Eastern Kentucky
Atlantic Sun
2019-20 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.7#219
Expected Predictive Rating-10.1#311
Pace74.0#64
Improvement-0.1#185

Offense
Total Offense+0.1#176
First Shot-1.6#219
After Offensive Rebound+1.7#91
Layup/Dunks-3.2#292
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.8#46
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#120
Freethrows-3.4#336
Improvement+0.8#99

Defense
Total Defense-2.9#263
First Shot-2.2#253
After Offensive Rebounds-0.6#223
Layups/Dunks+3.4#67
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#268
3 Pt Jumpshots-9.4#358
Freethrows+4.8#6
Improvement-0.8#277
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 10.5% 14.6% 8.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.9 14.7 15.2
.500 or above 39.2% 57.5% 30.2%
.500 or above in Conference 68.8% 78.0% 64.3%
Conference Champion 13.4% 18.4% 10.9%
Last Place in Conference 3.9% 2.0% 4.8%
First Four2.7% 2.5% 2.8%
First Round9.4% 13.5% 7.3%
Second Round0.6% 1.1% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Western Kentucky (Away) - 32.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 4
Quad 32 - 53 - 8
Quad 410 - 613 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 17, 2023 247   Tennessee Martin L 74-80 68%     0 - 1 -13.5 -11.7 -1.3
  Nov 21, 2023 233   Prairie View L 64-76 64%     0 - 2 -18.6 -10.0 -8.4
  Nov 27, 2023 212   Troy W 77-76 60%     1 - 2 -4.4 +3.6 -8.0
  Dec 03, 2023 184   @ Western Kentucky L 77-81 33%    
  Dec 07, 2023 101   @ UNC Greensboro L 68-78 16%    
  Dec 13, 2023 152   @ Louisiana L 73-79 28%    
  Dec 17, 2023 205   Northern Kentucky W 73-71 59%    
  Dec 21, 2023 212   @ Troy L 75-78 38%    
  Dec 23, 2023 9   @ Alabama L 74-97 2%    
  Dec 29, 2023 1   @ Purdue L 62-89 1%    
  Jan 04, 2024 168   Lipscomb W 80-79 51%    
  Jan 06, 2024 260   Austin Peay W 75-69 69%    
  Jan 11, 2024 341   @ Central Arkansas W 80-74 71%    
  Jan 13, 2024 242   @ North Alabama L 76-78 45%    
  Jan 20, 2024 210   Bellarmine W 73-70 59%    
  Jan 25, 2024 251   Jacksonville W 76-71 67%    
  Jan 27, 2024 298   North Florida W 82-74 75%    
  Feb 01, 2024 267   @ Queens L 77-78 50%    
  Feb 03, 2024 224   @ Kennesaw St. L 84-87 40%    
  Feb 07, 2024 228   Florida Gulf Coast W 77-73 62%    
  Feb 10, 2024 162   @ Stetson L 72-78 31%    
  Feb 14, 2024 342   Chicago St. W 80-68 86%    
  Feb 17, 2024 210   @ Bellarmine L 70-73 38%    
  Feb 22, 2024 242   North Alabama W 79-75 65%    
  Feb 24, 2024 341   Central Arkansas W 83-71 85%    
  Feb 28, 2024 260   @ Austin Peay L 71-72 48%    
  Mar 01, 2024 168   @ Lipscomb L 77-83 31%    
Projected Record 13 - 14 9 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 1.5 3.7 4.1 2.9 1.0 0.2 13.4 1st
2nd 0.1 1.9 5.0 3.9 1.4 0.2 12.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.4 5.1 3.9 0.8 0.1 11.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 4.6 4.3 0.8 0.0 10.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 3.2 5.2 1.1 0.0 9.7 5th
6th 0.0 1.7 5.6 2.1 0.1 9.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.8 4.3 3.2 0.2 0.0 8.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.8 3.8 0.6 0.0 7.5 8th
9th 0.2 1.9 3.2 1.1 0.0 6.3 9th
10th 0.2 1.1 2.5 1.3 0.1 5.2 10th
11th 0.2 0.8 1.6 1.0 0.1 3.7 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.1 2.0 12th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.7 3.3 5.9 8.3 11.1 13.1 13.6 12.6 11.3 8.4 5.5 3.1 1.0 0.2 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
15-1 100.0% 1.0    0.9 0.1
14-2 92.7% 2.9    2.4 0.4 0.0
13-3 73.7% 4.1    2.5 1.4 0.2 0.0
12-4 43.6% 3.7    1.3 1.6 0.7 0.1 0.0
11-5 13.0% 1.5    0.1 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.0
10-6 1.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 13.4% 13.4 7.4 4.0 1.4 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.2% 67.7% 67.7% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-1 1.0% 49.7% 49.7% 13.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5
14-2 3.1% 37.9% 37.9% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.9
13-3 5.5% 29.3% 29.3% 14.3 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.5 0.1 3.9
12-4 8.4% 23.2% 23.2% 14.7 0.1 0.6 0.9 0.3 6.4
11-5 11.3% 14.0% 14.0% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.6 9.7
10-6 12.6% 10.7% 10.7% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 11.3
9-7 13.6% 6.6% 6.6% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.8 12.7
8-8 13.1% 5.4% 5.4% 16.0 0.0 0.7 12.4
7-9 11.1% 4.0% 4.0% 16.0 0.4 10.7
6-10 8.3% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.1 8.1
5-11 5.9% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 5.8
4-12 3.3% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 3.2
3-13 1.7% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 1.6
2-14 0.8% 0.8
1-15 0.2% 0.2
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 10.5% 10.5% 0.0% 14.9 0.0 0.1 1.0 2.3 2.9 4.1 89.5 0.0%