Loyola Chicago
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -6.9 #282
Expected Predictive Rating -9.6 #323
Pace 66.3 #251
Improvement +1.3 #126

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #239 C C- D C- B
Defense #301 C C F C C+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% #191 1.13 #209 -0.8 #210
2 Pt. Jumpers 12% #338 0.73 #217 -3.5 #339
Three Pointers 50% #27 0.97 #243 +3.4 #71
1st FG Attempt 1.00 #199 -0.9 #200
Freethrows 0.29 #229 69% #298 0.20 #248
Second Chance 32.4% #127 0.93 #324 0.30 #211
Turnovers 18.4% #302
Total Offense -2.4 #239

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% #234 1.06 #66 +2.9 #83
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% #138 0.81 #277 -1.1 #269
Three Pointers 41% #172 1.14 #333 -2.8 #298
1st FG Attempt 1.04 #211 -1.0 #213
Freethrows 0.29 #138 79% #363 0.23 #220
Second Chance 30.7% #185 1.06 #208 0.33 #196
Turnovers 11.9% #359
Total Defense -4.4 #301

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 2.2% #46 -0.5% #119
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -3.8% #240 2.5% #229
Possession Length 18.1 #259 17.5 #209
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.13 #294 0.18 #233
Improvement -1.5 #268 +2.8 #43

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 93.6% 89.2% 97.4%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: La Salle (Home) - 45.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b1 - 21 - 3
Quad 22 - 62 - 9
Quad 31 - 113 - 21
Quad 44 - 57 - 26


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 311 Cleveland St. W 91 - 88 68% +2  1 - 0 -9 +6 C- F+ A -15 C- F C+
 Thu, Nov 6 299 Mercyhurst L 65 - 73 65% -7  1 - 1 -19 -8 D F F+ -11 F+ C- B-
 Sun, Nov 9 143 North Texas L 62 - 64 23% -4  1 - 2 -1 -1 F D+ B +0 C+ A+ C
 Thu, Nov 13 98 @Wichita St. L 74 - 95 9% -14  1 - 3 -13 +11 A+ F+ D+ -25 D+ F F
 Sun, Nov 16 100 Colorado St. L 67 - 80 20% -12  1 - 4 -11 +3 A- D F -16 C F F+
 Fri, Nov 21 308 Northern Illinois L 59 - 76 68% -9  1 - 5 -29 -10 C- F F -21 F D- F
 Tue, Nov 25 111 Northern Iowa L 51 - 72 17% -18  1 - 6 -18 -8 F B C- -12 C- C F
 Wed, Nov 26 246 San Jose St. L 51 - 63 42% -1  1 - 7 -17 -15 C C F -4 C A- F+
 Tue, Dec 2 303 Central Michigan W 83 - 72 66% +2  2 - 7 -0 +9 D+ B A- -9 F+ C- D+
 Sat, Dec 6 230 Princeton W 73 - 68 50% -1  3 - 7 -2 +5 B- A+ C -6 C+ C+ F
 Sun, Dec 14 358 Chicago St. L 75 - 84 85% -6  3 - 8 -27 -8 F A+ F -18 D- C- D-
 Wed, Dec 17 97 San Francisco L 71 - 85 13% -12  3 - 9 -9 +12 D+ A- A+ -23 F B F
 Sat, Dec 20 49 Santa Clara W 80 - 78 6% +1  4 - 9 +13 +14 A+ D- A+ -1 A+ D F+
 Wed, Dec 31 109 @Rhode Island W 61 - 57 11% +7  5 - 9 1 - 0 +11 -3 A B- F +13 A+ C+ C-
 Sat, Jan 3 91 Dayton L 68 - 70 17% +6  5 - 10 1 - 1 +1 +2 B C C -1 A+ C+ F
 Wed, Jan 7 130 Davidson L 64 - 79 30% -10  5 - 11 1 - 2 -16 -5 F+ B+ C -12 D D+ D+
 Sat, Jan 10 65 @George Washington L 66 - 101 5% -20  5 - 12 1 - 3 -23 -9 B- F F -11 D A+ F
 Tue, Jan 13 85 George Mason L 74 - 82 16% +3  5 - 13 1 - 4 -4 +10 A A- B- -15 C F D-
 Fri, Jan 16 91 @Dayton L 51 - 78 8% -6  5 - 14 1 - 5 -18 -14 F D+ F -4 C- A+ C-
 Tue, Jan 20 141 @St. Bonaventure L 70 - 84 15% +3  5 - 15 1 - 6 -10 -2 B+ F F -8 B- B+ F
 Sat, Jan 24 121 Duquesne L 59 - 71 27% -4  5 - 16 1 - 7 -12 -12 F+ D+ C -1 C+ A D-
 Tue, Jan 27 139 Saint Joseph's L 64 - 85 31% -20  5 - 17 1 - 8 -23 -3 C- D C -21 F F F+
 Fri, Jan 30 51 @Virginia Commonwealth L 75 - 89 4% -0  5 - 18 1 - 9 -1 +9 C A+ D+ -10 C+ C F
 Tue, Feb 3 207 La Salle L 70 - 71 46%
 Fri, Feb 6 130 @Davidson L 63 - 75 14%
 Fri, Feb 13 23 Saint Louis L 67 - 87 3%
 Wed, Feb 18 192 @Fordham L 64 - 72 23%
 Sat, Feb 21 139 @Saint Joseph's L 66 - 77 16%
 Sat, Feb 28 117 Richmond L 71 - 78 26%
 Wed, Mar 4 23 @Saint Louis L 64 - 90 1%
 Sat, Mar 7 65 George Washington L 73 - 85 12%
Totals 6 - 25 2 - 16 -7 -2 C C- D -4 C C F




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.2 10th
11th 0.2 0.5 0.2 0.9 11th
12th 0.2 1.7 1.3 0.1 3.3 12th
13th 0.7 5.8 5.7 1.0 0.0 13.1 13th
14th 20.8 35.8 21.6 4.1 0.1 82.5 14th
Total 20.8 36.5 27.6 11.7 2.9 0.5 0.0 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 0.0% 0.0
7-11 0.0% 0.0
6-12 0.5% 0.5
5-13 2.9% 2.9
4-14 11.7% 11.7
3-15 27.6% 27.6
2-16 36.5% 36.5
1-17 20.8% 20.8
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 16.2%