Tennessee Tech
Ohio Valley
2019-20 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
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Overall
Predictive Rating-10.6#327
Expected Predictive Rating-11.5#334
Pace65.5#268
Improvement+0.4#170

Offense
Total Offense-6.2#324
First Shot-1.5#218
After Offensive Rebound-4.7#360
Layup/Dunks+3.7#53
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#129
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.4#312
Freethrows-1.5#279
Improvement+0.0#184

Defense
Total Defense-4.4#314
First Shot-3.1#286
After Offensive Rebounds-1.3#287
Layups/Dunks-0.3#194
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#223
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.3#310
Freethrows+0.8#136
Improvement+0.4#161
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.4% 0.7% 0.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.4% 0.7% 0.3%
First Round0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Arkansas Little Rock (Away) - 15.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 30 - 60 - 9
Quad 47 - 117 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 5   @ Tennessee L 42-80 1%     0 - 1 -15.9 -18.8 +2.5
  Nov 10, 2023 150   @ Murray St. L 72-78 10%     0 - 2 -2.3 +1.4 -3.8
  Nov 14, 2023 160   Lipscomb L 65-96 22%     0 - 3 -33.5 -14.6 -18.4
  Nov 19, 2023 144   @ Chattanooga L 63-68 9%     0 - 4 -0.8 -4.1 +2.8
  Nov 22, 2023 279   @ Presbyterian W 79-75 OT 24%     1 - 4 +0.8 -4.6 +5.0
  Nov 28, 2023 132   Western Carolina L 65-69 17%     1 - 5 -4.4 -6.8 +2.3
  Nov 30, 2023 247   @ North Alabama L 71-86 20%     1 - 6 -16.6 -1.2 -16.1
  Dec 10, 2023 198   @ East Tennessee St. L 72-73 15%     1 - 7 -0.6 +1.9 -2.5
  Dec 16, 2023 247   North Alabama W 70-67 37%     2 - 7 -4.1 -6.0 +2.0
  Dec 20, 2023 232   @ Evansville L 51-82 18%     2 - 8 -31.8 -23.6 -7.1
  Dec 28, 2023 211   Arkansas Little Rock L 75-81 31%     2 - 9 0 - 1 -11.5 -5.7 -5.5
  Dec 30, 2023 220   Tennessee Martin L 73-81 32%     2 - 10 0 - 2 -13.8 -8.8 -4.5
  Jan 04, 2024 139   @ Morehead St. L 57-82 9%     2 - 11 0 - 3 -20.5 -8.4 -14.6
  Jan 06, 2024 328   @ Southern Indiana W 73-59 40%     3 - 11 1 - 3 +6.1 +0.9 +5.9
  Jan 13, 2024 352   Southeast Missouri St. W 70-59 74%     4 - 11 2 - 3 -6.4 +3.7 -8.1
  Jan 18, 2024 296   @ Tennessee St. L 53-85 28%     4 - 12 2 - 4 -36.5 -13.9 -26.7
  Jan 25, 2024 315   @ Eastern Illinois L 59-68 33%     4 - 13 2 - 5 -15.1 -11.2 -4.5
  Jan 27, 2024 291   @ SIU Edwardsville L 57-74 27%     4 - 14 2 - 6 -21.2 -18.1 -3.1
  Feb 01, 2024 328   Southern Indiana L 71-74 61%     4 - 15 2 - 7 -16.4 -1.8 -14.8
  Feb 03, 2024 139   Morehead St. L 60-67 18%     4 - 16 2 - 8 -7.9 +0.0 -9.5
  Feb 08, 2024 352   @ Southeast Missouri St. L 69-88 55%     4 - 17 2 - 9 -30.9 -4.6 -27.0
  Feb 10, 2024 356   @ Lindenwood W 62-53 OT 59%     5 - 17 3 - 9 -3.9 -17.2 +13.1
  Feb 13, 2024 296   Tennessee St. W 70-50 48%     6 - 17 4 - 9 +10.0 -2.7 +13.7
  Feb 15, 2024 269   Western Illinois L 55-62 41%     6 - 18 4 - 10 -15.2 -11.6 -4.6
  Feb 22, 2024 291   SIU Edwardsville L 77-78 46%     6 - 19 4 - 11 -10.6 +2.8 -13.5
  Feb 24, 2024 315   Eastern Illinois W 75-67 54%     7 - 19 5 - 11 -3.6 +2.0 -5.2
  Feb 29, 2024 220   @ Tennessee Martin L 69-80 17%     7 - 20 5 - 12 -11.4 -6.1 -5.1
  Mar 02, 2024 211   @ Arkansas Little Rock L 67-78 15%    
Projected Record 7 - 21 5 - 13





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 21.3 15.3 36.7 8th
9th 63.3 63.3 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 84.7 15.3 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12 15.3% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 15.2
5-13 84.7% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.3 84.4
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 16.0 0.4 99.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 15.3% 0.7% 16.0 0.7
Lose Out 84.7% 0.3% 16.0 0.3