Clemson
Atlantic Coast
2022-23 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
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Overall
Predictive Rating+10.5#46
Expected Predictive Rating+15.3#28
Pace69.7#168
Improvement+0.6#118

Offense
Total Offense+6.1#38
First Shot+8.5#15
After Offensive Rebound-2.4#306
Layup/Dunks+0.5#155
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#59
3 Pt Jumpshots+7.2#13
Freethrows-1.8#279
Improvement+1.3#53

Defense
Total Defense+4.4#60
First Shot+5.0#54
After Offensive Rebounds-0.6#221
Layups/Dunks+5.3#29
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#308
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#205
Freethrows+2.3#54
Improvement-0.7#254
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.1% 0.3% 0.1%
#1 Seed 0.6% 1.7% 0.4%
Top 2 Seed 2.0% 5.3% 1.2%
Top 4 Seed 8.8% 18.9% 6.5%
Top 6 Seed 19.8% 36.9% 15.9%
NCAA Tourney Bid 57.8% 77.8% 53.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 54.6% 75.3% 50.0%
Average Seed 7.6 6.7 7.9
.500 or above 89.2% 96.9% 87.4%
.500 or above in Conference 73.5% 83.0% 71.3%
Conference Champion 5.3% 9.0% 4.5%
Last Place in Conference 0.8% 0.4% 0.9%
First Four7.7% 5.9% 8.1%
First Round53.7% 74.7% 48.9%
Second Round30.4% 46.2% 26.7%
Sweet Sixteen11.5% 19.1% 9.8%
Elite Eight4.4% 7.9% 3.6%
Final Four1.7% 3.2% 1.4%
Championship Game0.7% 1.4% 0.5%
National Champion0.2% 0.5% 0.2%

Next Game: Alabama (Away) - 18.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 10 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 51 - 5
Quad 1b2 - 33 - 7
Quad 25 - 39 - 10
Quad 37 - 116 - 11
Quad 44 - 020 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 175   Winthrop W 78-56 90%     1 - 0 +18.4 +2.4 +16.6
  Nov 10, 2023 88   UAB W 77-76 68%     2 - 0 +6.7 +5.3 +1.4
  Nov 12, 2023 141   Davidson W 68-65 80%     3 - 0 +4.4 +2.6 +2.1
  Nov 19, 2023 79   Boise St. W 85-68 75%     4 - 0 +20.6 +16.7 +4.2
  Nov 24, 2023 291   Alcorn St. W 90-69 96%     5 - 0 +11.0 +9.4 +1.4
  Nov 28, 2023 9   @ Alabama L 78-87 19%    
  Dec 03, 2023 39   @ Pittsburgh L 74-78 37%    
  Dec 06, 2023 80   South Carolina W 74-67 75%    
  Dec 09, 2023 23   TCU L 74-77 40%    
  Dec 16, 2023 34   @ Memphis L 74-79 34%    
  Dec 22, 2023 267   Queens W 84-65 96%    
  Dec 29, 2023 160   Radford W 75-62 89%    
  Jan 03, 2024 29   @ Miami (FL) L 75-80 32%    
  Jan 06, 2024 12   North Carolina L 75-77 43%    
  Jan 10, 2024 63   @ Virginia Tech L 74-75 47%    
  Jan 13, 2024 107   Boston College W 77-68 80%    
  Jan 16, 2024 137   Georgia Tech W 80-68 85%    
  Jan 20, 2024 66   @ Florida St. L 75-76 49%    
  Jan 27, 2024 7   @ Duke L 67-77 18%    
  Jan 30, 2024 155   Louisville W 80-67 88%    
  Feb 03, 2024 45   Virginia W 64-61 60%    
  Feb 06, 2024 12   @ North Carolina L 72-80 24%    
  Feb 10, 2024 95   @ Syracuse W 77-75 58%    
  Feb 14, 2024 29   Miami (FL) W 78-77 53%    
  Feb 17, 2024 58   North Carolina St. W 79-74 65%    
  Feb 21, 2024 137   @ Georgia Tech W 77-71 69%    
  Feb 24, 2024 66   Florida St. W 78-73 68%    
  Feb 27, 2024 39   Pittsburgh W 77-75 59%    
  Mar 02, 2024 156   @ Notre Dame W 72-65 73%    
  Mar 05, 2024 95   Syracuse W 80-72 77%    
  Mar 09, 2024 76   @ Wake Forest W 77-76 52%    
Projected Record 20 - 11 11 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.9 1.5 1.6 0.7 0.3 0.0 5.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 2.1 3.5 2.5 0.8 0.1 0.0 9.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.5 2.6 4.3 2.3 0.5 0.0 10.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 2.8 4.8 2.5 0.4 0.0 11.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.4 5.0 3.1 0.5 0.0 11.3 5th
6th 0.1 1.8 4.9 3.3 0.5 0.0 10.7 6th
7th 0.0 1.1 4.0 4.0 0.7 0.0 10.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 3.1 3.8 1.1 0.1 8.6 8th
9th 0.3 1.8 3.6 1.4 0.1 7.2 9th
10th 0.1 1.2 2.8 1.5 0.2 6.0 10th
11th 0.1 0.8 1.7 1.3 0.2 0.0 4.0 11th
12th 0.0 0.4 1.1 1.0 0.3 0.0 2.9 12th
13th 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.0 2.0 13th
14th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.9 14th
15th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 15th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.6 2.8 4.6 6.7 9.6 11.5 13.0 12.5 11.6 9.5 7.2 4.5 2.4 0.9 0.3 0.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 96.5% 0.3    0.3 0.0
18-2 84.4% 0.7    0.6 0.2 0.0
17-3 67.1% 1.6    1.1 0.5 0.1
16-4 33.8% 1.5    0.5 0.7 0.2 0.1
15-5 12.6% 0.9    0.2 0.4 0.2 0.1
14-6 1.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 5.3% 5.3 2.8 1.8 0.6 0.2



