Western Kentucky
Conference USA
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+0.8#147
Expected Predictive Rating+4.2#108
Pace77.8#23
Improvement-2.4#324

Offense
Total Offense+0.0#169
First Shot+1.8#123
After Offensive Rebound-1.8#290
Layup/Dunks+2.6#92
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#115
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.7#317
Freethrows+3.0#35
Improvement-2.0#319

Defense
Total Defense+0.8#138
First Shot-3.6#300
After Offensive Rebounds+4.4#2
Layups/Dunks+5.1#33
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.7#356
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.9#318
Freethrows-1.1#259
Improvement-0.4#217
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 10.7% 13.4% 9.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.2 13.0 13.4
.500 or above 77.1% 88.3% 70.4%
.500 or above in Conference 72.6% 79.5% 68.4%
Conference Champion 12.8% 16.4% 10.7%
Last Place in Conference 2.5% 1.7% 3.0%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Round10.7% 13.4% 9.1%
Second Round0.9% 1.2% 0.7%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Tulsa (Home) - 37.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 21 - 31 - 5
Quad 36 - 67 - 11
Quad 411 - 218 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 266 Tennessee Tech W 82-70 81%     1 - 0 +3.4 -0.8 +3.3
  Mon, Nov 10 260 @Eastern Kentucky W 87-79 62%     2 - 0 +5.6 +5.0 +0.0
  Sun, Nov 16 235 Tennessee St. W 95-82 77%     3 - 0 +5.9 +13.6 -8.8
  Wed, Nov 26 11 Vanderbilt L 78-83 6%     3 - 1 +13.2 +1.2 +12.7
  Thu, Nov 27 86 South Florida L 91-97 OT 29%     3 - 2 +0.5 -0.3 +2.2
  Fri, Nov 28 100 Wichita St. W 75-70 35%     4 - 2 +9.9 +12.6 -2.2
  Sat, Dec 6 275 Evansville W 80-79 82%     5 - 2 -8.0 +1.3 -9.3
  Wed, Dec 10 161 @Marshall L 61-77 41%     5 - 3 -12.9 -9.4 -3.8
  Fri, Dec 19 83 Tulsa L 78-81 37%    
  Mon, Dec 29 254 @Jacksonville St. W 73-70 61%    
  Fri, Jan 2 125 Sam Houston St. W 82-81 55%    
  Sun, Jan 4 178 Louisiana Tech W 73-68 68%    
  Thu, Jan 8 133 @New Mexico St. L 72-76 36%    
  Sat, Jan 10 217 @UTEP W 72-71 55%    
  Wed, Jan 14 251 Missouri St. W 77-68 79%    
  Sat, Jan 17 162 Kennesaw St. W 88-84 64%    
  Wed, Jan 21 109 Liberty W 76-75 51%    
  Sat, Jan 24 125 @Sam Houston St. L 79-84 35%    
  Wed, Jan 28 162 @Kennesaw St. L 85-87 42%    
  Sat, Jan 31 157 @Middle Tennessee L 77-79 42%    
  Thu, Feb 5 254 Jacksonville St. W 76-67 79%    
  Sat, Feb 7 187 Florida International W 83-77 70%    
  Sat, Feb 14 157 Middle Tennessee W 80-76 63%    
  Wed, Feb 18 282 @Delaware W 77-73 65%    
  Sat, Feb 21 109 @Liberty L 73-79 30%    
  Thu, Feb 26 133 New Mexico St. W 75-73 57%    
  Sat, Feb 28 217 UTEP W 75-68 74%    
  Thu, Mar 5 251 @Missouri St. W 74-71 61%    
  Sat, Mar 7 187 @Florida International L 80-81 49%    
Projected Record 17 - 12 11 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.9 3.2 3.5 2.3 1.1 0.3 0.0 12.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.8 2.9 4.8 3.0 1.1 0.2 0.0 12.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 3.4 5.2 2.7 0.6 0.0 0.0 12.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 3.5 5.3 2.4 0.4 0.0 0.0 12.0 4th
5th 0.3 2.7 5.1 2.6 0.3 0.0 10.9 5th
6th 0.2 1.7 4.9 2.7 0.4 0.0 9.9 6th
7th 0.1 1.3 4.0 2.7 0.5 0.0 8.5 7th
8th 0.1 0.8 2.9 2.6 0.5 0.0 7.0 8th
9th 0.1 0.6 2.1 2.2 0.6 0.0 5.6 9th
10th 0.1 0.4 1.5 1.6 0.6 0.0 4.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 0.9 0.4 0.0 2.5 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 1.2 12th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.6 3.2 5.0 7.3 9.2 11.3 12.5 12.5 11.3 9.7 6.8 4.6 2.5 1.1 0.3 0.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.3    0.3 0.0
18-2 99.4% 1.1    1.0 0.1
17-3 92.5% 2.3    2.0 0.3 0.0
16-4 76.3% 3.5    2.3 1.0 0.1 0.0
15-5 47.6% 3.2    1.5 1.4 0.3 0.1
14-6 19.7% 1.9    0.5 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.0
13-7 4.0% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-10 0.0%
Total 12.8% 12.8 7.7 3.8 1.1 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.3% 51.6% 51.6% 11.6 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2
18-2 1.1% 36.1% 36.1% 11.9 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.7
17-3 2.5% 29.5% 29.5% 12.4 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.0 1.7
16-4 4.6% 28.7% 28.7% 12.6 0.0 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.0 3.3
15-5 6.8% 23.8% 23.8% 12.9 0.0 0.5 0.9 0.3 0.0 5.2
14-6 9.7% 19.1% 19.1% 13.1 0.3 1.1 0.4 0.0 7.9
13-7 11.3% 14.4% 14.4% 13.4 0.0 0.1 0.8 0.6 0.1 9.7
12-8 12.5% 9.6% 9.6% 13.7 0.0 0.4 0.6 0.2 0.0 11.3
11-9 12.5% 6.3% 6.3% 13.8 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.1 11.7
10-10 11.3% 4.3% 4.3% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 10.8
9-11 9.2% 2.6% 2.6% 15.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 9.0
8-12 7.3% 2.6% 2.6% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 7.1
7-13 5.0% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 4.9
6-14 3.2% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 3.1
5-15 1.6% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 1.6
4-16 0.8% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 0.8
3-17 0.3% 0.3
2-18 0.1% 0.1
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 10.7% 10.7% 0.0% 13.2 0.3 2.2 4.5 2.7 0.9 0.2 89.3 0.0%