George Washington
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +8.6 #65
Expected Predictive Rating +3.6 #110
Pace 73.4 #62
Improvement -1.5 #256

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #49 B+ B+ C B- A
Defense #117 C C C+ B- C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% #53 1.24 #90 +4.9 #37
2 Pt. Jumpers 7% #364 0.95 #11 -4.6 #356
Three Pointers 50% #31 1.07 #110 +5.6 #27
1st FG Attempt 1.14 #39 +5.9 #39
Freethrows 0.33 #113 73% #151 0.24 #111
Second Chance 36.0% #40 1.16 #46 0.42 #30
Turnovers 16.5% #181
Total Offense +6.9 #49

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% #166 1.19 #231 -1.1 #221
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% #213 0.66 #40 +1.4 #83
Three Pointers 42% #169 0.98 #137 +0.4 #160
1st FG Attempt 1.00 #157 +0.7 #155
Freethrows 0.28 #103 71% #110 0.20 #98
Second Chance 28.2% #93 1.12 #283 0.32 #171
Turnovers 17.6% #98
Total Defense +1.7 #117

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 4.3% #6 0.4% #209
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 6.9% #70 -1.8% #148
Possession Length 15.7 #42 17.8 #254
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.20 #88 0.18 #213
Improvement -2.3 #302 +0.9 #134

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 10.4% 10.8% 6.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Average Seed 11.3 11.3 11.6
.500 or above 99.6% 99.7% 98.2%
.500 or above in Conference 95.4% 96.6% 84.5%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
First Round10.3% 10.7% 6.6%
Second Round2.5% 2.6% 1.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.5% 0.6% 0.3%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Fordham (Home) - 90.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 23 - 44 - 8
Quad 38 - 311 - 10
Quad 49 - 120 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 336 Maine W 67 - 47 97% +7  1 - 0 +6 -4 D+ B+ F +11 A A+ C+
 Sat, Nov 8 67 South Florida W 99 - 95 51% +1  2 - 0 +12 +12 A+ B F -0 A+ F+ C
 Wed, Nov 12 233 American W 107 - 67 92% +20  3 - 0 +33 +24 A+ A+ C +6 B- D+ B+
 Sat, Nov 15 222 Old Dominion W 96 - 73 92% +11  4 - 0 +16 +16 B A- A+ -1 B- D A+
 Wed, Nov 19 258 Maryland Baltimore Co. W 89 - 52 93% +24  5 - 0 +29 +9 A+ F D +19 A+ B+ B+
 Sun, Nov 23 82 McNeese St. L 86 - 92 56% -6  5 - 1 +1 +11 C A+ F -10 C F D
 Mon, Nov 24 142 Middle Tennessee W 92 - 79 76% +10  6 - 1 +14 +19 A+ D- B+ -5 C F B+
 Tue, Nov 25 103 Murray St. L 95 - 96 64% -1  6 - 2 +4 +19 A- C A+ -15 D- F+ C-
 Tue, Dec 2 335 @Army W 84 - 70 93% +5  7 - 2 +6 +8 D- A+ D- -2 F A- C
 Sat, Dec 6 133 William & Mary W 99 - 86 82% +4  8 - 2 +12 +16 A+ A A+ -6 C D C
 Wed, Dec 10 278 Delaware L 58 - 70 95% -6  8 - 3 -22 -17 F F F+ -5 F D- A+
 Sat, Dec 13 5 Florida L 70 - 80 12% -8  8 - 4 +11 +6 B B+ C- +5 D A+ B-
 Wed, Dec 31 117 @Richmond W 99 - 85 61% +10  9 - 4 1 - 0 +20 +35 A+ A+ C+ -14 F C D
 Sat, Jan 3 202 La Salle W 77 - 55 90% +6  10 - 4 2 - 0 +16 +8 C+ A+ C +10 B A+ D
 Tue, Jan 6 85 @Dayton L 72 - 79 46% +1  10 - 5 2 - 1 +3 +7 A A F -4 A F C-
 Sat, Jan 10 280 Loyola Chicago W 101 - 66 95% +20  11 - 5 3 - 1 +25 +14 A D+ B- +8 D+ A+ A+
 Wed, Jan 14 136 Davidson L 79 - 84 83% -9  11 - 6 3 - 2 -6 +11 D+ A- A+ -18 F F C
 Mon, Jan 19 86 @George Mason L 64 - 69 46% -1  11 - 7 3 - 3 +5 -2 C- C D+ +7 C- C A-
 Sat, Jan 24 117 Richmond W 85 - 69 80% +16  12 - 7 4 - 3 +16 +15 B+ A+ C +1 B B- B-
 Tue, Jan 27 26 @Saint Louis L 76 - 79 18% +5  12 - 8 4 - 4 +15 +7 B+ C D- +9 A B- B
 Sat, Jan 31 195 Fordham W 80 - 66 90%
 Wed, Feb 4 139 @Saint Joseph's W 79 - 75 65%
 Sat, Feb 7 122 @Duquesne W 85 - 82 62%
 Tue, Feb 10 109 Rhode Island W 80 - 72 78%
 Fri, Feb 13 86 George Mason W 79 - 74 68%
 Tue, Feb 17 51 @Virginia Commonwealth L 80 - 85 33%
 Tue, Feb 24 202 @La Salle W 80 - 72 78%
 Fri, Feb 27 85 Dayton W 79 - 74 68%
 Wed, Mar 4 141 St. Bonaventure W 85 - 75 83%
 Sat, Mar 7 280 @Loyola Chicago W 85 - 72 88%
Totals 19 - 11 11 - 7 +9 +7 B+ B+ C +2 C C C+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 1st
2nd 0.2 3.2 6.8 3.3 13.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 4.8 12.5 6.5 0.4 24.4 3rd
4th 0.2 4.2 14.2 8.4 0.9 27.9 4th
5th 1.3 8.1 6.0 0.4 15.8 5th
6th 0.1 3.4 4.5 0.6 0.0 8.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.9 3.0 1.0 0.0 4.9 7th
8th 0.1 1.6 1.0 0.1 2.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 0.8 0.1 1.2 9th
10th 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.5 10th
11th 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 13th
14th 14th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.9 3.5 9.0 18.1 25.8 24.6 14.2 3.8 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 2.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.0% 0.0    0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 3.8% 26.9% 23.7% 3.2% 10.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 2.7 4.2%
13-5 14.2% 18.1% 17.6% 0.5% 11.1 0.1 2.2 0.3 11.6 0.6%
12-6 24.6% 12.8% 12.7% 0.1% 11.3 0.0 2.1 1.1 0.0 21.5 0.1%
11-7 25.8% 7.8% 7.8% 0.1% 11.5 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 23.8 0.1%
10-8 18.1% 6.1% 6.1% 11.8 0.3 0.8 0.0 17.0
9-9 9.0% 4.4% 4.4% 12.0 0.1 0.3 0.0 0.0 8.6
8-10 3.5% 3.8% 3.8% 12.4 0.1 0.1 3.4
7-11 0.9% 4.0% 4.0% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8
6-12 0.2% 0.2
5-13 0.0% 0.0
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 10.4% 10.2% 0.2% 11.3 89.6 0.3%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.9% 100.0% 10.1 2.8 6.2 15.2 28.7 47.2
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 1.1% 7.9% 10.8 0.9 7.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 1.1% 3.2% 11.0 3.2