Southeast Missouri St.
Ohio Valley
2019-20 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
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Overall
Predictive Rating-14.6#352
Expected Predictive Rating-16.1#356
Pace72.6#66
Improvement+1.4#125

Offense
Total Offense-10.0#355
First Shot-6.5#335
After Offensive Rebound-3.6#348
Layup/Dunks-2.8#292
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#114
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#283
Freethrows-1.6#288
Improvement+0.5#147

Defense
Total Defense-4.6#321
First Shot-2.8#273
After Offensive Rebounds-1.8#315
Layups/Dunks-6.1#347
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#43
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.9#16
Freethrows-3.6#350
Improvement+0.9#123
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 75.4% 2.9% 100.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Southern Indiana (Away) - 25.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 30 - 50 - 9
Quad 44 - 144 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 67   @ Grand Canyon L 67-88 2%     0 - 1 -10.1 -6.0 -2.4
  Nov 10, 2023 65   @ Butler L 56-91 2%     0 - 2 -23.7 -18.8 -0.9
  Nov 15, 2023 232   Evansville L 57-76 21%     0 - 3 -25.2 -20.0 -4.7
  Nov 20, 2023 337   Central Arkansas W 70-68 50%     1 - 3 -12.6 -11.6 -1.0
  Nov 25, 2023 232   Evansville L 74-93 15%     1 - 4 -22.5 -2.1 -19.9
  Nov 26, 2023 144   @ Chattanooga L 56-72 5%     1 - 5 -11.8 -14.4 +1.8
  Nov 30, 2023 234   @ UMKC L 44-74 11%     1 - 6 -30.9 -27.3 -4.0
  Dec 09, 2023 171   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 80-89 7%     1 - 7 -6.8 +2.9 -9.1
  Dec 21, 2023 172   @ Illinois St. L 64-85 7%     1 - 8 -18.8 -6.6 -12.1
  Dec 29, 2023 328   Southern Indiana W 93-91 OT 45%     2 - 8 1 - 0 -11.4 -6.9 -5.0
  Dec 31, 2023 139   Morehead St. L 64-83 10%     2 - 9 1 - 1 -19.9 -13.0 -6.0
  Jan 04, 2024 269   @ Western Illinois L 61-68 13%     2 - 10 1 - 2 -9.7 -4.3 -6.2
  Jan 11, 2024 356   Lindenwood L 68-74 64%     2 - 11 1 - 3 -24.3 -13.3 -10.9
  Jan 13, 2024 327   @ Tennessee Tech L 59-70 26%     2 - 12 1 - 4 -18.8 -6.3 -14.5
  Jan 20, 2024 291   SIU Edwardsville W 52-47 31%     3 - 12 2 - 4 -4.6 -20.8 +16.6
  Jan 25, 2024 220   @ Tennessee Martin L 58-84 10%     3 - 13 2 - 5 -26.4 -21.0 -3.2
  Jan 27, 2024 211   @ Arkansas Little Rock L 61-66 9%     3 - 14 2 - 6 -5.0 -12.5 +7.4
  Jan 30, 2024 356   @ Lindenwood L 54-58 43%     3 - 15 2 - 7 -16.9 -18.7 +1.5
  Feb 03, 2024 269   Western Illinois L 55-76 27%     3 - 16 2 - 8 -29.2 -14.5 -16.7
  Feb 08, 2024 327   Tennessee Tech W 88-69 45%     4 - 16 3 - 8 +5.7 +12.6 -6.2
  Feb 10, 2024 296   Tennessee St. L 74-77 33%     4 - 17 3 - 9 -13.0 +3.3 -16.5
  Feb 15, 2024 315   @ Eastern Illinois L 57-75 21%     4 - 18 3 - 10 -24.1 -16.7 -7.5
  Feb 17, 2024 291   @ SIU Edwardsville L 76-80 16%     4 - 19 3 - 11 -8.2 -0.8 -7.3
  Feb 22, 2024 211   Arkansas Little Rock L 61-83 19%     4 - 20 3 - 12 -27.5 -13.7 -14.6
  Feb 24, 2024 220   Tennessee Martin L 72-82 20%     4 - 21 3 - 13 -15.8 -11.5 -3.3
  Feb 29, 2024 139   @ Morehead St. L 50-72 5%     4 - 22 3 - 14 -17.5 -20.7 +3.1
  Mar 02, 2024 328   @ Southern Indiana L 69-76 25%    
Projected Record 4 - 23 3 - 15





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 72.7 25.3 98.0 10th
11th 2.0 2.0 11th
Total 74.7 25.3 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14 25.3% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 25.3
3-15 74.7% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 74.7
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 25.3% 0.0% 16.0 0.0
Lose Out 74.7% 0.0% 16.0 0.0