Arkansas Little Rock
Ohio Valley
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-9.0#313
Expected Predictive Rating-10.8#317
Pace65.2#294
Improvement+0.1#178

Offense
Total Offense-4.7#298
First Shot-6.3#338
After Offensive Rebound+1.6#80
Layup/Dunks+3.1#78
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#247
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.6#297
Freethrows-4.5#356
Improvement+0.5#133

Defense
Total Defense-4.3#317
First Shot-4.4#319
After Offensive Rebounds+0.1#185
Layups/Dunks-2.4#268
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#22
3 Pt Jumpshots-7.6#362
Freethrows+3.1#26
Improvement-0.4#219
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.0% 4.3% 2.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 15.9
.500 or above 6.7% 11.0% 3.6%
.500 or above in Conference 37.6% 52.2% 27.3%
Conference Champion 3.5% 5.8% 1.9%
Last Place in Conference 11.3% 4.9% 15.8%
First Four2.2% 3.0% 1.7%
First Round1.8% 2.7% 1.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Morehead St. (Away) - 41.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 3
Quad 31 - 61 - 9
Quad 49 - 1110 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 10 236 @Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 72-92 23%     0 - 1 -21.1 -1.7 -19.5
  Wed, Nov 12 88 @Marquette L 49-89 6%     0 - 2 -31.1 -16.1 -16.9
  Sat, Nov 15 306 @Ball St. W 68-62 35%     1 - 2 +0.9 -2.9 +4.0
  Tue, Nov 18 99 @Murray St. L 68-89 7%     1 - 3 -13.1 +0.5 -14.8
  Fri, Nov 21 240 @Texas St. L 56-65 23%     1 - 4 -10.4 -11.1 -0.1
  Sat, Nov 29 129 @Southern Illinois L 65-74 10%     1 - 5 -4.0 +1.4 -6.3
  Wed, Dec 3 283 @Central Arkansas L 47-85 30%     1 - 6 -41.5 -26.3 -14.4
  Sat, Dec 6 153 Arkansas St. L 78-90 27%     1 - 7 -14.6 +1.8 -16.1
  Tue, Dec 9 64 @West Virginia L 58-90 4%     1 - 8 -20.4 -1.2 -22.8
  Tue, Dec 16 322 @Morehead St. L 70-72 41%    
  Thu, Dec 18 317 @Southern Indiana L 71-74 40%    
  Thu, Jan 1 266 Tennessee Tech L 72-73 48%    
  Sat, Jan 3 235 Tennessee St. L 70-72 43%    
  Thu, Jan 8 232 @SIU Edwardsville L 63-71 23%    
  Sat, Jan 10 238 @Lindenwood L 70-78 24%    
  Thu, Jan 15 333 Eastern Illinois W 70-65 66%    
  Sat, Jan 17 354 Western Illinois W 71-63 76%    
  Thu, Jan 22 214 @Southeast Missouri St. L 68-77 22%    
  Sat, Jan 24 252 @Tennessee Martin L 64-71 26%    
  Thu, Jan 29 235 @Tennessee St. L 67-75 24%    
  Sat, Jan 31 266 @Tennessee Tech L 69-75 28%    
  Thu, Feb 5 238 Lindenwood L 73-75 44%    
  Sat, Feb 7 232 SIU Edwardsville L 66-68 43%    
  Thu, Feb 12 354 @Western Illinois W 68-66 56%    
  Sat, Feb 14 333 @Eastern Illinois L 67-68 45%    
  Thu, Feb 19 252 Tennessee Martin L 67-68 47%    
  Sat, Feb 21 214 Southeast Missouri St. L 71-74 41%    
  Thu, Feb 26 322 Morehead St. W 73-69 62%    
  Sat, Feb 28 317 Southern Indiana W 74-71 61%    
Projected Record 10 - 19 9 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.0 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 3.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.9 1.9 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 4.9 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.3 2.8 1.7 0.4 0.0 0.0 6.3 3rd
4th 0.1 1.5 3.8 2.3 0.5 0.0 8.2 4th
5th 0.1 1.2 4.3 3.3 0.5 0.0 9.4 5th
6th 0.1 1.2 4.9 4.3 0.9 0.0 11.4 6th
7th 0.1 1.3 4.8 5.0 1.4 0.0 12.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.5 4.8 5.2 1.6 0.1 13.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.9 4.6 4.5 1.5 0.1 13.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.0 3.5 3.3 1.1 0.1 0.0 10.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.6 2.0 1.4 0.4 0.1 6.7 11th
Total 0.0 0.3 1.0 2.3 4.3 7.0 9.9 11.9 12.9 12.9 11.6 9.4 6.6 4.6 2.8 1.5 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
17-3 96.1% 0.2    0.2 0.0
16-4 87.1% 0.6    0.5 0.1
15-5 66.5% 1.0    0.5 0.4 0.0
14-6 34.9% 1.0    0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0
13-7 11.8% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0
12-8 1.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.1% 0.0    0.0
10-10 0.0%
Total 3.5% 3.5 1.8 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.1% 26.9% 26.9% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-3 0.3% 40.8% 40.8% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2
16-4 0.7% 27.6% 27.6% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.5
15-5 1.5% 21.7% 21.7% 15.8 0.1 0.3 1.2
14-6 2.8% 15.7% 15.7% 15.9 0.0 0.4 2.4
13-7 4.6% 12.5% 12.5% 16.0 0.0 0.6 4.0
12-8 6.6% 6.8% 6.8% 16.0 0.0 0.5 6.2
11-9 9.4% 4.3% 4.3% 16.0 0.4 9.0
10-10 11.6% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.2 11.4
9-11 12.9% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.2 12.7
8-12 12.9% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 12.8
7-13 11.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 11.9
6-14 9.9% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 9.9
5-15 7.0% 7.0
4-16 4.3% 4.3
3-17 2.3% 2.3
2-18 1.0% 1.0
1-19 0.3% 0.3
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 3.0% 3.0% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.2 2.7 97.1 0.0%