Portland
West Coast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.7#243
Expected Predictive Rating-1.6#194
Pace73.0#80
Improvement+2.6#39

Offense
Total Offense-2.9#244
First Shot-1.7#223
After Offensive Rebound-1.2#258
Layup/Dunks+5.7#29
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#292
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.5#293
Freethrows-2.0#299
Improvement+1.9#57

Defense
Total Defense-1.8#232
First Shot+0.1#168
After Offensive Rebounds-1.9#303
Layups/Dunks+1.4#125
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#35
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#289
Freethrows-0.6#222
Improvement+0.7#125
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.3 12.0 12.5
.500 or above 4.9% 16.9% 4.1%
.500 or above in Conference 6.3% 12.1% 5.9%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 27.8% 18.6% 28.4%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Oregon (Away) - 6.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 21 - 61 - 10
Quad 33 - 64 - 17
Quad 47 - 311 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Thu, Nov 6 351 Arkansas Pine Bluff W 83-74 85%     1 - 0 -6.7 -8.9 +0.8
  Sun, Nov 9 198 UC Davis W 67-63 53%     2 - 0 -1.5 -6.5 +5.0
  Sat, Nov 15 97 @Wyoming L 56-93 12%     2 - 1 -28.8 -13.3 -15.3
  Fri, Nov 21 269 Cal St. Fullerton W 103-85 65%     3 - 1 +9.3 +15.0 -7.6
  Sat, Nov 22 154 Northern Colorado L 80-86 OT 43%     3 - 2 -8.7 -5.1 -2.8
  Sun, Nov 23 135 St. Thomas L 66-76 37%     3 - 3 -11.3 -9.2 -1.9
  Wed, Nov 26 277 Long Beach St. W 93-73 67%     4 - 3 +10.8 +12.3 -1.9
  Mon, Dec 1 92 @Stanford L 72-94 11%     4 - 4 -13.3 +3.7 -17.2
  Sun, Dec 14 131 Kent St. W 88-78 37%     5 - 4 +8.8 -0.2 +7.5
  Wed, Dec 17 66 @Oregon L 68-84 7%    
  Mon, Dec 22 150 @UC Santa Barbara L 71-79 22%    
  Sun, Dec 28 155 Washington St. L 75-77 42%    
  Tue, Dec 30 74 Santa Clara L 73-82 19%    
  Fri, Jan 2 39 @St. Mary's L 61-81 3%    
  Sun, Jan 4 95 @San Francisco L 67-80 12%    
  Thu, Jan 8 128 Pacific L 71-75 36%    
  Sat, Jan 10 159 Oregon St. L 70-72 43%    
  Wed, Jan 14 292 @Pepperdine L 71-72 48%    
  Sat, Jan 17 134 @Loyola Marymount L 67-76 20%    
  Sat, Jan 24 39 St. Mary's L 64-78 11%    
  Wed, Jan 28 128 @Pacific L 68-78 19%    
  Sat, Jan 31 155 @Washington St. L 72-80 24%    
  Wed, Feb 4 5 Gonzaga L 67-90 2%    
  Sat, Feb 7 118 Seattle L 70-75 34%    
  Wed, Feb 11 248 @San Diego L 78-81 40%    
  Wed, Feb 18 292 Pepperdine W 74-68 69%    
  Sat, Feb 21 118 @Seattle L 67-78 17%    
  Wed, Feb 25 5 @Gonzaga L 64-93 0.4%   
  Sat, Feb 28 248 San Diego W 81-78 61%    
Projected Record 10 - 19 5 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.0 1.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 1.1 0.8 0.1 0.0 2.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 1.9 1.8 0.2 4.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.7 3.1 0.6 0.0 6.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 3.6 5.1 1.4 0.1 10.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.7 4.7 7.3 2.6 0.2 15.4 9th
10th 0.0 1.2 6.0 9.1 3.5 0.3 20.2 10th
11th 0.1 2.0 7.3 8.6 3.4 0.3 0.0 21.8 11th
12th 0.7 3.3 6.1 5.2 1.6 0.1 0.0 17.1 12th
Total 0.7 3.4 8.2 13.7 17.0 17.7 15.0 11.0 6.9 3.7 1.7 0.7 0.2 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0%
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0% 0.0
12-6 0.2% 1.5% 1.5% 13.0 0.0 0.2
11-7 0.7% 0.5% 0.5% 12.0 0.0 0.7
10-8 1.7% 0.2% 0.2% 12.0 0.0 1.7
9-9 3.7% 3.7
8-10 6.9% 6.9
7-11 11.0% 11.0
6-12 15.0% 15.0
5-13 17.7% 17.7
4-14 17.0% 17.0
3-15 13.7% 13.7
2-16 8.2% 8.2
1-17 3.4% 3.4
0-18 0.7% 0.7
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 12.3 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.6%