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 100.0% 21.7% 78.3% 1.0 0.0 100.0%
19-1 0.3% 100.0% 33.5% 66.5% 1.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
18-2 0.9% 100.0% 22.8% 77.2% 2.5 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-3 2.4% 99.8% 18.4% 81.4% 3.2 0.2 0.5 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.8%
16-4 4.5% 99.8% 15.3% 84.5% 4.4 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.4 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.7%
15-5 7.2% 98.5% 13.1% 85.4% 5.5 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.3 1.8 1.7 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.1 98.2%
14-6 9.5% 95.9% 11.2% 84.7% 6.8 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.4 2.0 2.1 1.5 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.4 95.4%
13-7 11.6% 89.2% 8.1% 81.1% 8.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.2 1.9 2.4 2.2 1.4 0.5 0.0 1.3 88.2%
12-8 12.5% 77.4% 7.0% 70.4% 9.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.9 2.5 2.6 1.3 0.1 2.8 75.7%
11-9 13.0% 57.9% 4.8% 53.2% 9.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.8 1.4 2.7 2.1 0.2 5.5 55.8%
10-10 11.5% 35.1% 4.1% 31.0% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.2 1.8 0.4 0.0 7.5 32.3%
9-11 9.6% 12.9% 2.9% 10.0% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.4 10.3%
8-12 6.7% 4.9% 2.7% 2.2% 12.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.4 2.2%
7-13 4.6% 2.7% 2.2% 0.5% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.5 0.5%
6-14 2.8% 1.6% 1.6% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.8
5-15 1.6% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 1.6
4-16 0.7% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 0.7
3-17 0.3% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.0 0.3
2-18 0.1% 0.1
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 57.8% 7.0% 50.8% 7.6 0.6 1.4 2.7 4.1 5.0 6.0 6.3 7.3 7.8 8.6 6.6 1.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 42.3 54.6%