Rhode Island
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +3.7 #109
Expected Predictive Rating +3.9 #105
Pace 66.0 #260
Improvement +0.4 #167

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #152 C+ C D- B B-
Defense #80 C C A- D+ D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% #96 1.21 #116 +2.9 #84
2 Pt. Jumpers 15% #298 0.89 #39 -1.1 #237
Three Pointers 43% #137 0.96 #253 +0.0 #177
1st FG Attempt 1.05 #126 +1.8 #127
Freethrows 0.35 #49 73% #168 0.25 #61
Second Chance 33.4% #101 0.95 #315 0.32 #175
Turnovers 19.1% #332
Total Offense +0.3 #152

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% #133 1.09 #93 +0.3 #161
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% #263 0.64 #22 +2.0 #41
Three Pointers 42% #164 1.09 #279 -1.8 #268
1st FG Attempt 1.01 #162 +0.6 #162
Freethrows 0.35 #313 69% #34 0.24 #275
Second Chance 30.8% #195 1.03 #162 0.32 #180
Turnovers 20.9% #15
Total Defense +3.4 #80

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 1.9% #62 0.9% #254
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 1.6% #148 -2.0% #144
Possession Length 17.8 #217 17.9 #264
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.23 #41 0.15 #102
Improvement -0.5 #206 +0.8 #136

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.8% 2.4% 1.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 11.7 11.6 11.8
.500 or above 96.6% 99.3% 94.5%
.500 or above in Conference 69.6% 84.9% 58.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round1.8% 2.4% 1.4%
Second Round0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Duquesne (Away) - 43.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b1 - 21 - 2
Quad 24 - 55 - 7
Quad 36 - 411 - 11
Quad 48 - 219 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 329 Stetson W 93 - 62 94% +17  1 - 0 +18 +8 C+ A+ F+ +8 B- B A+
 Fri, Nov 7 70 Tulsa L 65 - 82 34% -9  1 - 1 -9 -3 C- B- F -7 C F A+
 Tue, Nov 11 334 Stonehill W 80 - 57 94% +12  2 - 1 +9 +4 C+ C F+ +5 A- D+ A+
 Fri, Nov 14 309 Albany W 80 - 61 92% +6  3 - 1 +7 +6 D- B+ C +2 A+ F A
 Tue, Nov 18 71 @Yale W 86 - 77 24% +0  4 - 1 +20 +20 A+ B- D+ +1 A F A+
 Mon, Nov 24 163 Towson L 55 - 62 65% -2  4 - 2 -7 -7 F A+ F -1 C- A- B
 Tue, Nov 25 198 Vermont W 80 - 65 72% +7  5 - 2 +12 +12 B B+ F +2 B F A+
 Wed, Nov 26 147 Temple W 90 - 75 61% +7  6 - 2 +16 +16 A+ D+ A+ -1 C+ C+ B
 Tue, Dec 2 264 Brown W 66 - 56 87% +4  7 - 2 +1 -2 D C+ F+ +4 A+ C B-
 Sat, Dec 6 66 @Providence L 71 - 90 23% -5  7 - 3 -8 -0 A+ F F -7 F C A+
 Tue, Dec 9 82 McNeese St. L 64 - 66 48% -2  7 - 4 +2 -6 B+ D- F +8 B A+ B+
 Tue, Dec 16 342 Canisius W 62 - 45 95% +3  8 - 4 +2 -9 F+ F+ F +13 B+ A A+
 Mon, Dec 22 256 Northeastern W 85 - 77 87% +6  9 - 4 -0 +12 B+ A- C+ -12 F B+ B
 Wed, Dec 31 280 Loyola Chicago L 57 - 61 89% -7  9 - 5 0 - 1 -14 -18 F C- F +3 F D- A+
 Sat, Jan 3 86 @George Mason L 50 - 61 28% -4  9 - 6 0 - 2 -1 -13 D+ F F +10 C+ A C-
 Wed, Jan 7 202 La Salle L 72 - 79 81% -2  9 - 7 0 - 3 -13 +3 B+ C+ F -17 F F B-
 Sat, Jan 10 136 @Davidson W 70 - 45 46% +14  10 - 7 1 - 3 +30 +12 A+ F C+ +22 A+ A+ A
 Wed, Jan 14 51 Virginia Commonwealth L 75 - 84 36% -8  10 - 8 1 - 4 -2 +7 A F D -9 C D+ F
 Wed, Jan 21 117 @Richmond W 69 - 68 42% -2  11 - 8 2 - 4 +7 -0 D+ C F +7 C B A-
 Sat, Jan 24 86 George Mason W 74 - 65 50% +5  12 - 8 3 - 4 +13 +15 B- C+ A+ -1 B C C+
 Tue, Jan 27 85 @Dayton W 81 - 76 OT 28% -3  13 - 8 4 - 4 +15 +10 C+ D B+ +4 F B+ A+
 Sun, Feb 1 122 @Duquesne L 73 - 75 43%
 Sat, Feb 7 117 Richmond W 74 - 70 65%
 Tue, Feb 10 65 @George Washington L 72 - 80 22%
 Sat, Feb 14 195 Fordham W 70 - 61 79%
 Tue, Feb 17 26 Saint Louis L 70 - 79 21%
 Sat, Feb 21 202 @La Salle W 70 - 67 63%
 Wed, Feb 25 141 @St. Bonaventure L 71 - 72 47%
 Sat, Feb 28 139 Saint Joseph's W 72 - 67 69%
 Wed, Mar 4 122 Duquesne W 76 - 72 65%
 Sat, Mar 7 195 @Fordham W 67 - 64 60%
Totals 18 - 13 9 - 9 +4 +0 C+ C D- +3 C C A-




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.2 1.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 1.9 3.2 1.0 0.1 6.2 3rd
4th 0.1 2.9 7.5 3.0 0.3 13.8 4th
5th 0.0 2.3 9.6 5.5 0.4 17.8 5th
6th 0.8 8.2 7.2 0.8 0.0 17.0 6th
7th 0.1 4.4 9.0 1.8 0.0 15.3 7th
8th 0.0 1.0 7.6 2.8 0.2 11.6 8th
9th 0.1 4.0 3.7 0.2 7.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.8 3.2 0.5 4.5 10th
11th 0.1 1.5 1.0 0.0 2.6 11th
12th 0.4 0.8 0.1 1.3 12th
13th 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.4 13th
14th 0.0 0.0 0.0 14th
Total 0.1 0.8 3.3 9.3 16.9 22.7 21.8 15.8 7.2 1.9 0.3 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 9.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-5 0.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.3% 13.7% 11.8% 2.0% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 2.2%
13-5 1.9% 6.5% 6.5% 11.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.8
12-6 7.2% 5.2% 5.2% 11.5 0.2 0.2 0.0 6.8
11-7 15.8% 3.3% 3.3% 11.6 0.2 0.3 15.3
10-8 21.8% 2.0% 2.0% 11.8 0.1 0.3 0.0 21.4
9-9 22.7% 0.7% 0.7% 12.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 22.5
8-10 16.9% 0.5% 0.5% 12.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 16.8
7-11 9.3% 0.6% 0.6% 12.6 0.0 0.0 9.3
6-12 3.3% 3.3
5-13 0.8% 0.8
4-14 0.1% 0.0 0.1
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 1.8% 1.8% 0.0% 11.7 98.2 0.0%