Prairie View
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
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Overall
Predictive Rating-12.3#338
Expected Predictive Rating-10.5#324
Pace74.6#43
Improvement-7.9#361

Offense
Total Offense-8.3#347
First Shot-8.6#355
After Offensive Rebound+0.3#155
Layup/Dunks-6.8#354
2 Pt Jumpshots+6.2#6
3 Pt Jumpshots-8.2#351
Freethrows+0.1#169
Improvement-3.7#338

Defense
Total Defense-4.0#291
First Shot-4.0#311
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#181
Layups/Dunks-2.5#281
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#126
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#59
Freethrows-5.4#361
Improvement-4.2#346
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.7% 1.0% 0.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.7% 1.0% 0.5%
First Round0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Alcorn St. (Home) - 43.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 10 - 4
Quad 31 - 31 - 7
Quad 48 - 139 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2023 124   @ Seattle L 60-71 6%     0 - 1 -5.3 -13.2 +8.9
  Nov 10, 2023 37   @ Washington St. L 65-83 2%     0 - 2 -4.0 -2.0 -1.6
  Nov 14, 2023 203   @ Abilene Christian W 79-74 12%     1 - 2 +5.3 +4.8 +0.4
  Nov 19, 2023 220   Tennessee Martin W 78-66 19%     2 - 2 +8.9 -1.8 +10.1
  Nov 21, 2023 189   @ Eastern Kentucky W 76-64 11%     3 - 2 +13.0 +0.0 +12.8
  Nov 29, 2023 131   @ Tulane L 77-98 6%     3 - 3 -16.0 -8.2 -4.4
  Dec 10, 2023 13   @ Iowa St. L 56-107 1%     3 - 4 -32.2 -13.0 -11.8
  Dec 12, 2023 121   @ Northern Iowa L 55-74 6%     3 - 5 -13.2 -11.9 -2.3
  Dec 20, 2023 192   @ Rice L 56-82 11%     3 - 6 -25.2 -18.0 -7.3
  Dec 28, 2023 254   @ Texas San Antonio L 89-103 17%     3 - 7 -16.0 +3.7 -18.3
  Dec 30, 2023 61   @ Texas A&M L 54-79 2%     3 - 8 -13.4 -15.3 +2.6
  Jan 06, 2024 287   @ Grambling St. L 63-69 22%     3 - 9 0 - 1 -10.0 -5.5 -4.9
  Jan 08, 2024 263   @ Southern L 58-79 18%     3 - 10 0 - 2 -23.4 -15.5 -7.0
  Jan 13, 2024 362   Mississippi Valley W 71-60 87%     4 - 10 1 - 2 -13.7 -11.5 -2.4
  Jan 20, 2024 301   @ Jackson St. W 71-62 24%     5 - 10 2 - 2 +4.1 -2.9 +7.1
  Jan 22, 2024 298   @ Alcorn St. L 78-90 23%     5 - 11 2 - 3 -16.7 +3.1 -20.2
  Jan 27, 2024 324   Alabama St. L 67-74 50%     5 - 12 2 - 4 -19.4 -10.0 -9.1
  Jan 29, 2024 340   Alabama A&M W 87-76 62%     6 - 12 3 - 4 -4.3 -3.5 -2.5
  Feb 03, 2024 281   Texas Southern L 69-80 36%     6 - 13 3 - 5 -19.7 -7.9 -11.3
  Feb 05, 2024 339   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 75-74 61%     7 - 13 4 - 5 -14.1 -8.6 -5.5
  Feb 10, 2024 322   @ Bethune-Cookman L 78-84 30%     7 - 14 4 - 6 -12.9 +2.1 -15.0
  Feb 12, 2024 347   @ Florida A&M W 61-58 43%     8 - 14 5 - 6 -7.6 -13.9 +6.4
  Feb 17, 2024 263   Southern L 71-77 33%     8 - 15 5 - 7 -13.9 -2.1 -11.9
  Feb 19, 2024 287   Grambling St. L 74-83 39%     8 - 16 5 - 8 -18.5 -0.3 -18.2
  Feb 24, 2024 339   @ Arkansas Pine Bluff L 59-72 40%     8 - 17 5 - 9 -22.7 -22.0 -0.3
  Feb 26, 2024 362   @ Mississippi Valley L 51-57 75%     8 - 18 5 - 10 -25.3 -23.9 -1.8
  Mar 02, 2024 298   Alcorn St. L 74-76 43%    
  Mar 04, 2024 301   Jackson St. L 73-75 44%    
  Mar 09, 2024 281   @ Texas Southern L 65-74 19%    
Projected Record 9 - 20 6 - 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 0.7 0.7 7th
8th 0.6 2.0 2.7 8th
9th 9.4 1.3 10.7 9th
10th 22.5 43.7 14.6 0.1 80.9 10th
11th 4.4 0.7 5.1 11th
12th 12th
Total 26.9 44.4 24.6 4.1 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 4.1% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.1 4.0
7-11 24.6% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.3 24.4
6-12 44.4% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.3 44.1
5-13 26.9% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 26.8
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.7% 0.7% 0.0% 16.0 0.7 99.3 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 4.1% 2.1% 16.0 2.1
Lose Out 26.9% 0.4% 16.0 0.4