Duquesne
Atlantic 10
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.5#138
Expected Predictive Rating-2.4#208
Pace77.1#28
Improvement+0.5#149

Offense
Total Offense+1.4#128
First Shot+1.8#124
After Offensive Rebound-0.4#202
Layup/Dunks+2.5#98
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#298
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#161
Freethrows+0.8#128
Improvement+1.6#64

Defense
Total Defense+0.1#165
First Shot+0.4#154
After Offensive Rebounds-0.4#218
Layups/Dunks+1.5#120
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#239
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.4#60
Freethrows-4.0#354
Improvement-1.1#265
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.2% 1.2% 0.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.5 12.4 13.8
.500 or above 35.9% 37.5% 15.1%
.500 or above in Conference 35.2% 36.1% 23.6%
Conference Champion 1.0% 1.0% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 5.3% 5.0% 8.9%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
First Round1.2% 1.2% 0.6%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Canisius (Home) - 93.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 4
Quad 22 - 62 - 10
Quad 34 - 56 - 15
Quad 48 - 114 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 353 Niagara W 83-63 94%     1 - 0 +3.9 +2.5 +1.1
  Fri, Nov 7 257 Sacred Heart W 92-80 82%     2 - 0 +3.7 +8.2 -5.1
  Tue, Nov 11 202 Queens W 87-81 OT 76%     3 - 0 +0.2 -10.2 +9.3
  Sat, Nov 15 36 @Villanova L 77-87 10%     3 - 1 +5.4 +11.0 -5.6
  Wed, Nov 19 339 Loyola Maryland W 92-78 92%     4 - 1 -0.1 +4.9 -5.9
  Sat, Nov 22 209 Northeastern L 86-93 68%     4 - 2 -10.2 -1.0 -8.0
  Tue, Dec 2 121 William & Mary L 79-83 56%     4 - 3 -4.0 -0.8 -2.9
  Sat, Dec 6 197 Stony Brook W 84-75 75%     5 - 3 +3.6 +9.5 -5.8
  Wed, Dec 10 47 @Boise St. L 64-86 12%     5 - 4 -7.9 -0.6 -7.2
  Sat, Dec 13 98 @Nevada L 75-78 26%     5 - 5 +5.0 +8.4 -3.5
  Mon, Dec 22 340 Canisius W 80-64 93%    
  Tue, Dec 30 127 @Davidson L 74-78 37%    
  Sat, Jan 3 51 Virginia Commonwealth L 76-82 28%    
  Wed, Jan 7 173 @Saint Joseph's L 76-77 48%    
  Tue, Jan 13 73 Dayton L 76-79 38%    
  Sat, Jan 17 196 @Fordham W 74-73 54%    
  Tue, Jan 20 43 Saint Louis L 79-86 26%    
  Sat, Jan 24 287 @Loyola Chicago W 80-75 69%    
  Wed, Jan 28 111 St. Bonaventure W 77-76 54%    
  Sun, Feb 1 115 Rhode Island W 78-77 54%    
  Wed, Feb 4 77 @George Mason L 70-79 20%    
  Sat, Feb 7 82 George Washington L 82-85 40%    
  Sat, Feb 14 111 @St. Bonaventure L 74-79 32%    
  Wed, Feb 18 239 La Salle W 78-69 79%    
  Sat, Feb 21 73 @Dayton L 73-82 20%    
  Wed, Feb 25 127 Davidson W 77-75 58%    
  Sat, Feb 28 43 @Saint Louis L 76-89 12%    
  Wed, Mar 4 115 @Rhode Island L 75-80 33%    
  Sat, Mar 7 102 Richmond L 80-81 50%    
Projected Record 13 - 16 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.0 1st
2nd 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.4 0.1 1.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 1.4 0.7 0.1 0.0 2.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 2.2 1.4 0.2 0.0 4.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 2.6 2.5 0.4 0.0 6.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.5 3.9 0.9 0.0 7.6 6th
7th 0.1 1.8 5.0 2.1 0.1 9.0 7th
8th 0.0 1.5 5.3 3.6 0.4 0.0 10.8 8th
9th 0.1 1.1 5.1 4.9 0.8 0.0 12.0 9th
10th 0.0 1.0 4.7 5.8 1.6 0.1 13.2 10th
11th 0.1 1.0 4.2 5.5 1.9 0.1 12.7 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.9 3.3 4.3 1.7 0.2 0.0 10.4 12th
13th 0.1 0.6 1.9 2.3 1.0 0.1 5.9 13th
14th 0.1 0.3 0.9 0.8 0.3 0.1 2.4 14th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.6 3.7 6.8 10.6 13.1 14.5 14.0 12.4 9.6 6.3 3.7 1.9 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 70.3% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
14-4 48.3% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-5 10.8% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 0.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.0% 1.0 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.1% 12.5% 12.5% 11.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.3% 13.2% 12.1% 1.1% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.3%
14-4 0.9% 10.7% 10.7% 11.2 0.1 0.0 0.8
13-5 1.9% 5.5% 5.5% 11.7 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.8
12-6 3.7% 5.5% 5.5% 12.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 3.5
11-7 6.3% 3.4% 3.4% 12.1 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 6.1
10-8 9.6% 2.0% 2.0% 12.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 9.4
9-9 12.4% 0.9% 0.9% 13.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 12.3
8-10 14.0% 0.5% 0.5% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 14.0
7-11 14.5% 0.5% 0.5% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 14.5
6-12 13.1% 0.3% 0.3% 15.2 0.0 0.0 13.1
5-13 10.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 10.6
4-14 6.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 6.8
3-15 3.7% 3.7
2-16 1.6% 1.6
1-17 0.4% 0.4
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 1.2% 1.2% 0.0% 12.5 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 98.8 0.0%