Canisius
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-11.1#339
Expected Predictive Rating-7.7#280
Pace61.8#351
Improvement+3.0#24

Offense
Total Offense-8.3#357
First Shot-8.1#358
After Offensive Rebound-0.2#193
Layup/Dunks-8.4#360
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.8#46
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#248
Freethrows-0.8#229
Improvement-1.0#263

Defense
Total Defense-2.8#267
First Shot-1.1#213
After Offensive Rebounds-1.7#299
Layups/Dunks+1.8#114
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#118
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.3#325
Freethrows+0.5#147
Improvement+4.0#3
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.4% 0.9% 0.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 15.9
.500 or above 4.5% 13.0% 3.9%
.500 or above in Conference 10.1% 16.0% 9.7%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 24.7% 17.2% 25.2%
First Four0.3% 0.6% 0.3%
First Round0.2% 0.7% 0.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Duquesne (Away) - 6.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 31 - 61 - 10
Quad 410 - 1011 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 62 @Dayton L 48-88 3%     0 - 1 -28.0 -13.0 -19.2
  Sat, Nov 8 112 @St. Bonaventure L 70-89 6%     0 - 2 -12.6 +7.3 -21.7
  Wed, Nov 12 329 Mercyhurst W 58-55 58%     1 - 2 -10.1 -12.5 +2.8
  Mon, Nov 17 105 @High Point L 50-93 6%     1 - 3 -35.9 -19.7 -18.6
  Fri, Nov 21 345 Maryland Eastern Shore W 60-57 63%     2 - 3 -11.6 -6.3 -4.7
  Sun, Nov 23 356 Binghamton W 75-66 72%     3 - 3 -8.2 +3.5 -10.5
  Sat, Nov 29 216 Buffalo L 53-71 32%     3 - 4 -24.4 -20.9 -5.0
  Fri, Dec 5 290 @St. Peter's L 57-69 25%     3 - 5 0 - 1 -16.1 -11.1 -6.1
  Sun, Dec 7 165 @Siena L 52-74 11%     3 - 6 0 - 2 -19.4 -13.5 -7.8
  Sat, Dec 13 336 @Maine W 70-43 37%     4 - 6 +19.2 +4.1 +17.5
  Tue, Dec 16 115 @Rhode Island L 45-62 6%     4 - 7 -10.8 -18.4 +5.9
  Mon, Dec 22 138 @Duquesne L 63-79 7%    
  Fri, Jan 2 298 Fairfield L 66-67 48%    
  Sun, Jan 4 269 Sacred Heart L 69-71 41%    
  Fri, Jan 9 321 @Manhattan L 67-72 34%    
  Sun, Jan 11 173 @Iona L 63-76 11%    
  Wed, Jan 14 352 Niagara W 65-60 67%    
  Sat, Jan 17 300 Mount St. Mary's L 65-66 47%    
  Thu, Jan 22 269 @Sacred Heart L 66-74 22%    
  Sat, Jan 24 298 @Fairfield L 63-70 27%    
  Fri, Jan 30 161 Marist L 58-66 23%    
  Sun, Feb 1 165 Siena L 60-68 25%    
  Tue, Feb 3 352 @Niagara L 62-63 46%    
  Thu, Feb 5 168 @Quinnipiac L 62-75 12%    
  Fri, Feb 13 173 Iona L 66-73 26%    
  Sun, Feb 15 321 Manhattan W 70-69 55%    
  Fri, Feb 20 348 @Rider L 60-62 42%    
  Sun, Feb 22 300 @Mount St. Mary's L 62-69 27%    
  Fri, Feb 27 270 Merrimack L 62-64 42%    
  Sun, Mar 1 168 Quinnipiac L 65-72 25%    
Projected Record 10 - 20 6 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 3rd
4th 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.3 4th
5th 0.1 0.6 1.0 0.6 0.1 2.4 5th
6th 0.1 0.9 1.9 1.0 0.1 0.0 4.1 6th
7th 0.1 1.3 2.9 1.8 0.3 0.0 6.4 7th
8th 0.0 1.3 3.8 2.9 0.6 0.0 8.6 8th
9th 0.1 1.3 4.7 4.3 1.0 0.1 11.4 9th
10th 0.1 1.4 5.2 5.6 1.7 0.1 14.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 2.1 6.2 6.7 2.3 0.2 0.0 17.7 11th
12th 0.0 0.7 3.0 6.1 5.8 2.0 0.2 17.8 12th
13th 0.4 1.7 3.5 5.0 3.6 1.1 0.1 0.0 15.5 13th
Total 0.4 1.7 4.2 8.3 11.9 14.6 15.4 14.2 11.3 8.0 5.0 2.8 1.5 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-4 60.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-5 33.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 6.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 1.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 0.0% 0.0
16-4 0.0% 0.0
15-5 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 0.2% 13.4% 13.4% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.2
13-7 0.6% 2.8% 2.8% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.6
12-8 1.5% 3.9% 3.9% 16.0 0.1 1.5
11-9 2.8% 2.9% 2.9% 15.9 0.0 0.1 2.7
10-10 5.0% 1.2% 1.2% 15.9 0.0 0.1 4.9
9-11 8.0% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 7.9
8-12 11.3% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 11.3
7-13 14.2% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 14.1
6-14 15.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 15.4
5-15 14.6% 14.6
4-16 11.9% 11.9
3-17 8.3% 8.3
2-18 4.2% 4.2
1-19 1.7% 1.7
0-20 0.4% 0.4
Total 100% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.4 99.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.3%