Illinois L 71-77 31%    
  Feb 07, 2024 62   @ Northwestern L 68-70 44%    
  Feb 10, 2024 55   Michigan W 77-73 63%    
  Feb 17, 2024 90   Penn St. W 80-72 75%    
  Feb 21, 2024 68   @ Indiana L 73-74 46%    
  Feb 25, 2024 128   Minnesota W 76-66 82%    
  Feb 29, 2024 27   @ Ohio St. L 70-76 30%    
  Mar 03, 2024 54   Rutgers W 69-65 63%    
  Mar 10, 2024 55   @ Michigan L 74-76 42%    
Projected Record 20 - 11 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 2.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 1.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 0.2 0.0 6.5 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.3 3.0 2.4 0.9 0.2 0.0 8.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 1.7 3.9 3.3 0.8 0.1 0.0 9.8 4th
5th 0.0 1.1 4.4 3.9 0.8 0.0 10.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.7 3.8 4.2 1.0 0.1 0.0 9.8 6th
7th 0.3 3.0 4.8 1.4 0.1 0.0 9.5 7th
8th 0.1 1.7 4.6 2.4 0.2 0.0 9.0 8th
9th 0.0 1.1 4.1 3.1 0.5 0.0 8.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.6 2.7 3.6 0.7 0.0 7.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 2.0 3.1 1.2 0.0 6.7 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 1.3 2.3 1.2 0.1 5.3 12th
13th 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.5 0.9 0.1 3.9 13th
14th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.7 0.5 0.1 2.3 14th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 2.0 3.7 6.0 8.2 11.0 12.2 12.8 12.0 10.4 8.3 5.4 3.6 2.0 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
18-2 90.4% 0.2    0.2 0.0 0.0
17-3 70.7% 0.6    0.4 0.2 0.0
16-4 40.6% 0.8    0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0
15-5 15.0% 0.5    0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
14-6 3.2% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
13-7 0.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 2.5% 2.5 1.2 1.0 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0
19-1 0.1% 100.0% 18.8% 81.3% 1.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
18-2 0.3% 100.0% 16.9% 83.1% 2.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
17-3 0.8% 100.0% 12.3% 87.7% 2.9 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-4 2.0% 100.0% 12.0% 88.0% 4.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-5 3.6% 99.9% 9.0% 90.9% 5.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.1 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.9%
14-6 5.4% 98.7% 7.8% 91.0% 6.2 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.3 1.5 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.1 98.6%
13-7 8.3% 95.1% 6.2% 88.8% 7.3 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.4 2.2 1.9 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.4 94.7%
12-8 10.4% 86.5% 5.3% 81.2% 8.4 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.5 2.5 2.3 1.5 0.4 0.0 1.4 85.7%
11-9 12.0% 70.2% 4.4% 65.9% 9.3 0.1 0.4 1.6 2.4 2.6 1.2 0.1 3.6 68.9%
10-10 12.8% 47.6% 4.0% 43.5% 10.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.3 1.9 0.2 6.7 45.4%
9-11 12.2% 20.4% 3.0% 17.4% 10.7 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.3 0.3 0.0 9.7 18.0%
8-12 11.0% 5.6% 2.2% 3.5% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.0 10.3 3.5%
7-13 8.2% 2.5% 2.2% 0.3% 12.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.0 0.3%
6-14 6.0% 2.0% 2.0% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 5.9
5-15 3.7% 1.8% 1.8% 15.5 0.0 0.0 3.6
4-16 2.0% 1.6% 1.6% 15.9 0.0 0.0 2.0
3-17 0.9% 0.9
2-18 0.3% 0.3
1-19 0.1% 0.1
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 47.0% 4.3% 42.8% 7.9 0.2 0.6 1.5 2.2 3.6 4.5 5.8 7.1 7.4 7.6 5.2 0.9 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 53.0 44.7%