Rhode Island
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+3.3#115
Expected Predictive Rating+3.7#111
Pace69.2#191
Improvement-0.7#225

Offense
Total Offense+0.6#149
First Shot-0.3#176
After Offensive Rebound+0.9#122
Layup/Dunks+1.0#132
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#134
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.7#300
Freethrows+1.7#86
Improvement-1.4#290

Defense
Total Defense+2.7#89
First Shot+5.5#38
After Offensive Rebounds-2.8#333
Layups/Dunks+1.3#129
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#172
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.7#51
Freethrows+0.0#176
Improvement+0.6#134
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.9% 3.0% 1.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 11.7 11.6 11.9
.500 or above 79.9% 81.1% 56.1%
.500 or above in Conference 60.7% 61.3% 48.9%
Conference Champion 2.8% 2.8% 1.2%
Last Place in Conference 1.3% 1.3% 2.2%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round2.8% 2.9% 1.3%
Second Round0.5% 0.5% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Canisius (Home) - 95.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b1 - 21 - 2
Quad 23 - 64 - 9
Quad 35 - 48 - 13
Quad 410 - 118 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 347 Stetson W 93-62 94%     1 - 0 +16.1 +8.1 +6.4
  Fri, Nov 7 83 Tulsa L 65-82 36%     1 - 1 -9.9 -2.6 -8.6
  Tue, Nov 11 341 Stonehill W 80-57 94%     2 - 1 +8.8 +1.1 +7.2
  Fri, Nov 14 328 Albany W 80-61 93%     3 - 1 +5.9 +4.9 +2.2
  Tue, Nov 18 79 @Yale W 86-77 25%     4 - 1 +19.4 +17.9 +1.9
  Mon, Nov 24 139 Towson L 55-62 57%     4 - 2 -5.5 -9.4 +2.9
  Tue, Nov 25 186 Vermont W 80-65 69%     5 - 2 +13.3 +11.2 +3.5
  Wed, Nov 26 158 Temple W 90-75 62%     6 - 2 +15.2 +13.4 +1.8
  Tue, Dec 2 218 Brown W 66-56 82%     7 - 2 +3.6 -1.9 +6.1
  Sat, Dec 6 69 @Providence L 71-90 23%     7 - 3 -8.1 +0.3 -8.4
  Tue, Dec 9 70 McNeese St. L 64-66 44%     7 - 4 +2.9 -3.7 +6.6
  Tue, Dec 16 340 Canisius W 75-58 95%    
  Wed, Dec 31 287 Loyola Chicago W 78-65 89%    
  Sat, Jan 3 77 @George Mason L 65-72 25%    
  Wed, Jan 7 239 La Salle W 74-63 84%    
  Sat, Jan 10 127 @Davidson L 70-72 43%    
  Wed, Jan 14 51 Virginia Commonwealth L 71-76 33%    
  Wed, Jan 21 102 @Richmond L 72-76 35%    
  Sat, Jan 24 77 George Mason L 68-69 45%    
  Tue, Jan 27 73 @Dayton L 68-76 25%    
  Sun, Feb 1 138 @Duquesne L 77-78 46%    
  Sat, Feb 7 102 Richmond W 75-73 56%    
  Tue, Feb 10 82 @George Washington L 74-81 26%    
  Sat, Feb 14 196 Fordham W 72-63 78%    
  Tue, Feb 17 43 Saint Louis L 74-79 31%    
  Sat, Feb 21 239 @La Salle W 71-66 65%    
  Wed, Feb 25 111 @St. Bonaventure L 69-72 39%    
  Sat, Feb 28 173 Saint Joseph's W 75-68 75%    
  Wed, Mar 4 138 Duquesne W 80-75 67%    
  Sat, Mar 7 196 @Fordham W 69-66 59%    
Projected Record 17 - 13 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 1.0 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.8 1st
2nd 0.1 1.0 2.1 1.4 0.3 0.0 5.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.0 3.3 2.2 0.4 0.0 0.0 7.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.9 3.8 3.6 0.6 0.0 8.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 3.8 4.8 1.0 0.0 10.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 3.3 5.9 2.1 0.1 11.7 6th
7th 0.1 1.9 6.1 3.2 0.2 11.5 7th
8th 0.0 1.3 5.2 4.3 0.5 0.0 11.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.7 4.1 4.5 1.1 0.0 10.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 2.7 4.1 1.3 0.1 8.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 1.6 3.0 1.3 0.1 0.0 6.2 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 1.0 1.7 0.9 0.1 3.8 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.9 0.5 0.1 1.9 13th
14th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 14th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.2 4.2 7.5 11.1 13.4 15.4 14.4 11.9 9.1 5.4 2.8 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 88.8% 0.4    0.3 0.1 0.0
15-3 69.1% 0.8    0.5 0.3 0.0
14-4 34.2% 1.0    0.2 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-5 8.9% 0.5    0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.8% 2.8 1.1 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 50.0% 25.0% 25.0% 9.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 33.3%
16-2 0.4% 26.4% 19.2% 7.2% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3 8.9%
15-3 1.2% 19.1% 16.3% 2.8% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 1.0 3.4%
14-4 2.8% 11.1% 10.5% 0.6% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 2.5 0.7%
13-5 5.4% 8.7% 8.7% 0.1% 11.4 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.0 4.9 0.1%
12-6 9.1% 6.1% 6.0% 0.0% 11.7 0.2 0.3 0.0 8.5 0.0%
11-7 11.9% 3.4% 3.4% 11.8 0.1 0.3 0.0 11.5
10-8 14.4% 2.6% 2.6% 12.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 14.0
9-9 15.4% 1.1% 1.1% 12.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 15.2
8-10 13.4% 0.9% 0.9% 12.7 0.1 0.0 0.0 13.3
7-11 11.1% 0.7% 0.7% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.0
6-12 7.5% 0.1% 0.1% 14.7 0.0 0.0 7.5
5-13 4.2% 4.2
4-14 2.2% 2.2
3-15 0.8% 0.8
2-16 0.2% 0.2
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 2.9% 2.8% 0.1% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.2 1.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 97.1 0.1%