Florida International
Conference USA
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.8#187
Expected Predictive Rating-1.2#187
Pace75.5#44
Improvement+1.8#71

Offense
Total Offense-1.4#205
First Shot-0.5#185
After Offensive Rebound-0.9#239
Layup/Dunks-0.4#194
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#194
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#135
Freethrows-1.2#260
Improvement+1.0#100

Defense
Total Defense-0.4#175
First Shot+5.5#37
After Offensive Rebounds-5.9#365
Layups/Dunks+5.2#30
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#192
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#166
Freethrows-0.2#193
Improvement+0.8#119
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.1% 9.4% 4.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.9 13.1 14.0
.500 or above 42.7% 70.2% 41.3%
.500 or above in Conference 48.5% 67.4% 47.6%
Conference Champion 5.0% 8.9% 4.8%
Last Place in Conference 8.1% 2.6% 8.3%
First Four0.3% 0.3% 0.3%
First Round5.0% 9.4% 4.8%
Second Round0.3% 0.7% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Miami (FL) (Away) - 4.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 21 - 31 - 6
Quad 34 - 65 - 12
Quad 49 - 414 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Sat, Nov 8 25 @Nebraska L 66-96 4%     0 - 1 -12.1 -4.8 -4.6
  Thu, Nov 13 34 @LSU L 81-98 6%     0 - 2 -1.2 +6.8 -6.2
  Mon, Nov 24 182 James Madison L 72-80 61%     0 - 3 -12.6 -3.1 -9.7
  Wed, Nov 26 234 Nebraska Omaha W 74-61 70%     1 - 3 +5.9 -5.9 +11.4
  Wed, Dec 3 185 Florida Gulf Coast W 89-83 61%     2 - 3 +1.4 +5.7 -4.8
  Sat, Dec 6 305 Jacksonville W 88-65 81%     3 - 3 +12.1 +12.6 +0.0
  Tue, Dec 16 33 @Miami (FL) L 69-87 5%    
  Sat, Dec 20 211 LIU Brooklyn W 80-76 66%    
  Sun, Dec 28 109 Liberty L 73-76 41%    
  Fri, Jan 2 133 New Mexico St. L 72-73 49%    
  Sun, Jan 4 217 UTEP W 73-68 66%    
  Wed, Jan 7 254 @Jacksonville St. W 71-70 52%    
  Sat, Jan 10 251 @Missouri St. W 72-71 52%    
  Wed, Jan 14 162 @Kennesaw St. L 82-87 33%    
  Sat, Jan 17 125 Sam Houston St. L 79-80 46%    
  Thu, Jan 22 217 @UTEP L 70-71 45%    
  Sat, Jan 24 133 @New Mexico St. L 70-76 28%    
  Wed, Jan 28 254 Jacksonville St. W 73-67 71%    
  Wed, Feb 4 157 @Middle Tennessee L 74-79 33%    
  Sat, Feb 7 147 @Western Kentucky L 77-83 30%    
  Thu, Feb 12 282 Delaware W 77-69 75%    
  Sat, Feb 14 178 Louisiana Tech W 70-68 59%    
  Thu, Feb 19 109 @Liberty L 70-79 23%    
  Sat, Feb 21 251 Missouri St. W 74-68 71%    
  Thu, Feb 26 125 @Sam Houston St. L 76-83 27%    
  Sat, Feb 28 178 @Louisiana Tech L 67-71 38%    
  Thu, Mar 5 157 Middle Tennessee W 77-76 54%    
  Sat, Mar 7 147 Western Kentucky W 81-80 51%    
Projected Record 13 - 15 9 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.4 1.3 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 5.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 1.9 2.2 1.1 0.3 0.1 6.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 2.4 3.2 1.3 0.2 0.0 7.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 2.9 3.7 1.4 0.2 0.0 8.8 4th
5th 0.3 2.7 4.5 1.8 0.2 9.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.4 4.8 2.4 0.3 10.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 2.1 5.1 3.1 0.3 0.0 10.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.6 4.8 3.5 0.6 0.0 10.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.4 4.2 3.7 0.8 0.0 10.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 1.3 3.4 3.0 0.9 0.0 9.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 1.5 2.7 2.2 0.7 0.0 7.5 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.2 1.3 0.9 0.3 0.0 4.5 12th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.6 3.1 5.1 7.4 9.7 11.6 12.1 11.8 10.8 8.8 7.0 4.7 2.7 1.6 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
18-2 100.0% 0.3    0.3 0.0
17-3 90.4% 0.7    0.6 0.1 0.0
16-4 79.1% 1.3    0.8 0.4 0.0 0.0
15-5 52.6% 1.4    0.7 0.6 0.1 0.0
14-6 20.2% 0.9    0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1
13-7 4.7% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 5.0% 5.0 2.7 1.6 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.1% 39.1% 39.1% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.3% 45.1% 45.1% 12.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2
17-3 0.7% 29.8% 29.8% 12.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.5
16-4 1.6% 24.9% 24.9% 12.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 1.2
15-5 2.7% 21.9% 21.9% 13.2 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 2.1
14-6 4.7% 14.1% 14.1% 13.4 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.0 4.0
13-7 7.0% 11.4% 11.4% 13.7 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.1 6.2
12-8 8.8% 9.0% 9.0% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 8.0
11-9 10.8% 4.5% 4.5% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 10.3
10-10 11.8% 3.8% 3.8% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.0 11.3
9-11 12.1% 1.9% 1.9% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 11.9
8-12 11.6% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.0 0.2 11.5
7-13 9.7% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.0 0.1 9.6
6-14 7.4% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 7.4
5-15 5.1% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 5.1
4-16 3.1% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 3.1
3-17 1.6% 1.6
2-18 0.6% 0.6
1-19 0.2% 0.2
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 5.1% 5.1% 0.0% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.4 1.6 1.1 0.5 94.9 0.0%