Missouri
Southeastern
2022-23 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
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Overall
Predictive Rating+5.2#93
Expected Predictive Rating+0.9#158
Pace68.7#193
Improvement-0.8#264

Offense
Total Offense+3.5#78
First Shot+6.1#39
After Offensive Rebound-2.6#312
Layup/Dunks+1.6#114
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#180
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.9#14
Freethrows-2.3#305
Improvement+0.8#92

Defense
Total Defense+1.8#125
First Shot+4.9#55
After Offensive Rebounds-3.2#341
Layups/Dunks+1.3#132
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#294
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.5#70
Freethrows+1.8#79
Improvement-1.6#329
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.3% 0.6% 0.2%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.3% 12.1% 4.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 4.9% 10.5% 3.5%
Average Seed 10.2 9.7 10.6
.500 or above 26.5% 45.1% 21.7%
.500 or above in Conference 18.3% 25.0% 16.6%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.3% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 14.6% 9.8% 15.9%
First Four1.8% 3.1% 1.4%
First Round5.4% 10.5% 4.1%
Second Round1.9% 3.7% 1.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.4% 0.8% 0.3%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Pittsburgh (Away) - 20.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 61 - 6
Quad 1b1 - 42 - 11
Quad 23 - 45 - 15
Quad 33 - 19 - 16
Quad 45 - 114 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 354   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 101-79 97%     1 - 0 +5.1 +9.5 -6.1
  Nov 10, 2023 34   Memphis L 55-70 35%     1 - 1 -5.9 -13.6 +7.8
  Nov 13, 2023 238   SIU Edwardsville W 68-50 87%     2 - 1 +10.9 +0.2 +13.0
  Nov 16, 2023 128   @ Minnesota W 70-68 48%     3 - 1 +7.7 +4.7 +3.1
  Nov 19, 2023 277   Jackson St. L 72-73 91%     3 - 2 -10.3 -6.8 -3.4
  Nov 22, 2023 348   South Carolina St. W 82-59 96%     4 - 2 +7.2 +6.9 +2.3
  Nov 25, 2023 308   Loyola Maryland W 78-70 93%     5 - 2 -3.0 +1.8 -4.8
  Nov 28, 2023 39   @ Pittsburgh L 71-80 20%    
  Dec 03, 2023 89   Wichita St. W 74-71 59%    
  Dec 09, 2023 4   @ Kansas L 66-83 6%    
  Dec 17, 2023 74   Seton Hall L 69-71 43%    
  Dec 22, 2023 31   Illinois L 69-76 25%    
  Dec 30, 2023 341   Central Arkansas W 84-64 97%    
  Jan 06, 2024 94   Georgia W 74-71 61%    
  Jan 09, 2024 14   @ Kentucky L 70-83 11%    
  Jan 13, 2024 80   South Carolina W 71-69 57%    
  Jan 16, 2024 9   @ Alabama L 74-89 9%    
  Jan 20, 2024 25   Florida L 74-79 33%    
  Jan 23, 2024 19   @ Texas A&M L 67-79 14%    
  Jan 27, 2024 80   @ South Carolina L 68-72 36%    
  Jan 31, 2024 53   Arkansas L 74-76 44%    
  Feb 03, 2024 154   @ Vanderbilt W 73-71 56%    
  Feb 07, 2024 19   Texas A&M L 70-76 30%    
  Feb 10, 2024 20   Mississippi St. L 66-72 32%    
  Feb 17, 2024 96   @ Mississippi L 69-72 41%    
  Feb 20, 2024 8   Tennessee L 64-73 22%    
  Feb 24, 2024 53   @ Arkansas L 71-79 25%    
  Feb 28, 2024 25   @ Florida L 71-82 17%    
  Mar 02, 2024 96   Mississippi W 72-69 61%    
  Mar 05, 2024 21   Auburn L 71-77 32%    
  Mar 09, 2024 71   @ LSU L 69-75 31%    
Projected Record 14 - 17 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.6 0.1 1.9 4th
5th 0.3 1.4 1.0 0.2 3.0 5th
6th 0.2 1.6 1.9 0.5 0.0 4.2 6th
7th 0.1 1.5 3.2 1.2 0.1 6.1 7th
8th 0.1 1.4 4.0 2.2 0.3 8.0 8th
9th 0.0 1.3 4.7 3.8 0.6 0.0 10.5 9th
10th 0.1 1.3 5.4 5.2 1.2 0.1 13.2 10th
11th 0.1 1.5 5.5 6.0 1.7 0.1 15.0 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 1.5 5.3 5.9 2.0 0.2 15.0 12th
13th 0.3 2.0 4.5 4.6 1.7 0.2 13.3 13th
14th 0.5 1.8 2.7 2.1 0.8 0.1 0.0 8.1 14th
Total 0.5 2.2 4.8 8.3 12.3 14.5 15.0 13.3 10.8 7.9 5.1 2.8 1.6 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-3 75.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 26.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 13.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.4% 0.0    0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.1% 93.2% 4.5% 88.6% 5.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 92.9%
14-4 0.3% 91.2% 1.6% 89.6% 6.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 91.1%
13-5 0.5% 85.1% 3.8% 81.2% 7.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 84.5%
12-6 1.6% 66.8% 3.5% 63.3% 9.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.5 65.5%
11-7 2.8% 47.8% 3.8% 44.0% 9.5 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.5 45.7%
10-8 5.1% 24.8% 3.2% 21.6% 10.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 3.9 22.3%
9-9 7.9% 10.8% 3.0% 7.8% 10.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.1 8.1%
8-10 10.8% 3.1% 1.7% 1.4% 12.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.4 1.5%
7-11 13.3% 1.7% 1.7% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 13.1
6-12 15.0% 1.2% 1.2% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 14.8
5-13 14.5% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 14.4
4-14 12.3% 0.8% 0.8% 15.9 0.0 0.1 12.2
3-15 8.3% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 8.3
2-16 4.8% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 4.8
1-17 2.2% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 2.1
0-18 0.5% 0.5
Total 100% 6.3% 1.4% 4.9% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.7 1.1 1.4 1.4 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 93.7 4.9%